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Tropical Cyclone Kirrily Brings Wind and Rain to Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily brought wind and rain to northern Queensland on Thursday. At 10:00 a.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily was located at latitude 19.6°S and longitude 145.6°E which put it about 70 miles (110 km) west of Townsville, Australia. Kirrily was moving toward the west-southwest at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

A Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Innisfail to Ayr. The Warning included Townsville.

The center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily made landfall on the coast of Queensland just to the north of Townsville on Thursday. Kirrily strengthened up until it made landfall. Tropical Cyclone Kirrily was almost the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon at the time of landfall. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Kirrily’s circulation and an eye was starting to form just before landfall occurred. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily at the time of landfall.

A weather station at Townsville reported a sustained wind speed of 38 m.p.h. (61 km/h) and a wind gust of 58 m.p.h. (93 km/h). The weather station reported 0.97 inches (24.6 mm) of rain. A weather station at Lucinda reported a sustained wind speed of 51 m.p.h. (82 km/h) and a wind gust of 62 m.p.h. (100 km/h). A weather station at Alva Beach reported a sustained wind speed of 49 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and a wind gust of 67 m.p.h. (108 km/h). That weather station also reported 1.13 inches (28.8 mm) of rain.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move around the northwestern part of a high pressure system over the Coral Sea. The high pressure system will steer Kirrily toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will continue to move inland over northern Queensland. Kirrily will weaken gradually as it moves farther inland. Kirrily will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to northern Queensland. Heavy rain could cause floods in some locations. A Flood Watch was in effect for the region between Tully and Airlie Beach.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily Approaches Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily approached the coast of Queensland on Wednesday night. At 10:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily was located at latitude 18.5°S and longitude 148.5°E which put it about 135 miles (215 km) east-northeast of Townsville, Australia. Kirrily was moving toward the west-southwest at 10 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

A Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Innisfail to Sarina. The Warning included Townsville, Mackay and Bowen.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily strengthened on Wednesday as it moved over the Coral Sea toward the coast of Queensland. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the northern side of the center of Kirrily’s circulation. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily. Bands in the eastern side of Kirrily’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Kirrily generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Kirrily will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the northern part of an upper level ridge over Australia. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Kirrily’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear may not be enough to prevent strengthening. Tropical Cyclone Kirrily could intensify to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon during the next 12 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Coral Sea during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Kirrily toward the west-southwest. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will approach the coast of Queensland near Townsville in 12 hours. Kirrily will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to northern Queensland. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. A Flood Watch was in effect for the region between Tully and Airlie Beach. Tropical Cyclone Kirrily could also cause a storm surge of up to 8 feet (2.4 meters) along the portion of the coast where the wind blows the water toward the shore.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily Forms Over Coral Sea

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily formed over the Coral Sea east of Queensland on Tuesday night. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily was located at latitude 17.5°S and longitude 151.7°E which put it about 300 miles (485 km) east-northeast of Townsville, Australia. Kirrily was moving toward the west at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.

A Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Innisfail to Sarina. The Warning included Townsville, Mackay and Bowen.

A low pressure system over the Coral Sea east of Queensland strengthened during Tuesday night and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Kirrily. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Kirrily’s circulation. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily. Bands in the eastern side of Kirrily’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Kirrily generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Kirrily will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the northern part of an upper level ridge over Australia. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Kirrily’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear may not be enough to prevent strengthening. Tropical Cyclone Kirrily is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Coral Sea during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Kirrily toward the west-southwest. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will approach the coast of Queensland near Townsville in 24 hours. Kirrily will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to northern Queensland. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere, Tropical Cyclone Anggrek strengthened back to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon over the South Indian Ocean. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Anggrek was located at latitude 14.2°S and longitude 91.0°E which put it about 1350 miles (2180 km) east-southeast of Diego Garcia. Anggrek was moving toward the southwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Ana Brings Wind and Rain to Northern Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Ana brought wind and rain to northern Mozambique on Monday morning. At 7:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Ana was located at latitude 16.4°S and longitude 38.6°E which put it about 35 miles (55 km) west of Moma, Mozambique. Ana was moving toward the west at 21 m.p.h. (33 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.

The center of Tropical Cyclone Ana made landfall on the coast of northern Mozambique between Angoche and Moma on Monday morning. Ana was the equivalent of a tropical storm at the time of landfall. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) in the eastern side of Ana’s circulation. The strongest winds were occurring over the Mozambique Channel. The winds were weaker over land. Thunderstorms in bands in the western half of Tropical Cyclone Ana were dropping heavy rain over parts of northern Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Ana will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Ana toward the west during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Cyclone Ana will move across northern Mozambique and southern Malawi. The center of Ana could pass near Mualama, Mucubela, and Mocuba. Tropical Cyclone Ana will weaken gradually as it moves farther inland. Ana will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to northern Mozambique, southern Malawi and northern Zimbabwe. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Weather conditions over the Mozambique Channel should improve slowly as Tropical Cyclone Ana moves farther inland.

Tropical Cyclone Ana Strengthens over Mozambique Channel

Tropical Cyclone Ana strengthened over the Mozambique Channel on Sunday. At 10:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Ana was located at latitude 15.8°S and longitude 41.5°E which put it about 110 miles (175 km) east-northeast of Angoche, Mozambique. Ana was moving toward the west at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

A former tropical depression strengthened to Tropical Cyclone Ana over the Mozambique Channel on Sunday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the northern side of the center of Ana’s circulation on Sunday evening. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of circulation. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and western parts of Ana. Bands in the southeastern part of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The air in that part of Tropical Cyclone Ana had passed over Madagascar and may have been sinking. Storms near the center of Ana generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Ana will move through an environment favorable for intensification for the next few hours. Ana will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the northwestern part of an upper level ridge over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of the circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification. Ana could get stronger before it reaches the coast of Mozambique on Monday.

Tropical Cyclone Ana will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Ana toward the west during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Cyclone Ana could make landfall on the coast of Mozambique near Angoche in a few hours. Ana will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to northern Mozambique, southern Malawi and northern Zimbabwe. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Tropical Cyclone Ana could cause a storms surge of up to six feet (2 meters) along the northern coast of Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane Makes Landfall in Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Chalane made landfall in Mozambique on Tuesday night. At 9:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane was located at latitude 19.5°S and longitude 35.3°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) northeast of Beira, Mozambique. Chalane was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane made landfall just to the north of Beira, Mozambique on Tuesday night. Chalane intensified until it made landfall. Tropical Cyclone Chalane was almost the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon at the time of landfall. An elliptical eye was at the center of Chalane. The eye was surround by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Chalane.

Tropical Storm Chalane will move north of a high pressure system over southern Africa and the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high will steer Chalane toward the west during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move across central Mozambique and Zimbabwe. Chalane will weaken steadily as it moves farther inland. It will drop heavy rain over parts of central Mozambique and Zimbabwe. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane Strengthens East of Mozambique

Tropical Cyclone Chalane strengthened east of Mozambique on Tuesday. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane was located at latitude 19.6°S and longitude 39.3°E which put it about 225 miles (365 km) east of Beira, Mozambique. Chalane was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Chalane was much more symmetrical and it exhibited better organization on Tuesday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of circulation and satellite images indicated that an eye could be forming at the center of Chalane. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the tropical cyclone. The circulation around Chalane was small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Chalane will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 31°C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The winds near the axis of the ridge are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Chalane will intensify today and it could strengthen to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move north of a subtropical high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high will steer Chalane toward the west during the next two days. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Chalane will make landfall near Beira, Mozambique in 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Chalane could be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it reaches Mozambique. Chalane will bring strong winds to the portion of the coast near Beira. It could cause a storm surge at the coast of up to 7 feet (2 meters). Tropical Cyclone Chalane will drop heavy rain over parts of central Mozambique and flash floods could occur.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane Emerges over Mozambique Channel

Tropical Cyclone Chalane emerged over the Mozambique Channel on Monday. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane was located at latitude 20.1°S and longitude 43.3°E which put it about 270 miles (440 km) east-northeast of Europa Island. Chalane was moving toward the west-southwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

After crossing central Madagascar during the weekend, Tropical Cyclone Chalane emerged over the Mozambique Channel on Monday. The circulation around Chalane remained relatively intact despite crossing mountains on Madagascar. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands north and east of the center of circulation. Bands south and west of the center consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence which pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 40 miles in the southern half of Tropical Cyclone Chalane. The winds in the northern half of the circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Chalane will move over water in the Mozambique Channel where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 31°C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The winds near the axis of the ridge are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Chalane will intensify and it could strengthen to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move north of a subtropical high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high will steer Chalane toward the west during the next few days. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Chalane will pass near Europa Island in 18 hours. Chalane could approach the central coast of Mozambique in 48 hours. Tropical Cyclone Chalane could be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it reaches Mozambique.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane Makes Landfall in Madgascaar

The center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane made landfall on the coast of Madagascar on Saturday. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Saturday the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane was located at latitude 17.8°S and longitude 49.2°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) northwest of Toamasina, Madagascar. Chalane was moving toward the west at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

The center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane made landfall on the coast of northeast Madagascar between Fenoarivo and Toamasina on Saturday. The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) at the time of landfall. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles from the center of the tropical cyclone. The heaviest rain was falling in bands in the western and southern parts of Chalane.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move west-southwest across central Madagascar during the next 24 hours. The center will pass a little north of Antananarivo. The mountains will disrupt the lower levels of the circulation and Chalane will weaken while it is over land. However, Tropical Cyclone Chalane will drop heavy rain over parts of central and northern Madagascar. The rain will be heaviest where winds push air up the slopes and flash floods could occur in regions of steep terrain.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move over the Mozambique Channel in a day or so. If the middle and upper parts of the circulation remain relatively intact, then Chalane could strengthen back into the equivalent of a tropical storm. Tropical Cyclone Chalane or the remnants of its circulation could approach Mozambique in 72 hours

Tropical Cyclone Chalane Swirls Toward Madagascar

Tropical Cyclone Chalane swirled toward Madagascar on Friday. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Friday the center of Tropical Cyclone Chalane was located at latitude 16.2°S and longitude 53.3°E which put it about 240 miles (390 km) east of Mananara, Madagascar. Chalane was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Chalane exhibited more organization on Friday, but the it was still asymmetrical. The strongest thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the southern half of the circulation. Bands in the northern half of Chalane consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The strongest winds were occurring in the bands south of the center of circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) on the south side of Tropical Cyclone Chalane. Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 25 miles (40 km) on the northern side of Chalane.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Chalane will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28°C. It will move under the northern side of an upper level ridge over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds which will blow toward the top of the tropical cyclone. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear and they will inhibit intensification. However, the winds will not be strong enough to prevent Tropical Cyclone Chalane from intensifying during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Chalane will move north of a high pressure system over the Southwest Indian Ocean. The high will steer Chalane toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Chalane will approach northern Madagascar in about 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Chalane will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of northern Madagascar. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.