Monthly Archives: May 2023

Tropical Cyclone Fabien Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of Hurricane/Typhoon

Tropical Cyclone Fabien rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon over the South Indian Ocean on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Fabien was located at latitude 5.4°S and longitude 7°9.0E which put it about 490 miles (790 km) east-northeast of Diego Garcia. Fabien was moving toward the west-southwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

After it strengthened to a tropical cyclone on Sunday morning, Tropical Cyclone Fabien rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon by Sunday night. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Fabien’s circulation. A small circular eye was forming at the center of Tropical Cyclone Fabien. A ring of thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Fabien’s circulation. The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Fabien was small. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 15 miles (25 km) from the center of Fabien. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Fabien will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Fabien will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the northern side of an upper level ridge over the Southeast Indian Ocean. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Fabien’s circulation. The winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere will also blow from the east and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Fabien will intensity during the next 36 hours. Fabien is likely to strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane.

Tropical Cyclone Fabien will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Southeast Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Fabien toward the west-southwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Fabien could pass near Diego Garcia in 48 hours. Fabien is likely to be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it passes near Diego Garcia.

Tropical Cyclone Fabien Forms over South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Fabien formed over the South Indian Ocean on Sunday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Fabien was located at latitude 4.7°S and longitude 81.7°E which put it about 690 miles (1110 km) east-northeast of Diego Garcia. Fabien was moving toward the west-southwest at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A low pressure system over the South Indian Ocean east-northeast of Diego Garcia strengthened on Sunday morning and Meteo France la Reunion designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Fabien. The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Fabien exhibited more organization on Sunday morning. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Fabien’s circulation. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Cyclone Fabien. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Fabien will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Fabien will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the northern side of an upper level ridge over the Southeast Indian Ocean. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Fabien’s circulation. The winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere will also blow from the east and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Fabien will intensity during the next 48 hours. Fabien is forecast to strengthen to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon.

Tropical Cyclone Fabien will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Southeast Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Fabien toward the west-southwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Fabien could pass near Diego Garcia in two or three days. Fabien is likely to be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it passes near Diego Garcia.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha Hits Myanmar

Tropical Cyclone Mocha hits Myanmar on Sunday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha was located at latitude 20.5°N and longitude 93.0°E which put it about 20 miles (30 km) north-northeast of Sittwe, Myanmar. Mocha was moving toward the northeast at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 195 m.p.h. (315 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 919 mb.

The center of powerful Tropical Cyclone Mocha made landfall on the coast of Myanmar near Sittwe on Sunday morning. Mocha was near its peak intensity at the time of landfall. A circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was present at the center of Mocha’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Tropical Cyclone Mocha.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha intensified to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale at the time of landfall. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Mocha’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Mocha was 33.2. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 14.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 47.9. Tropical Cyclone Mocha was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Michael when Michael hit Northwest Florida in 2018. Tropical Cyclone Mocha was capable of causing regional severe damage.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer Mocha toward the northeast during the next 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will bring very strong winds and locally heavy rain to Myanmar. The strong winds and heavy rain are likely to cause severe damage. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Mocha could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along portions of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will also bring gusty winds and heavy rain to eastern Bangladesh.

Powerful Tropical Cyclone Mocha Nears Myanmar and Bangladesh

Powerful Tropical Cyclone Mocha was nearing the coast of the Bay of Bengal near the border between Myanmar and Bangladesh on Saturday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha was located at latitude 18.4°N and longitude 91.4°E which put it about 150 miles (240 km) south-southwest of Sittwe, Myanmar. Mocha was moving toward the north-northeast at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 185 m.p.h. (295 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 926 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha continued to intensify on Saturday. A circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was present at the center of Mocha’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that band of storms. Storms near the center of circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped a large quantity of mass away from the tropical cyclone. The removal of a large quantity of mass allowed the surface pressure to decrease to 926 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha intensified to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Saturday. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Mocha’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Mocha was 31.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 12.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 43.6. Tropical Cyclone Mocha was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Ida when Ida hit southeast Louisiana in 2021. Tropical Cyclone Mocha was capable of causing regional severe damage.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move through an environment favorable for a powerful tropical cyclone during the next few hours. Mocha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the center of an upper level ridge over the Bay of Bengal. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to maintain its intensity until it reaches land.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer Mocha toward the north-northeast during the next 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to make landfall between Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh and Sittwe, Myanmar in less than 12 hours. Mocha will be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it makes landfall. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will bring very strong winds and locally heavy rain to Myanmar and Bangladesh. The strong wind and rain is likely to cause severe damage. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Mocha could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along portions of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha Strengthens to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Tropical Cyclone Mocha strengthened to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Bay of Bengal on Friday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha was located at latitude 15.2°N and longitude 88.9°E which put it about 545 miles (880 km) south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Mocha was moving toward the north-northeast at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 945 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Bay of Bengal on Friday. A circular eye was present at the center of Mocha’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that band of storms. Storms near the center of circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped a large quantity of mass away from the tropical cyclone. The removal of mass allowed the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Mocha was large. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Mocha’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Mocha was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 12.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 36.2. Tropical Cyclone Mocha was capable of causing major damage.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Mocha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the center of an upper level ridge over the Bay of Bengal. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer Mocha toward the north-northeast during the next 48 hours. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to make landfall near the border between Bangladesh and Myanmar during the weekend. Mocha is likely to be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it makes landfall. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Myanmar and Bangladesh. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Mocha could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along portions of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha Intensifies to Equivalent of Hurricane/Typhoon

Tropical Cyclone Mocha intensified to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon over the Bay of Bengal on Thursday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha was located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 88.3°E which put it about 670 miles (1080 km) south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Mocha was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha intensified rapidly to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon on Thursday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Mocha’s circulation. An eye was evident at the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha on microwave satellite images. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Mocha’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease steadily. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of Mocha’s circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Mocha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the center of an upper level ridge over the Bay of Bengal. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will intensify during the next 36 hours. Mocha could intensify rapidly at times. Mocha is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a major hurricane within 36 hours .

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer Mocha toward the north-northeast during the next 48 hours. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to make landfall near the border between Bangladesh and Myanmar during the weekend. Mocha is likely to be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it makes landfall. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Myanmar and Bangladesh. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Mocha could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along portions of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha Develops over Bay of Bengal

Tropical Cyclone Mocha developed over the Bay of Bengal on Thursday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mocha was located at latitude 11.2°N and longitude 88.1°E which put it about 310 miles (500 km) west of Port Blair. Mocha was moving toward the north-northwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

A low pressure system over the Bay of Bengal strengthened during Wednesday night and the India Meteorological Department classified the system as Tropical Cyclone Mocha. The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Mocha was organizing rapidly on Thursday morning. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Mocha’s circulation and a large eye appeared to be forming. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the developing inner core of Tropical Cyclone Mocha. Storms near the center of circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. The removal of mass was causing the surface pressure to decrease. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Mocha’s circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Mocha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the center of an upper level ridge over the Bay of Bengal. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will intensify during the next 48 hours. Mocha could intensify rapidly once the inner core with an eye and eyewall are completely formed. Mocha is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon during the next 24 hours. Mocha could intensify to the equivalent of a major hurricane in two or three days.

Tropical Cyclone Mocha will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer Mocha toward the north during the next 24 hours. Mocha will start to move toward the north-northeast on Friday after it moves around the western end of the high pressure system. Tropical Cyclone Mocha is likely to make landfall near the border between Bangladesh and Myanmar during the weekend. Mocha could be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it makes landfall. Tropical Cyclone Mocha will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Myanmar and Bangladesh. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Mocha could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Tropical Cyclone Forming over Bay of Bengal

A tropical cyclone was forming over the Bay of Bengal on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of a low pressure system was located at latitude 8.3°N and longitude 88.3°E which put it about 370 miles (595 km) southwest of Port Blair. The low pressure system was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

A low pressure system was strengthening over the southern Bay of Bengal on Tuesday morning. The India Meteorological Department classified the system as a well marked low pressure system and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center designated the system as Invest 91B. The circulation around the low pressure system exhibited more organization on Tuesday morning. Several bands of showers and thunderstorms were beginning to revolve around the center of circulation. The strongest bands were in the southern and western parts of the low pressure system. Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the low pressure system. The removal of mass was causing the surface pressure to decrease.

The low pressure system will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next few days. The low pressure system will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the center of an upper level ridge over the Bay of Bengal. The upper level winds are weak near the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. The low pressure system will intensify during the next 48 hours. It is likely to strengthen to a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours. The low pressure system is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon later this week.

The low pressure system will move around the western end of a high pressure system that extends from the Western North Pacific Ocean to Southeast Asia. The high pressure system will steer the low pressure system toward the north during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track the center of circulation will pass west of the Andaman Islands and the Nicobar Islands. Bands of showers and thunderstorms in the eastern side of the circulation will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to the Andaman Islands and the Nicobar Islands. The low pressure system will move toward the north-northeast later this week. It is likely to make landfall near the border between Bangladesh and Myanmar in a few days. The low pressure system is likely to be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it makes landfall.