Monthly Archives: June 2025

Tropical Storm Wutip Brings Wind and Rain to Hainan

Tropical Storm Wutip brought wind and rain to Hainan on Thursday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Wutip was located at latitude 18.6°N and longitude 108.5°E which put the center about 40 miles (65 km) south-southwest of Dongfang, China.  Wutip was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 983 mb.

Tropical Storm Wutip brought wind and rain to Hainan on Thursday night.  The center of Wutip’s circulation was passing just to the west of Hainan.  Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Wutip were bringing strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Hainan.

Tropical Storm Wutip intensified on Thursday.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Wutip’s circulation.  A small circular eye appeared to be forming at the center of Tropical Storm Wutip.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Wutip’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Wutip generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Wutip became more symmetrical on Thursday.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of Wutip’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Wutip will move through an environment that will be generally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Wutip will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over eastern China.  The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, much of the eastern side of Wutip’s circulation will pass over Hainan.  The increased friction over land will slow the winds in that part of Tropical Storm Wutip.  Tropical Storm Wutip could intensify to a typhoon during the next 24 hours if the center of Wutip remains over water..

Tropical Storm Wutip will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Wutip toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center Tropical Storm Wutip will pass just to the west of Hainan.  Wutip will approach the coast of Guangxi in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Wutip will continue to bring strong winds and heavy rain to Hainan on Friday.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.  Wutip will also bring strong winds and heavy rain to Guangxi during the weekend.

Disturbance Prompts Tropical Storm Watch for Mexico

The potential risk caused by a tropical disturbance over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean prompted the government of Mexico to issued a Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the coast on Thursday afternoon.  The U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the tropical disturbance as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E was located at latitude 11.3°N and longitude 100.2°W which put the center about 450 miles (725 km) south-southeast of Zihuatanejo, Mexico.  The tropical disturbance was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for the portion of the coast from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo, Mexico.

A tropical disturbance over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean exhibited more organization on Thursday afternoon.  Satellite loops appeared to show a counterclockwise rotation in the middle troposphere.  It was unclear if there was a well defined center of circulation at the surface.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and in the southern periphery of the tropical disturbance.  There were few thunderstorms near the broad center in the middle troposphere.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the tropical disturbance as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E and began to issue regular advisories on the system.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E will move through an environment favorable for the formation of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hour.  The tropical disturbance will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the middle part of an upper level ridge over southern Mexico and the adjacent part of the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E is likely to form into a tropical storm during the next 24 hours.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer the tropical disturbance toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E will move closer to the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Thunderstorms in bands in the northern periphery of Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to coastal portions of southwestern Mexico.  The heaviest rain is likely fall in parts of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some location.

Tropical Storm Wutip Forms Over South China Sea

Tropical Storm Wutip formed over the South China Sea south of Hainan on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Wutip was located at latitude 16.5°N and longitude 110.6°E which put the center about 150 miles (240 km) south of Lingshui, China.  Wutip was moving toward the west at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

A low pressure system over the South China Sea strengthened on Wednesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Wutip.  The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Wutip was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern half of Wutip’s circulation.  Bands in the northern side of Tropical Storm Wutip consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  The storms in the southern half of Wutip began to generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical storm.

There was a large circulation around Tropical Storm Wutip, but the distribution of wind speeds was asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 110 miles (170 km) in the southern half of Wutip’s circulation.  The winds in the northern half of Tropical Storm Wutip were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Wutip will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Wutip will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge over eastern China.  The upper level ridge will produce northeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Wutip’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification but the shear will probably not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Wutip is likely to intensify gradually during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Wutip will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Wutip toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Wutip will approach the southwestern part of Hainan in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Wutip will bring gusty winds and heavy rain to Hainan.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storms Barbara and Cosme Spin West of Mexico

Tropical Storms Barbara and Cosme were spinning over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Mexico on Tuesday morning.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Barbara was located at latitude 19.1°N and longitude 108.1°W which put the center about 180 miles (290 km) west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.  Barbara was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

Former Hurricane Barbara weakened back to a tropical storm as it moved over cooler water south of Baja California during Monday night.  Thunderstorms were still occurring near the center of Barbara’s circulation.  Those thunderstorms generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  However, the upper level divergence pumped away less mass than was converging in the lower level’s of Barbara’s circulation.  The accumulation of mass in the lower levels caused the surface pressure to increase.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Barbara was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Barbara’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Barbara will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Barbara will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24°C. It will move under the middle part of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Barbara will continue to weaken during the next 24 hours as it moves over colder water.

Tropical Storm Barbara will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Barbara toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Barbara will move slowly toward the southern end of Baja California.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Cosme was spinning south of Baja California.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Cosme was located at latitude 15.3°N and longitude 114.5°W which put the center about 605 miles (975 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Cosme was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

Tropical Storm Cosme maintained its intensity during Monday night.  Thunderstorms were occurring near the center of Cosme’s circulation.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the western side of Tropical Storm Cosme.  Bands in the eastern side of Cosme’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Cosme generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was almost the same as the inflow of mass in the lower level of Tropical Storm Cosme.  As a result of the balance of inflow and outflow, the surface pressure remained nearly constant.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Cosme was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 85 miles (135 km) from the center of Cosme’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Cosme will move through an environment slightly unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Cosme will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25°C.  It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Cosme’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear. The combination of cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and some vertical wind shear will likely cause Tropical Storm Cosme to start to weaken during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Cosme will move around the western part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Cosme toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Cosme will remain far to the south of Baja California.

Barbara Intensifies to Hurricane Southwest of Mexico

Former Tropical Storm Barbara intensified to a hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Mexico on Monday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Hurricane Barbara was located at latitude 17.6°N and longitude 106.1°W which put the center about 155 miles (245 km) southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Barbara was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Barbara intensified to a hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Mexico on Monday morning.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the southern and eastern side of the center of Barbara’s circulation.  Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Barbara.  Storms near the center of Barbara generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Hurricane Barbara was small.  Winds to hurricane force extended out 15 miles (25 km) from the center of Barbara’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Hurricane Barbara.

Hurricane Barbara will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours.  Barbara will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C.  It will move under the middle part of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Hurricane Barbara could continue to intensify during the next 12 hours.  Barbara will move over cooler water by Tuesday which will cause it to start to weaken.

Hurricane Barbara will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Barbara toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Hurricane Barbara will move closer to the southern end of Baja California.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Cosme was also intensifying.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Cosme was located at latitude 14.5°N and longitude 113.3°W which put the center about 620 miles (1000 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Cosme was moving toward the west-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Storm Cosme Forms South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Cosme formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Sunday afternoon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Cosme was located at latitude 13.3°N and longitude 111.0°W which put the center about 665 miles (1075 km) south of the southern tip of Baja California.  Cosme was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California strengthened on Sunday afternoon and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Cosme.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Cosme.  Thunderstorms also developed in bands in the southern and western parts of Cosme’s circulation.  Bands in the eastern and northern parts of Tropical Storm Cosme consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Cosme generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Cosme was relatively small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Cosme’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Cosme will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Cosme will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Cosme’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be strong enough to prevent Cosme from intensifying.  Tropical Storm Cosme will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Cosme will move around the western part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Cosme toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Cosme will remain far to the south of Baja California.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Barbara strengthened southwest of Mexico.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Barbara was located at latitude 16.0°N and longitude 104.1°W which put the center about 205 miles (325 km) southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico.  Barbara was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

Tropical Storm Cosme and Tropical Storm Barbara will move close enough to each other during the next few days that their two circulations are likely to interact.

Tropical Storm Barbara Forms South of Mexico

Tropical Storm Barbara formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Mexico during Saturday night.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Barbara was located at latitude 15.2°N and longitude 102.4°W which put the center about 180 miles (290 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico.  Barbara was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Mexico strengthened during Saturday night and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Barbara.  The circulation around Tropical Storm Barbara was organizing quickly.  More thunderstorms were forming near the center of Barbara’s circulation.  Thunderstorms were also developing quickly in bands revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Barbara.  Storms near the center of Barbara generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Barbara was relatively small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Barbara’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Barbara will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Barbara will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the middle part of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Barbara will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Barbara could rapidly intensify to a hurricane by Monday.

Tropical Storm Barbara will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Barbara toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Barbara will move west of the west coast of Mexico.