Tropical Depression Two formed over the Bay of Campeche east of Veracruz on Saturday afternoon.  The government of Mexico issued a Tropical Storm Warning for a portion of the coast.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Depression Two was located at latitude 19.3°N and longitude 94.2°W which put the center about 130 miles (210 km) east of Veracruz, Mexico.  The tropical depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1011 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Boca de Catan to Tecolutla, Mexico.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance plane investigated a low pressure system over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday afternoon.  Based on data collected by the aircraft and other information, the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression Two.

More thunderstorms were forming near the center of Tropical Depression Two on Saturday afternoon.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the northern side of the depression’s circulation.  Bands in the southern side of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

Tropical Depression Two will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  The tropical depression will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the northwestern part of an upper level ridge over southeastern Mexico.  The upper level ridge will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of the depression’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear ill not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Depression Two will intensify during the next 24 hours.  The tropical depression is likely to strengthen to a tropical storm on Sunday.

Tropical Depression Two will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that extends from the Atlantic Ocean to over the Gulf of Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Depression Two will move toward the east coast of Mexico.  The tropical depression is likely to make landfall between Veracruz and Tampico on Sunday night.

Tropical Depression Two is likely to strengthen to a tropical storm before it makes landfall on the coast of Mexico.  It will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to coastal sections of the state of Veracruz.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods, especially in mountainous areas.