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Typhoon Doksuri Drops Heavy Rain on Taiwan

Typhoon Doksuri dropped heavy rain on parts of Taiwan on Wednesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 20.3°N and longitude 119.9°E which put it about 150 miles (240 km) south-southwest of Kaohsiung Taiwan. Doksuri was moving toward the west at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 947 mb.

Bands in the northern side of Typhoon Doksuri dropped heavy rain on parts of Taiwan on Wednesday. The heaviest rain was falling in eastern Taiwan, where the wind was pushing the air up the eastern slopes of mountains.. There were reports of flooding in the northern Philippines after the southern part of Doksuri dropped heavy rain in that region. There were also reports of casualties and electricity outages in the northern Philippines.

Typhoon Doksuri exhibited more organization on Wednesday after the core of Doksuri’s circulation started to move away from northern Luzon. Radar images from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau showed what appeared to concentric eyewalls at the core of Typhoon Doksuri. A small circular eye was at the center of Doksuri’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. The inner eyewall was surrounded by a relatively clear area, sometimes called a moat. A much larger, outer eyewall surrounded the inner eyewall and moat. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the concentric eyewalls. Storms in the concentric eyewalls generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

Doksuri was still a large typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 23.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 40.9. Typhoon Doksuri was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Gustav when Gustav Hit Louisiana in 2008. Doksuri was capable of causing widespread serious damage.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, the concentric eyewalls at the center of Typhoon Doksuri will inhibit intensification. Doksuri could weaken until the inner eye and eyewall dissipate. The strength of Typhoon Doksuri may not change much during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Doksuri will pass southwest of Taiwan. Typhoon Doksuri will continue to drop heavy rain on parts of Taiwan during the next 24 hours. The heaviest rain will fall on the eastern side of mountains where the winds around Doksuri will push air up the slopes. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Typhoon Doksuri will approach the east coast of China near Xiamen in 24 hours. Doksuri will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Fujian. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Doksuri could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along the coast of Fujian.

Typhoon Doksuri Brings Wind and Rain to the Northern Philippines

Typhoon Doksuri brought strong winds and heavy rain to the northern Philippines on Tuesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 19.2°N and longitude 121.3°E which put it about 40 miles (65 km) north-northeast of Claveria, Philippines. Doksuri was moving toward the west at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 165 m.p.h. (265 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 936 mb.

Powerful Typhoon Doksuri brought strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of northern Luzon, the Babuyan Islands, and the Batanes Islands on Tuesday. The eye of Typhoon Doksuri was just north of the coast of northern Luzon. The southern part of the eyewall of Doksuri was over the coast. Strong winds in other parts of the eyewall of Typhoon Doksuri were pounding the Babuyan Islands and the Batanes Islands.

The circulation around Typhoon Doksuri continued to be very well organized even though the southern part of the typhoon was over northern Luzon. A circular eye with a diameter of 28 miles (44 km) was at the center of Doksuri’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Doksuri. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

Doksuri continued to be a large typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 26.9 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 55.2. Typhoon Doksuri was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Frances when Frances was east of Florida in 2004. Doksuri was capable of causing widespread severe damage.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, much of the circulation around the southern part of Typhoon Doksuri will pass over northern Luzon. The flow of air over land is likely to somewhat disrupt the circulation around Doksuri. In addition, some of the circulation around the northern side of Doksuri will pass over Taiwan on Wednesday. Interactions with land are likely to cause Typhoon Doksuri to weaken during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Doksuri will move slowly away from northern Luzon during the next 24 hours. The strongest part of Doksuri will continue to lash the Babuyan Islands and the Batanes Islands north of Luzon until the typhoon moves farther away. Doksuri will produce strong winds and very heavy rain in the Babuyan Islands and the Batanes Islands for another 24 hours. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Doksuri could cause a storm surge of up to 15 feet (5 meters) along the coast of some of the islands where the wind pushes water toward the shore. Heavy rain will also continue to fall over parts of northern Luzon on Wednesday. The core of Doksuri could be south of Taiwan in less than 24 hours. Typhoon Doksuri will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Taiwan. The heaviest rain will fall on the eastern side of mountains where the winds around Doksuri will push air up the slopes.

Powerful Typhoon Doksuri Moves Near Northern Luzon

Powerful Typhoon Doksuri moved near northern Luzon on Monday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 17.9°N and longitude 124.2°E which put it about 165 miles (265 km) east-southeast of Aparri, Philippines. Doksuri was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 185 m.p.h. (295 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 926 mb.

Typhoon Doksuri strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Monday as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean just to the east of northern Luzon. A circular eye with a diameter of 40 miles (65 km) was present at the center of Doksuri’s circulation. The eye was surrounded with a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Doksuri. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

Doksuri was a large typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 295 miles (475 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 31.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 28.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 60.4. Typhoon Doksuri was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Wilma just before Wilma hit the Yucatan Peninsula in 2005. Doksuri was capable of causing widespread severe damage.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment very favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Doksuri could maintain its intensity during the next 24 hours unless an eyewall replacement cycle occurs. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall at the core of Doksuri, then concentric eyewalls could form. If concentric eyewalls, form, then an eyewall replacement cycle could cause Typhoon Doksuri to weaken.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Doksuri could pass just north of Escarpada Point in northeastern Luzon. The strongest part of Doksuri could affect the Babuyan Islands and the Batanes Islands north of Luzon. Doksuri will bring extremely strong winds and very heavy rain to the Babuyan Islands and the Batanes Islands. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Doksuri could cause a storm surge of up to 15 feet (5 meters) along the coast of some of the islands where the wind pushes water toward the shore. Heavy rain could also fall over parts of northern Luzon. The core of Doksuri could be south of Taiwan in 36 hours.

Typhoon Doksuri Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Doksuri rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 15.5°N and longitude 126.3°E which put it about 390 miles (615 km) southeast of Aparri, Philippines. Doksuri was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (230 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 956 mb.

Typhoon Doksuri rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Western North Pacific Ocean east of Luzon on Sunday. An eye with a diameter of 40 miles (65 km) was at the center of Doksuri’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Doksuri. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Doksuri increased when Doksuri rapidly intensified. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 220 miles (355 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 20.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 22.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 43.3. Doksuri was capable of causing widespread major damage.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Doksuri will continue to intensify during the next 24 hours. Doksuri could intensify rapidly at times.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Doksuri could be near northeastern Luzon within 36 hours. Doksuri could approach southern Taiwan in 60 hours.

Doksuri Rapidly Intensifies to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Doksuri rapidly intensified to a typhoon over the Western North Pacific Ocean east of Luzon on Sunday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 15.2°N and longitude 127.4°E which put it about 475 miles (765 km) southeast of Aparri, Philippines. Doksuri was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Doksuri rapidly intensified to a typhoon during the past 12 hours. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Doksuri’s circulation. An eye at the center of circulation was evident on conventional and microwave satellite images. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Doksuri. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Doksuri increased while Doksuri rapidly intensified. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 215 miles (345 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 13.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 22.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 36.0.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Doksuri is likely to continue to intensify rapidly during the next 24 hours. Doksuri could strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Doksuri could be near northeastern Luzon within 48 hours. Doksuri could approach southern Taiwan in 72 hours.

Tropical Storm Doksuri Intensifies East of the Philippines

Tropical Storm Doksuri intensified east of the Philippines on Saturday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Doksuri was located at latitude 14.9°N and longitude 128.7°E which put it about 830 miles (1340 km) southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Doksuri was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 989 mb.

Tropical Storm Doksuri exhibited better organization as it intensified over the Western North Pacific Ocean east of the Philippines on Saturday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the eastern side of the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. More thunderstorms developed in bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Doksuri. Bands in the western half of Doksuri still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Doksuri.

Tropical Storm Doksuri will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Doksuri will intensify during the next 24 hours. Doksuri is likely to strengthen to a typhoon on Sunday.

Tropical Storm Doksuri will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Doksuri will move closer to northern Luzon. Doksuri could reach Taiwan in less than four days.

Typhoon Chaba Hits Southern China

Typhoon Chaba hit southern China on Saturday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Chaba was located at latitude 21.5°N and longitude 111.0°E which put it about 25 miles (40 km) east of Wuchuan, China. Chaba was moving toward the north-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 95 m.p.h. (150 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 978 mb.

The center of Typhoon Chaba made landfall on the south coast of China near Wuchuan and Dianbai in Guangdong on Saturday morning. Typhoon Chaba was strengthening when it made landfall. A small circular eye was as the center of Chaba’s circulation. Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Chaba. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 190 miles (305 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Chaba will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Chaba toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Typhoon Chaba will move inland over southern China. Chaba will weaken gradually as it moves inland. Typhoon Chaba will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to southwestern Guangdong. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. There were reports a ship broke in two in heavy seas in the South China Sea.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Aere brought gusty winds and heavy rain to the center Ryukyu Islands. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Aere was located at latitude 26.3°N and longitude 129.1°E which put it about 115 miles (185 km) east-southeast of Okinawa. Aere was moving toward the north-northwest at 17 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Chaba Strengthens to a Typhoon Northeast of Hainan

Former Tropical Storm Chaba strengthened to a typhoon northeast of Hainan Island on Friday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Chaba was located at latitude 20.4°N and longitude 111.8°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) southeast of Wuchuan, China. Chaba was moving toward the northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Chaba strengthened to a typhoon over the warm water in the northern South China Sea on Friday afternoon. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Typhoon Chaba’s circulation and the strongest winds were occurring in a ring around the center. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Chaba. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Chaba. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 180 miles (290 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Chaba will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Chaba will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the northern part of the South China Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Chaba could continue to intensify during the next 12 hours.

Typhoon Chaba will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high will steer Chaba toward the northwest. On its anticipated track the center of Typhoon Chaba could make landfall on the coast of southern China near Wuchuan in 12 hours. Chaba will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to southwestern Guangdong. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Aere intensified gradually southeast of Okinawa. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Aere was located at latitude 23.6°N and longitude 130.4°E which put it about 305 miles (495 km) southeast of Okinawa. Aere was moving toward the north-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb. Tropical Storm Aere is forecast to move toward the north-northwest and to continue to strengthen gradually. Aere could be near Okinawa in 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Chaba Strengthens South of Hong Kong

Tropical Storm Chaba strengthened over the South China Sea south of Hong Kong on Thursday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Chaba was located at latitude 18.6°N and longitude 113.7°E which put it about 275 miles (445 km) south of Hong Kong, China. Chaba was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

Tropical Storm Chaba strengthened south of Hong Kong on Thursday night. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around most of the center of circulation. The strongest winds were occurring in the part of the rainband wrapped around the center. Bands of thunderstorms were occurring in the southern half of Chaba’s circulation. Bands in the northern half of Chaba contained more showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of circulation pumped mass away to the south and west of the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center.

Tropical Storm Chaba will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the 24 hours. Chaba will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the northern part of the South China Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Chaba will continue to intensify during the next 24 hours and it could strengthen to a typhoon.

Tropical Storm Chaba will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high will steer Chaba toward the northwest. On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Chaba could be near the northeastern part of Hainan Island in 18 hours. Chaba could approach the coast of southern China near Zhanjiang in 24 hours. Chaba could be a typhoon when it approaches southern China. It will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Aere formed south-southeast of Okinawa. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Aere was located at latitude 20.8°N and longitude 130.8°E which put it about 470 miles (760 km) south-southeast of Okinawa. Aere was moving toward the east-northeast at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb. Tropical Storm Aere is forecast to move toward the north-northwest and to strengthen gradually. Aere could be near Okinawa in 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Koguma Nears Vietnam

The center of Tropical Storm Koguma moved closer to northern Vietnam on Saturday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Koguma was located at latitude 20.2°N and longitude 106.9°E which put it about 115 miles (185 km) southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. Koguma was moving toward the northwest at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

The circulation around former Tropical Depression 05W strengthened slightly on Saturday and the system was upgraded to Tropical Storm Koguma. Even though the circulation around the former tropical depression was a little stronger, the distribution of thunderstorms around Tropical Storm Koguma was still asymmetrical. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands southwest of the center of Koguma. Bands in the other parts of the tropical storm consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. An upper level ridge centered over southern China was producing moderate northeasterly winds that were blowing toward the top of the depression. Those winds were causing moderate vertical wind shear and they were also causing the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms.

Tropical Storm Koguma will move into an environment only marginally favorable for intensification during the next few hours. Koguma will move over an area where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C. However, the upper level ridge over southern China will continue to produce moderate vertical wind shear. The moderate wind shear will keep Tropical Storm Koguma from strengthening significantly before it reaches Vietnam. The circulation around Koguma will weaken after the center moves over Vietnam.

Tropical Storm Koguma will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Koguma toward the northwest. On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Koguma will make landfall on the coast of northern Vietnam south of Haiphong in a few hours. Koguma will bring gusty winds to parts of northern Vietnam. Since the heaviest rain is falling southwest of the center of Tropical Storm Koguma, heavy rain is already falling over parts of northern Vietnam, northern Laos and extreme northeastern Thailand. The heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.