Tag Archives: Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Hidaya Develops East of Tanzania

Tropical Cyclone Hidaya developed over the South Indian Ocean east of Tanzania on Wednesday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Hidaya was located at latitude 8.6°S and longitude 45.0°E which put it about 2250 miles (360 km) north-northeast of the Comoros. Hidaya was moving toward the west at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

A former tropical depression over the South Indian Ocean north-northeast of Comoros strengthened on Wednesday and Meteo France La Reunion designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Hidaya. Thunderstorms were occurring near the center of Hidaya’s circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of circulation. Storms near the center of Hidaya generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Hidaya.

Tropical Cyclone Hidaya will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Hidaya will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the western end of the axis of an upper level ridge over the South Indian Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Hidaya is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Hidaya will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer the Hidaya toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Hidaya will move north of Comoros on Thursday. Hidaya will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Comoros. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Tropical Cyclone Hidaya could approach the coast of Africa near southern Tanzania and northern Mozambique later this week.

Tropical Depression Forms Northeast of Comoros

A tropical depression formed over the South Indian Ocean northeast of Comoros on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of a tropical depression was located at latitude 7.7°S and longitude 45.0°E which put it about 250 miles (400 km) northeast of the Comoros. The tropical depression was moving toward the southwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

A low pressure system over the South Indian Ocean northeast of Comoros exhibited more organization on Tuesday morning and Meteo France La Reunion designated the system as a tropical depression. More thunderstorms formed near the center of the tropical depression. Thunderstorms also developed in bands revolving around the center of circulation. Storms near the center began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression.

The tropical depression will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. The tropical depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the western end of the axis of an upper level ridge over the South Indian Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. The tropical depression is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a tropical storm during the next 24 hours.

The tropical depression will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track the tropical depression will move over Comoros on Wednesday. It will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Comoros. Locally heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. The tropical depression could approach the coast of Africa near southern Tanzania and northern Mozambique later this week.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo Moves Away from Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Filipo moved away from Mozambique on Wednesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo was located at latitude 28.9°S and longitude 36.6°E which put it about 245 miles (390 km) southeast of Maputo, Mozambique. Filipo was moving toward the southeast at 23 m.p.h. (37 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo started to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone as it moved away from Mozambique on Wednesday. An upper level trough over southern Africa produced strong northwesterly winds that blew toward the top of Filipo’s circulation. Those winds also caused strong vertical wind shear and the wind shear started the transition to an extratropical cyclone. Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the southern part of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. Bands in the northern part of Filipo’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the eastern side of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) in the western side of Filipo.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move through an environment unfavorable for a tropical cyclone during the next 36 hours. Filipo will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C. However, the upper level trough over southern Africa will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear. The combination of strong vertical wind shear and cooler water will cause Tropical Cyclone Filipo to complete a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next 36 hours.

The upper level trough over southern Africa will steer Tropical Cyclone Filipo toward the southeast during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Filipo will pass south of Madagascar in 24 hours. Filipo is likely to be an extratropical cyclone when it passes south of Madagascar.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo Moves Across Eastern Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Filipo moved across eastern Mozambique on Tuesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo was located at latitude 25.0°S and longitude 33.8°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) southwest of Inhambane, Mozambique. Filipo was moving toward the south-southwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo continued to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain as it moved over eastern Mozambique on Tuesday. There were reports of damage in Vilankulo. Although Tropical Cyclone Filipo weakened as it moved across eastern Mozambique, it continued to exhibit a well organized circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Filipo’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the eastern side of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) in the western side of Filipo’s circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Filipo toward the southeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move back over the Southwest Indian Ocean in a few hours. Filipo will continue to cause strong winds and to drop locally heavy rain until it moves away from Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move into an environment favorable for intensification when it moves back over the Southwest Indian Ocean. Filipo will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge west of Madagascar. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the upper level ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Filipo is likely to intensify after the center moves back over the Southwest Indian Ocean. Filipo could strengthen to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon during the next 36 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo Brings Wind and Rain to Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Filipo brought wind and rain to Mozambique on Monday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo was located at latitude 21.1°S and longitude 35.5°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) northeast of Machanga, Mozambique. Filipo was moving toward the southwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo strengthened to near the threshold for a hurricane/typhoon as it approached the coast of Mozambique on Monday night. A small circular eye appeared intermittently on microwave satellite images of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 130 miles (210 km) in the southern half of Filipo’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 50 miles (80 km) in the northern half of Tropical Cyclone Filipo.

Bands in the western half of Tropical Cyclone Filipo were bringing wind and rain to parts of eastern Mozambique on Monday night. The strongest winds and heaviest rain were occurring along the portion of the coast from Divinhe to Vilankulo. Heavy rain was falling near Machanga, Mambone and Macovane. A storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) was possible along the coast from Divinhe to Vilankulo.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Filipo toward the south-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move inland near Machanga and Mambone during the next few hours. The center of Filipo’s circulation will pass west of Inhambane and Maputo. Tropical Cyclone Filipo will weaken gradually when it moves inland. However, Filipo will continue to cause strong winds and to drop locally heavy rain over eastern Mozambique. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo Strengthens Near Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Filipo strengthened as it near the coast of Mozambique on Monday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo was located at latitude 20.4°S and longitude 37.0°E which put it about 120 miles (195 km) southeast of Beira, Mozambique. Filipo was moving toward the west-southwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo strengthened over the Mozambique Channel as it approached the coast of Mozambique on Monday morning. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Filipo’s circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of circulation. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Filipo will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Mozambique Channel. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the upper level ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Filipo will intensify during the next 12 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Filipo toward the southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Filipo will approach the coast of Mozambique in 12 hours. The center of Filipo’s circulation is likely to make landfall between Divinhe and Vilankulo. Tropical Cyclone Filipo will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to eastern Mozambique. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Filipo could also cause a storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) along the coast of Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo Forms Over Mozambique Channel

Tropical Cyclone Filipo formed over the Mozambique Channel on Sunday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo was located at latitude 19.9°S and longitude 38.2°E which put it about 235 miles (380 km) east of Beira, Mozambique. Filipo was moving toward the west-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.

A low pressure system strengthened over the Mozambique Channel on Sunday and Meteo France La Reunion designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Filipo. The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Filipo exhibited more organization on Sunday. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern part of Filipo’s circulation. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the eastern and southern sides of the center of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Bands in the western part of Filipo’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 40 miles in the eastern side of Tropical Cyclone Filipo. The winds in the western side of Filipo were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Filipo will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Mozambique Channel. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the upper level ridge. Tropical Cyclone Filipo will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Filipo will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Filipo toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Filipo will approach the coast of Mozambique in 24 hours The center of Filipo’s circulation is likely to make landfall between Beira and Inhambane. Tropical Cyclone Filipo will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to eastern Mozambique. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Filipo could also cause a storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) along the coast of Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy Drops Heavy Rain on Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Freddy dropped heavy rain on parts of Mozambique on Sunday. At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Freddy was located at latitude 17.2°S and longitude 36.3°E which put it about 55 miles (90 km) northwest of Quelimane, Mozambique. Freddy was moving toward the west-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (9 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy dropped heavy rain on parts of Mozambique and eastern Zimbabwe on Sunday as it moved slowly farther inland. Since Freddy was moving slowly, there were prolonged periods of heavy rain in some locations. The prolonged periods of heavy rain caused a high risk for floods in those locations. Tropical Cyclone Freddy was still producing winds to tropical storm force in the bands in the eastern side of the circulation over the Mozambique Channel.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy will be in an area where the steering winds are weak during the next several days. Freddy’s circulation is forecast to meander over Mozambique and eastern Zimbabwe. Tropical Cyclone Freddy will continue to weaken slowly while the center of circulation is over land. Freddy will continue to drop heavy rain over parts of Mozambique and eastern Zimbabwe for the next 48 hours. Additional flooding is likely to occur in those places that receive prolonged heavy rain.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy Hits Mozambique Again

Tropical Cyclone Freddy hit Mozambique again on Saturday. At 10:00 a.m. EST on Saturday the center of Tropical Cyclone Freddy was located at latitude 17.9°S and longitude 37.2°E which put it about 25 miles (40 km) east of Quelimane, Mozambique. Freddy was moving toward the northwest at 2 m.p.h. (3 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 110 m.p.h. (175 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 130 m.p.h. (210 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 959 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy intensified before it hit the coast of Mozambique east of Quelimane on Saturday. A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) formed at the center of Freddy’s circulation. A ring of thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Tropical Cyclone Freddy. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.

The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Freddy increased in size as Freddy intensified. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Freddy’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Freddy was 19.2. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 13.5 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 32.7. Tropical Cyclone Freddy was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Sally when Sally hit South Alabama in 2020. Tropical Cyclone Freddy was capable of causing regional serious damage.

The steering currents weakened as Tropical Cyclone Freddy approached the coast of central Mozambique. Freddy is forecast to meander near the coast of Mozambique during the next 48 hours. Tropical Cyclone Freddy will begin to weaken when the center of circulation moves completely over land. However, Freddy will cause a prolonged period of strong winds and heavy rain near Quelimane. Heavy rain will cause floods in some locations. Tropical Cyclone Freddy could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along the coast. Widespread electricity outages are likely in the area near Quelimane. There is a chance Freddy could move back over the Mozambique Channel next week.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy Creeps Toward Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Freddy crept slowly toward the coast of Mozambique on Friday. At 10:00 a.m. EST on Friday the center of Tropical Cyclone Freddy was located at latitude 18.0°S and longitude 38.3°E which put it about 130 miles (210 km) east-southeast of Quelimane, Mozambique. Freddy was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy crept slowly toward the coast of central Mozambique on Friday. Freddy strengthened gradually as it moved closer to the coast. A small circular eye was at the center of Freddy’s circulation on microwave satellite images. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Tropical Cyclone Freddy. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.

The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Freddy was small. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 15 miles (25 km) from the center of circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Freddy will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will be in an area where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Freddy will move into a moister air mass that will be more favorable for intensification. Tropical Cyclone Freddy is likely to intensify gradually during the next 24 hours.

A high pressure system southeast of Madagascar will steer Tropical Cyclone Freddy slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Freddy will approach the coast of Mozambique between Quelimane and Pebane. Tropical Cyclone Freddy will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the coast of central Mozambique. Heavy rain is very likely to cause flash floods in some locations. Freddy could also produce a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coast. The currents steering Tropical Cyclone Freddy could weaken even more during the weekend. If the steering currents weaken further, then Freddy could stall near the coast of Mozambique. If Tropical Cyclone Freddy stalls near the coast, then prolonged heavy rain could cause serious floods.