Typhoon Malou Nears Iwo To

Typhoon Malou neared Iwo To on Wednesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Malou was located at latitude 24.2°N and longitude 141.3°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) south-southwest of Iwo To. Malou was moving toward the north-northeast at 14 m.p.h. (22km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Typhoon Malou strengthened as it moved closer to Iwo To on Wednesday night. A very large eye with a diameter of 90 miles (145 km) was at the center of Malou. Several smaller counterclockwise circulations were rotating within the eye. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the large core of Typhoon Malou. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the northeast of the typhoon.

The size of Typhoon Malou’s circulation increased on Wednesday. Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Malou. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Malou was 13.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 14.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 28.5.

Typhoon Malou will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 18 hours. Malou will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. An upper level trough near Japan will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Malou’s circulation. However, the winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere will also blow from the southwest and so there will not be a lot of vertical wind shear. Typhoon Malou is could strengthen during the next 18 hours. The upper level winds will get stronger on Friday and the vertical wind shear will increase. Malou is likely to weaken and to begin a transition to an extratropical cyclone when the wind shear increases.

An upper level trough over Japan will steer Typhoon Malou toward the north-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Typhoon Malou could make a direct hit on Iwo To in a few hours. Typhoon Malou will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Iwo To. The eyewall with the strongest winds is likely to pass over Iwo To. The wind could blow at tropical storm force or greater for several hours. Malou will be capable of causing serious damage on Iwo To. In addition, heavy rain could also cause flash floods.