Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Back Over the Mozambique Channel

Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi moved back over the Mozambique Channel on Tuesday.  At 4:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi was located at latitude 19.6°S and longitude 40.0°E which put the center about 225 miles (365 km) southeast of Quelimane, Mozambique.  Dikeledi was moving toward the south at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 985 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi moved back over the Mozambique Channel on Tuesday.  Dikeledi began to strengthen again after the center of circulation moved back over water.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Dikeledi’s circulation.  More thunderstorms also formed in bands revolving around the center of Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi.  Storms near the center of Dikeledi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.

The distribution of winds speeds in Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi after its passage over northeastern Mozambique on Monday.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) in the eastern side of Dikeledi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the western side of Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi.

Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dikeledi will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over southern Africa and the Mozambique Channel.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi will intensify back to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dikeledi toward the south-southeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi will approach Europa Island in 12 hours.  Dikeledi will be southwest of Madagascar in 24 hours.

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