Tag Archives: Typhoon Nesat

Typhoon Nesat Passes South of Hong Kong

Typhoon Nesat passed south of Hong Kong as it moved across the South China Sea on Monday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Nesat was located at latitude 18.0°N and longitude 113.3°E which put it about 285 miles (460 km) south of Hong Kong. Nesat was moving toward the west-southwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 971 mb.

Typhoon Nesat started to weaken on Monday night as it passed south of Hong Kong. A circular eye was still present at the center of Nesat’s circulation. However a break occurred in the southeastern part of the ring of thunderstorms surrounded the eye of Typhoon Nesat. The strongest winds were occurring in the broken ring of thunderstorms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were occurring in the western half of Nesat. Bands in the eastern side of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Nesat generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Nesat interacted with a large surface high pressure system over southern China to produce a large area of tropical storm force winds in the northern part of Nesat’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 400 miles (640 km) in the northern side of Typhoon Nesat. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 120 miles (195 km) in the southern side of Nesat. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Nesat will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Nesat will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends over the Western North Pacific Ocean to southern China. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will cause moderate vertical wind shear and the wind shear will inhibit intensification. The surface high pressure system over southern China will produce northeasterly winds that will transport drier air into the northern and western parts of Typhoon Nesat. The vertical wind shear and the drier air will cause Typhoon Nesat to weaken during the next 48 hours.

The surface high pressure system over southern China will steer Typhoon Nesat toward the west during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Nesat will pass south of Hainan in 36 hours. Nesat is likely to weaken to a tropical storm by the time it passes south of Hainan. Nesat could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Hainan on Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Nesat Intensifies to a Typhoon Northwest of Luzon

Former Tropical Storm Nesat intensified to a typhoon over the South China Sea northwest of Luzon on Sunday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Nesat was located at latitude 19.6°N and longitude 119.5°E which put it about 125 miles (200 km) northwest of Laoag, Philippines. Nesat was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 978 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Nesat rapidly intensified to a typhoon over the South China Sea on Sunday morning. A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) formed at the center of Typhoon Nesat. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Nesat’s circulation. The strongest rainbands were in the western and northern parts of the circulation. Storms near the core of Nesat generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Nesat’s circulation. Storms to tropical storm force extended out 150 miles (240 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Nesat will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Nesat will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends over the Western North Pacific Ocean to eastern China. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will cause some vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but Typhoon Nesat will strengthen during the next 24 hours. Nesat could continue to intensify rapidly during the next few hours.

Typhoon Nesat will move around the southern side of a surface high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean and eastern China. The high pressure system will steer Nesat toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track Typhoon Nesat could be south of Hong Kong within 48 hours.

Strengthening Typhoon Nesat Nearing Taiwan

Strengthening Typhoon Nesat moved nearer to Taiwan on Friday.   At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Nesat was located at latitude 22.0°N and longitude 123.3°E which put it about 275 miles (440 km) south-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan.  Nesat was moving toward the west-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (170 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 973 mb.

Typhoon Nesat has a very well organized circulation.  A ring of thunderstorms almost completely surrounds the eye.  There is a small gap in the ring on the northeastern rim of the eye.  Numerous additional bands of showers and thunderstorms are occurring in the southern half of the circulation.  There are fewer bands of showers and thunderstorms in the northern part of the circulation.  Thunderstorms in the core of Typhoon Nesat are producing upper level divergence which is pumping out mass.  Winds to typhoon force extend out about 40 miles (65 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extend out about 145 miles (230 km) from the center.

Typhoon Nesat will be moving through an environment favorable for intensification until it reaches Taiwan.  Nesat will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  An upper level ridge centered west of Japan is producing east-northeasterly winds which are blowing toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds are causing some vertical wind shear, but they are not strong enough to keep Typhoon Nesat from strengthening.  Typhoon Nesat is likely to intensify for another 12-18 hours until it reaches Taiwan.  When it Nesat reaches Taiwan, the mountains will disrupt the circulation.

Typhoon Nesat is being steered toward the west-northwest by a subtropical ridge to its north.  A general west-northwesterly or northwesterly motion is expected to continue until Nesat makes landfall in Taiwan.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Nesat will make landfall on the east coast of Taiwan in 12 to 18 hours.  Neast will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Taiwan.  The heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in the mountains.