Tropical Cyclone Dudzai was passing southeast of Rodrigues on Sunday evening. At 10:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of the Tropical Cyclone Dudzai was located at latitude 21.3°S and longitude 62.2°E which put the center about 130 miles (210 km) east-southeast of Port Mathurin, Rodrigues. Dudzai was moving toward the west-southwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.
The intensity of Tropical Cyclone Dudzai did not change much on Sunday. Even though Dudzai’s intensity did not change a lot, its structure began to show signs of the start of a transition to an extratropical cyclone. Tropical Cyclone Dudzai moved over slightly cooler water on Sunday. Since the slightly cooler water contained less energy, thunderstorms in Dudzai did not rise as high into the atmosphere. There were also fewer thunderstorms near the center of Tropical Cyclone Dudzai. Some bands of showers and thunderstorms were still revolving around the center of Dudzai’s circulation.
The distribution of wind winds speeds in Tropical Cyclone Dudzai continued to be very asymmetrical. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 165 miles (265 km) in the southern half of Dudzai’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the northern half of Tropical Cyclone Dudzai.
Tropical Cyclone Duzai will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours. Dudzai will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C. It will move under the eastern part of an upper level low that is southeast of Mauritius and La Reunion. The upper level low will produce northeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Dudzai’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear and cooler Sea Surface Temperatures will cause Tropical Cyclone Dudzai to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next couple of days.
Tropical Cyclone Dudzai will move around the northern part of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dudzai toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, ropical Cyclone Dudzai will move away from Rodrigues on Monday. Dudzai will pass southeast of Mauritius and La Reunion early this week.