Tropical Cyclone Jude hit Mozambique on Sunday night. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Jude was located at latitude 15.2°S and longitude 39.5°E which put the center about 70 miles (110 km) southwest of Nacala, Mozambique. Jude was moving toward the west at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 983 mb.
The center of Tropical Cyclone Jude hit the coast of Mozambique just to the south of Nacala on Sunday night. Jude was the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon at the time of landfall. The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) at the time of landfall.
The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Jude was 13.9 at the time of landfall. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 14.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 27.9. Tropical Cyclone Jude was similar in intensity to Hurricane Hanna when Hanna hit south Texas in 2020. Jude was larger than Hanna was.
The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Jude remains well organized even though the center of Jude’s circulation has been over land for a few hours. Bands of showers and thunderstorms are revolving around the center of Tropical Cyclone Jude. Storms near the center of circulation continue to generate upper level divergence that is pumping mass away from the tropical cyclone.
The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Jude continues to be symmetrical. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Jude’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Jude.
Tropical Cyclone Jude will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Mozambique Channel. The high pressure system will steer Jude toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Jude will move farther inland over northern Mozambique. Jude could turn toward the south during the middle of the week.
Tropical Cyclone Jude will continue to bring strong winds and heavy rain to parts of northern Mozambique. Heavy rain is likely to cause floods in some locations. Jude will weaken gradually while the center is over land.
Elsewhere over the South Indian Ocean, Tropical Cyclone Ivone was passing far to the south-southeast of Diego Garcia. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Ivone was located at latitude 19.4°S and longitude 81.9°E which put the center about 1060 miles (1660 km) south-southeast of Diego Garcia. Ivone was moving toward the south-southwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.