Tropical Cyclone Rae brought wind and rain to eastern Fiji on Sunday night. At 7:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Rae was located at latitude 18.2°S and longitude 179.4°W which put the center about 55 miles (90 km) east-northeast of Moala, Fiji. Rae was moving toward the south-southwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.
Tropical Cyclone Rae brought strong winds and heavy rain to parts of eastern Fiji on Sunday night. Rae passed over the Lau Group of islands. The center of Tropical Cyclone Rae passed near Naitaba, Vanna Balavu, Mago, and Cicia.
Tropical Cyclone Rae intensified as it passed over eastern Fiji. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Rae’s circulation. An eye formed at the center of Tropical Cyclone Rae. A ring thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Cyclone Rae. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.
The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Rae became more circular on Sunday. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of Rae’s circulation.
Tropical Cyclone Rae will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Rae will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge near Fiji. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Rae is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon during the next 24 hours.
Tropical Cyclone Rae will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the South Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Rae toward the south during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Rae will move over the southern islands of in the Lau Group.
Tropical Cyclone Rae will bring continue to bring strong winds and heavy rain to the Lau Group of islands. The center of center of Rae’s circulation will pass near Moala, Totoya, and Mataku. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.