Tag Archives: Minamidaitojima

Tropical Storm Bebinca Moves Toward Ryukyu Islands

Tropical Storm Bebinca moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean toward the Ryukyu Islands on Friday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca located at latitude 25.1°N and longitude 133.3°E which put the center about 405 miles (655 km) east-southeast of Okinawa.  Bebinca was moving toward the northwest at 25 m.p.h. (40 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

Tropical Storm Bebinca strengthened on Friday as it moved toward the Ryukyu Islands.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Bebinca’s circulation.  Even though more thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca, the distribution of thunderstorms was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Bebinca’s circulation.  Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Bebinca consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Bebinca generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Bebinca was also asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) in the northern half of Bebinca’s circulation.  The winds in the southern half of Tropical Storm Bebinca were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move through an environment mostly favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.   It will move under the northeastern part of an upper level low east of Taiwan.  The upper level low will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Bebinca’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Bebinca will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move around the northeastern part of a large low pressure system east of Taiwan.  The low pressure system will steer Bebinca toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Bebinca will reach the Ryukyu Islands in less than 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Bebinca could intensify to a typhoon before it reaches the Ryukyu Islands.  Bebinca will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Miniamidaitohima, Okinawa and Amami.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Ewiniar Weakens to a Tropical Storm

Former Typhoon Ewiniar weakened to a tropical storm south of Japan on Wednesday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Ewiniar was located at latitude 26.9°N and longitude 133.5°E which put it about 120 miles (195 km) northeast of Minamidaitojima, Japan. Ewiniar was moving toward the northeast at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

After bringing strong winds and heavy rain to Minamidaitojima, former Typhoon Ewiniar weakened to a tropical storm on Wednesday. An upper level trough northwest of Japan was producing strong southwesterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Ewiniar’s circulation. Those winds were causing strong vertical wind shear. The wind shear caused former Typhoon Ewiniar to weaken.

The strong vertical wind shear was also affecting the structure of Tropical Storm Ewiniar. The strong upper level southwesterly winds were causing the upper part of Ewinar’s circulation to tilt toward the northeast. Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the northern and eastern parts of Tropical Storm Ewiniar. Bands in the southern and western parts of Ewiniar consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The circulation around Typhoon Ewiniar was still small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Storm Ewiniar will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Ewiniar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25°C. The upper level trough northwest of Japan will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear. The cooler water and strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Ewiniar to weaken during the next 24 hours. If the upper level winds get stronger, they could blow the top off of Ewiniar’s circulation. The cooler water and strong vertical wind shear will also cause Tropical Storm Ewiniar to begin to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone.

Tropical Storm Ewiniar will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system and the upper level trough northwest of Japan will steer Ewiniar toward the northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Ewiniar will remain south of Japan.

Typhoon Ewiniar Passes South of Okinawa

Typhoon Ewiniar passed south of Okinawa on Tuesday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Ewiniar was located at latitude 22.1°N and longitude 128.6°E which put it about 350 miles (565 km) south of Okinawa. Ewiniar was moving toward the northeast at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 980 mb.

Typhoon Ewiniar was weakening as it passed south of Okinawa on Tuesday. An upper level trough west of Japan was producing southwesterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Ewiniar’s circulation. Those winds were causing moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear was causing Typhoon Ewiniar to weaken.

The vertical wind shear was also affecting the structure of Typhoon Ewiniar. An eye was no longer visible at the center of Ewiniar’s circulation. Thunderstorms were occurring in a band that wrapped around the southern and eastern sides of the center of circulation. Bands in the other parts of Typhoon Ewiniar consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Ewiniar still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Ewiniar was still small. Winds to typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Ewiniar’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Ewiniar will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Ewiniar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. The upper level trough west of Japan will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. Since the circulation around Ewiniar is small, the wind shear will cause Typhoon Ewiniar to weaken during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Ewiniar will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system and the upper level trough west coast of Japan will steer Ewiniar toward the northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Ewiniar will pass near Minamidaitojoma in 12 to 18 hours. Ewiniar will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Minamidaitojima.

Typhoon Guchol Turns Northeast

Typhoon Guchol turned toward the northeast on Saturday as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Guchol was located at latitude 22.6°N and longitude 131.3°E which put it about 215 miles (345 km) south of Minamidiatojima, Japan. Guchol was moving toward the north-northeast at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 969 mb.

Typhoon Guchol started to turn toward the northeast on Saturday, as it was affected by an upper level trough west of Japan. The upper level trough was producing westerly winds that were blowing toward the top of Guchol’s circulation. Those winds were causing the vertical wind shear to increase and the increasing shear was affecting the structure of Typhoon Guchol. There was still an eye at the center of Guchol’s circulation, but thunderstorms were only occurring in the eastern part of the eyewall. Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the eastern half of the typhoon. Bands in the western half of Typhoon Guchol consisted primarily of showers and low clouds. Storms in the eastern side of Guchol generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the northeast of the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 75 miles (120 km) from the center of Guchol. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Guchol will move through an environment that will become even less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Guchol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. The upper level trough west of Japan will continue to produce westerly winds that will blow toward the top of Guchol’s circulation. Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase even more. The increase in wind shear will make the environment even less favorable for intensification. Typhoon Guchol will weaken during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough west of Japan will steer Typhoon Guchol toward the northeast during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track Typhoon Guchol could pass between Minamidaitojima and Iwo To during the next 24 hours. Guchol will pass south of Tokyo in less than 48 hours.

Typhoon Guchol Moves North

Typhoon Guchol moved toward the north over the Western North Pacific Ocean on Friday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Guchol was located at latitude 18.6°N and longitude 130.0°E which put it about 465 miles (750 km) south of Minamidiatojima, Japan. Guchol was moving toward the north at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Typhoon Guchol was showing evidence of weakening on Friday morning. A circular eye with a diameter of 50 miles (80 km) was at the center of Guchol’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. There was a break in the northwestern part of the ring of storms. Other thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern and eastern sides of Typhoon Guchol. Bands in the northern and western parts of Guchol’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Guchol. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Guchol will move through an environment that will become less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Guchol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. Typhoon Guchol will move closer to an upper level trough west of Japan. The upper level trough will produce westerly winds that will blow toward the northern part of Guchol’s circulation. Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase. The increase in wind shear will make the environment less favorable for intensification. Typhoon Guchol could weaken during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Guchol will move around the western part of high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Guchol toward the north during the next 24 hours. The upper level trough west of Japan will steer Guchol toward the northeast during the weekend. On its anticipated track Typhoon Guchol could pass between Minamidaitojima and Iwo To during fthe weekend.

Guchol Strengthens to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Guchol strengthened to a typhoon on Wednesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Guchol was located at latitude 16.1°N and longitude 131.6°E which put it about 670 miles (1080 km) south of Minamidiatojima, Japan. Guchol was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Guchol strengthened to a typhoon over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the Marianas on Wednesday night. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Typhoon Guchol. A circular eye was visible on satellite images at the center of Guchol’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core or Typhoon Guchol. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Guchol. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Guchol will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Guchol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Guchol is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Guchol will move around the western part of high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Guchol toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. Guchol will move toward the northeast later this week after it passes the western end of the high pressure system. On its anticipated track Typhoon Guchol could be between Minamidaitojima and Iwo To in four days.

Tropical Storm Guchol Intensifies

Tropical Storm Guchol intensified over the Western North Pacific Ocean on Wednesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Guchol was located at latitude 15.4°N and longitude 132.8°E which put it about 715 miles (1155 km) south of Minamidiatojima, Japan. Guchol was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

Tropical Storm Guchol intensified over the warm water in the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the Marianas on Wednesday morning. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Guchol’s circulation and an eye appeared to be forming at the center. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Guchol. Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of Guchol.

Tropical Storm Guchol will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Guchol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Guchol will intensify during the next 36 hours. Guchol could strengthen to a typhoon within 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Guchol will move around the western part of high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Guchol toward the northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Guchol will move farther away from the Marianas. Guchol could be south of Minamidaitojima in four days.

Tropical Storm Guchol Forms West of Marianas

Tropical Storm Guchol formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the Marianas on Tuesday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Guchol was located at latitude 114.6°N and longitude 134.6°E which put it about 785 miles (1265 km) south-southeast of Minamidiatojima, Japan. Guchol was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the Marianas strengthened on Tuesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Guchol. The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Guchol was asymmetrical. Many of the thunderstorms were occurring bands in the southern half of Guchol’s circulation. Bands in the northern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Guchol.

Tropical Storm Guchol will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Guchol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Guchol will intensify during the next 36 hours. Guchol could strengthen to a typhoon within 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Guchol will move around the western part of high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Guchol toward the northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Guchol will move farther away from the Marianas. Guchol could be south of Minamidaitojima in five days.