Tropical Cyclone Dudzai moved southeast of Mauritius on Monday.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of the Tropical Cyclone Dudzai was located at latitude 23.5°S and longitude 56.0°E which put the center about 205 miles (330 km) south-southeast of Port Louis, Mauritius.  Dudzai was moving toward the southwest at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Dudzai strengthened a little on Monday even though it was in the early stages of a transition to an extratropical cyclone.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the western side of the center of Dudzai’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the center of Tropical Cyclone Dudzai.  Storms near the center of Dudzai generated some upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was very nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So the surface pressure remained nearly constant on Monday.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Cyclone Dudzai became a little more symmetrical even though Dudzai was in the early stages of a transition to an extratropical cyclone.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) in the southern half of Dudzai’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the northern half of Tropical Cyclone Dudzai.

Tropical Cyclone Duzai will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.  Dudzai will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level low that is south of Mauritius.  The upper level winds will blow from the same direction as the winds at lower levels in the atmosphere.  So there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Cyclone Dudzai is likely to maintain its intensity while it continues to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next couple of days.

Tropical Cyclone Dudzai will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dudzai toward the south during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, tropical Cyclone Dudzai will move farther to the south of Mauritius on Tuesday.