Tropical Storm Odalys Forms Southwest of Baja California

Tropical Storm Odalys formed southwest of Baja California on Tuesday afternoon. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Odalys was located at latitude 14.1°N and longitude 116.1°W which put it about 730 miles (1175 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Odalys was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

The circulation around an area of low pressure southwest of Baja California exhibited more organization on satellite images and the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Odalys. The circulation around Odalys was still organizing on Tuesday afternoon. There were a few thunderstorms around the broad center of circulation. A band of showers and thunderstorms wrapped around the western side of the circulation and a second band of showers and thunderstorms wrapped around the eastern side of Tropical Storm Odalys. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the eastern half of Odalys. Winds int he western half of the circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Odalys will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Odalys will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28°C. An upper level trough over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean will produce southwesterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear and they will limit intensification. Tropical Storm Odalys could strengthen during the next 24 hours. The trough will move closer to Odalys on Thursday and the wind shear will increase. Stronger vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Odalys to weaken later this week.

Tropical Storm Odalys will move around the southwestern part of a ridge of high pressure centered over northern Mexico. The ridge will steer Odalys toward the west-northwest during the next several days hours. On its anticipated path Tropical Storm Odalys will move farther away from Baja California.