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Tropical Storm Pulasan Brings Gusty Winds and Rain to Okinawa

Tropical Storm Pulasan brought gusty winds and rain to Okinawa on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Pulasan was located at latitude 27.5°N and longitude 126.9°E which put the center about 35 miles (55 km) north of Okinawa.  Pulasan was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

Tropical Storm Pulasan brought gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Okinawa on Wednesday.  A weather station in Oku, Japan reported 5.04 inches (128 mm) of rain.  A weather station in Yoronjima Island reported 3.66 inches (93 mm) of rain.

The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Pulasan was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and eastern sides of Pulasan’s circulation.  Bands in the southern and western sides of Tropical Storm Pulasan consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Pulasan was also asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 320 miles (520 km) in the northwestern, northeastern and southeastern quadrants of Pulasan’s circulation.  The winds in the southwestern quadrant of Tropical Storm Pulasan were blowing at less than tropical storm force,

Tropical Storm Pulasan will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Pulasan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the northern side of a large upper level low centered southeast of China.  The upper level low will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Pulasan’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear. The strong wind shear will inhibit intensification.  Tropical Storm Pulasan could maintain its intensity during the next 24 hours if the wind shear does not get any stronger.  Pulasan will weaken if the vertical wind shear increases.

Tropical Storm Pulasan will move around the northern side of a large counterclockwise circulation southeast of China that is sometimes called a monsoon gyre.  The large counterclockwise circulation will steer Pulasan quickly toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Pulasan will be near Shanghai, China in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Pulasan will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to the region around Shanghai.  Flooding is still occurring from the recent passage of Typhoon Bebinca over the same area.  Additional heavy rain will make flooding worse.

 

Tropical Storm Pulasan Forms Southeast of Ryukyu Islands

Tropical Storm Pulasan formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean southeast of the Ryukyu Islands on Monday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Pulasan was located at latitude 19.3°N and longitude 137.8°E which put the center about 450 miles (725 km) south-southwest of Iwo To.  Pulasan was moving toward the west-northwest at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Pulasan was very large, but there were not many thunderstorms present.  Bands revolving around the center of Pulasan’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Thunderstorms were occurring in a band in the far eastern periphery of Tropical Storm Pulasan.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in a band in the far southern periphery of Pulasan’s circulation.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Pulasan was very large, but the distribution of wind speeds was asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 265 miles (425 km) in the eastern side of Pulasan’s circulation.  The winds in the western side of Tropical Storm Pulasan were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Pulasan will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Pulasan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the eastern side of a large upper level low centered east of Taiwan.  The upper level low will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Pulasan’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  The strong wind shear will inhibit intensification.  Tropical Storm Pulasan could intensify a little during the next 24 hours if the wind shear does not get any stronger.

Tropical Storm Pulasan will move around the northern side of a large counterclockwise circulation sometimes called a monsoon gyre.  The large counterclockwise circulation will steer Pulasan quickly toward the west-northwest during the next 36 hours.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Pulasan will be near the Ryukyu Islands in 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Pulasan will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere, former Typhoon Bebinca weakened to a tropical depression over eastern China.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Depression Bebinca was located at latitude 32.0°N and longitude 117.0°E which put the center about 100 miles (160 km) west of Nanjing, China.  Bebinca was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

Typhoon Bebinca Brings Wind and Rain to Ryukyu Islands

Typhoon Bebinca brought wind and rain to the Ryukyu Islands on Saturday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Bebinca located at latitude 28.5°N and longitude 128.6°E which put the center about 65 miles (105 km) west-northeast of Amami Oshima.  Bebinca was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 973 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Bebinca strengthened to a typhoon as it passed over the Ryukyu Islands on Saturday.  The center of Typhoon Bebinca passed over Amami Oshima.  A weather station in Naze, Japan reported 8.76 inches (222.5 mm) of rain.  A weather station in Kasari, Japan reported 4.80 inches (122.0 mm) of rain.  That weather station also reported a sustained wind speed of 52 m.p.h. (84 km/h).  A weather station in Koniya, Japan reported 3.33 inches (84.5 mm) of rain.  That weather station also reported a sustained wind speed of 39 m.p.h. (63 km/h).

Former Tropical Storm Bebinca strengthened to a typhoon on Saturday.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the eastern, northern and western sides of the center of Bebinca’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Bebinca.  Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Bebinca became more symmetrical on Saturday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Bebinca’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Typhoon Bebinca.

Typhoon Bebinca will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge east of China.  The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Bebinca will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca could intensify rapidly at times.

Typhoon Bebinca will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that extends from China to the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Bebinca toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Bebinca will approach the east coast of China near Shanghai.

Typhoon Bebinca will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the region of China near Shanghai.  Typhoon Bebinca will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Jiangsu and Zhejiang.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Bebinca Moves Toward Ryukyu Islands

Tropical Storm Bebinca moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean toward the Ryukyu Islands on Friday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca located at latitude 25.1°N and longitude 133.3°E which put the center about 405 miles (655 km) east-southeast of Okinawa.  Bebinca was moving toward the northwest at 25 m.p.h. (40 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

Tropical Storm Bebinca strengthened on Friday as it moved toward the Ryukyu Islands.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Bebinca’s circulation.  Even though more thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca, the distribution of thunderstorms was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Bebinca’s circulation.  Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Bebinca consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Bebinca generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Bebinca was also asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) in the northern half of Bebinca’s circulation.  The winds in the southern half of Tropical Storm Bebinca were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move through an environment mostly favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.   It will move under the northeastern part of an upper level low east of Taiwan.  The upper level low will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Bebinca’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Bebinca will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move around the northeastern part of a large low pressure system east of Taiwan.  The low pressure system will steer Bebinca toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Bebinca will reach the Ryukyu Islands in less than 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Bebinca could intensify to a typhoon before it reaches the Ryukyu Islands.  Bebinca will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Miniamidaitohima, Okinawa and Amami.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Bebinca Forms Near Guam

Tropical Storm Bebinca formed near Guam on Tuesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 144.0°E which put the center about 20 miles (30 km) southwest of Guam.  Bebinca was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the coastal waters of Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

A low pressure system near Guam strengthened on Tuesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Bebinca.  Bebinca brought wind and rain to the Marianas.  A weather station at Guam International Airport (PGUM) reported a sustained wind speed of 28 m.p.h. (45 km/h) and a wind gust of 45 m.p.h. (73 km/h).

The circulation around Tropical Storm Bebinca was exhibiting more organization on Tuesday afternoon.  More thunderstorms developed near the center of Bebinca’s circulation.  Thunderstorms also formed in bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Bebinca.  Bands in the western side of Bebinca’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Bebinca generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the pressure to decrease.

The distribution of winds speeds in Tropical Storm Bebinca was asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the northeastern quadrant of Bebinca’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 25 miles (40 km) in the other parts of Tropical Storm Bebinca.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.   It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Bebinca’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.  The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Bebinca will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Bebinca is likely to strengthen to a typhoon later this week.

Tropical Storm Bebinca will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Bebinca toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Bebinca will move west of the Marianas.  Bebinca could approach the Ryukyu Islands by the end of the week.

Tropical Storm Shanshan Drops Heavy Rain on Japan

Tropical Storm Shanshan dropped heavy on parts of southwestern Japan on Thursday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Shanshan was located at latitude 33.8°N and longitude 131.6°E which put the center about 20 miles (30 km) west of Matsuyama, Japan.  Shanshan was moving toward the east-northeast at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Former Typhoon Shanshan weakened to a tropical storm as it moved across Kyushu on Thursday.  Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Shanshan dropped heavy rain on parts of Kyushu, Shikoku and southwestern Honshu.  The heaviest rain fell in locations where southerly winds pushed air up the slopes of mountains.  A weather station in Yosuhara reported 16.37 inches (416 mm) of rain.  A weather station in Hongawa reported 13.05 inches (331.5 mm) of rain.  Heavy rainfall caused flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Shanshan weakened on Thursday as the center moved over land.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  The heaviest rain was falling in bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Shanshan.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of Shanshan.

An upper level trough over northeastern Asia will steer Tropical Storm Shanshan toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center Tropical Storm Shanshan will move across Shikoku during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Shanshan will continue to drop heavy rain on parts of southwestern Japan on Friday.  Heavy rain will fall in parts of Shikoku and southwestern Honshu.  The heaviest rain will fall where southerly winds push air up the slopes of mountains.  Heavy rain is likely to cause additional flash floods.

Typhoon Shanshan Brings Wind and Rain to Kyushu

Typhoon Shanshan brought wind and rain to Kyushu on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Shanshan was located at latitude 31.6°N and longitude 130.2°E which put the center about 35 miles (55 km) west of Kagoshima, Japan.  Shanshan was moving toward the north at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 957 mb.

Typhoon Shanshan brought wind and rain to Kyushu on Wednesday.  The eastern side of the eyewall of Shanshan moved over Makurazaki, Japan.  A weather station in Makurazaki reported a sustained wind speed of 69 m.p.h. (111 km/h).  The weather station also reported 8.42 inches (214 mm) of rain.  A weather station in Kaseda reported 10.95 inches (278 mm) of rain.  A weather station in Ibusuki reported 9.33 inches (237 mm) of rain.

Typhoon Shanshan was weakening gradually when it reached the west coast of Kyushu.  An upper level trough over northeastern Asia was producing southwest winds that were blowing toward the top of Shanshan’s circulation.  Those winds caused more vertical wind shear.  The increase in wind shear caused Typhoon Shanshan to start to weaken.

An eye was no longer visible at the center of Typhoon Shanshan on conventional satellite images.  The former eye was still being detected by radars operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency.  There were breaks in the ring of thunderstorms that surrounded the former eye.  The strongest winds were still occurring in that broken ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Shanshan.

The circulation around Typhoon Shanshan was still symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Typhoon Shanshan.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Shanshan was 16.5.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 11.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 28.3.  Typhoon Shanshan was similar in intensity to Hurricane Idalia when Idalia hit Florida in 2023.  Shanshan was bigger than Idalia was.

Typhoon Shanshan will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Shanshan toward the north during the next 12 hours.  The upper level trough over northeastern Asia will steer Shanshan toward the northeast on Thursday.  On its anticipated track, the center Typhoon Shanshan will move near the west coast of Kyushu during the next 12 hours.  Shanshan will move inland over Kyushu on Thursday.

Typhoon Shanshan will weaken gradually as it moves inland over Kyushu.  Even though Shanshan will weaken it will still produce strong winds and drop heavy rain over much of Kyushu.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations,

Typhoon Shanshan Strengthens to Equivalent of a Cat. 4 Hurricane

Typhoon Shanshan strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the northern Ryukyu Islands on Tuesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Shanshan was located at latitude 29.2°N and longitude 130.0°E which put the center about 90 miles (145 km) south-southwest of Kamiyaku, Japan.  Shanshan was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 130 m.p.h. (210 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 932 mb.

Typhoon Shanshan intensified to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Tuesday.  A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) was at the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Shanshan.  Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Shanshan was symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 145 miles (230 km) from the center of Typhoon Shanshan.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Shanshan was 25.1.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 12.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 37.2.  Typhoon Shanshan was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Harvey when Harvey hit Texas in 2017.

Typhoon Shanshan will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Shanshan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Shanshan could intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Shanshan will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Shanshan toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Shanshan will toward western Kyushu.  Shanshan could approach western Kyushu in 36 hours.

Typhoon Shanshan will continue to produce strong winds and heavy rain in the northern Ryukyu Islands.  The eastern side of the eyewall of Shanshan will move near Yakushima.  Shanshan will be capable of causing severe damage.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Shanshan will also cause a storm surge in the northern Ryukyu Islands where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

 

Typhoon Shanshan Intensifies to the Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Shanshan intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane near the northern Ryukyu Islands on Monday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Shanshan was located at latitude 28.3°N and longitude 130.6°E which put the center about 75 miles (120 km) east of Naze, Japan.  Shanshan was moving toward the northwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 943 mb.

Typhoon Shanshan intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Monday evening as it moved slowly near the northern Ryukyu Islands.  A small circular eye with a diameter of 12 miles (19 km) was at the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Shanshan.  Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Shanshan was symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Typhoon Shanshan.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Shanshan was 22.1.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 13.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 35.8.  Typhoon Shanshan was similar in size to Hurricane Delta when Delta hit southwest Louisiana in 2020.  Shanshan was stronger than Delta was.

Typhoon Shanshan will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Shanshan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Shanshan is likely to continue to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Shanshan will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Shanshan slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Shanshan will move over the northern Ryukyu Islands.  Shanshan could approach southwestern Japan in 48 hours. Shanshan could be a strong typhoon when it approaches Kyushu.

Typhoon Shanshan will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the northern Ryukyu Islands.  Shanshan will be capable of causing major damage.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Shanshan will also cause a storm surge on the northern Ryukyu Islands where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Typhoon Shanshan Continues to Strengthen

Typhoon Shanshan continues to strengthen over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan on Sunday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Shanshan was located at latitude 27.3°N and longitude 133.5°E which put the center about 350 miles (565 km) south-southeast of Kagoshima, Japan.  Shanshan was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 968 mb.

Typhoon Shanshan strengthened gradually on Sunday as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan.  A large circular eye was present at the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Shanshan.  Storms near the core of Shanshan’s circulation generated more upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of more mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The size of the circulation around typhoon Shanshan increased slightly on Sunday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Shanshan’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 145 miles (230 km) from the center of Typhoon Shanshan.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Shanshan was 13.9.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 11.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 25.6.

Typhoon Shanshan will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Shanshan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the northern periphery of an upper level low south of Japan.  The upper level low will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Shanshan’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Typhoon Shanshan will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Shanshan will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Shanshan toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Shanshan will move closer to Kyushu and Shikoku.  Shanshan could approach southwestern Japan in 48 hours.  Shanshan could be a strong typhoon when it approaches Japan.