Tropical Cyclone Habana Develops South of Diego Garcia

Tropical Cyclone Habana developed over the South Indian Ocean south of Diego Garcia on Thursday. At 10:00 a.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Habana was located at latitude 16.5°S and longitude 73.0°E which put it about 640 miles (1035 km) south of Diego Garcia. Habana was moving toward the east-southeast at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

An area of low pressure over the South Indian Ocean south of Diego Garcia strengthened on Thursday and the system was designated as Tropical Cyclone Habana. The circulation around Habana was still organizing. A primary rainband wrapped around the eastern and southern sides of the center of circulation. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were developing. Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence which pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) on the eastern side of Tropical Cyclone Habana. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 65 miles (105 km) in the western half of Habana.

Tropical Cyclone Habana will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Habana will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will be near 29°C. It will move near the southern part of an upper level ridge. The ridge will produce westerly winds which will blow toward the top of Habana. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear and the shear will limit the rate at which Tropical Cyclone Habana intensifies.

Tropical Cyclone Habana will move south of a high pressure system over the tropical South Indian Ocean. The high will steer Habana toward the east during the next several days. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Habana will remain far to the south of Diego Garcia.

Elsewhere over the South Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Marian was weakening gradually. At 10:00 a.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Marian was located at latitude 22.1°S and longitude 94.1°E which put it about 680 miles (1100 km) south-southwest of Cocos Island. Marian was moving toward the south-southeast at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.