Tropical Depression 19E Forms West of Mexico

The active hurricane season over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean continues.  An area of thunderstorms west of Mexico developed a surface circulation and a core of convection near the center.  As a result it was classified as Tropical Depression Nineteen-E (TD19E).  At 11:00 p.m. EDT the center of TD19E was located at latitude 17.8°N and longitude 105.4°W which put it about 110 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and about 455 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California.  TD19E was moving toward the west-northwest at 10 m.p.h.  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. and the minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

The same upper level ridge of high pressure over northern Mexico that has been in place during much of the hurricane season will steer TD19E toward the west-northwest during the next day or two.  As TD19E rounds the western edge of the ridge it will turn more toward the north and it could follow a path similar to the one taken by Hurricane Rachel.

The upper level ridge is producing some northeasterly winds and wind shear over TD19E.  The shear is forecast to weaken and some intensification of TD19E is likely while it remains over warm Sea Surface Temperatures.