Hurricane Dora Moves over the Central Pacific

Hurricane Dora moved over the Central Pacific Ocean on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 144.0°W which put it about 890 miles (1430 km) east-southeast of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 165 m.p.h. (270 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Hurricane Dora did not change much on Sunday. The structure of Dora continued to be very symmetrical and it had a a shape sometimes called an annular hurricane. An eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) was at the center of Hurricane Dora. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Short bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dora’s circulation. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 7.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 35.36. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful hurricane during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora could move into a region where the air is a little drier. The intensity of an annual hurricane usually remains relatively constant. However, since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora. Hurricane Dora could weaken a little during the next 24 hours, if it moves into a region where the air is a little drier.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will pass south of Hawaii on Tuesday.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Eugene moved south of Baja California on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located at latitude 23.3°N and longitude 115.0°W which put it about 325 miles (525 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California. Eugene was moving toward the west-northwest at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb. Tropical Storm Eugene will weaken on Monday as it moves over cooler water west of Baja California.