Hurricane Priscilla moved south of Baja California on Monday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Hurricane Priscilla was located at latitude 19.1°N and longitude 108.5°W which put the center about 275 miles (445 km) south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California. Priscilla was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.
A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for the portion of the coast from Cabo San Lucas to Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico.
Hurricane Priscilla was showing evidence of intensification on Monday evening. New tall thunderstorms were forming just to the south of the center of Priscilla’s circulation. Microwave satellite imagery was indicating that an eye might be forming at the center of Hurricane Priscilla. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center. Storms near the center of Priscilla generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane. The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.
The circulation around Hurricane Priscilla was very large. Winds to hurricane force extended out 50 miles (80 km) in the eastern side of Priscilla’s circulation. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) in the western side of Priscilla. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Hurricane Priscilla.
Hurricane Priscilla will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Priscilla will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Priscilla will intensify during the next 24 hours. Priscilla could strengthen to a major hurricane on Tuesday.
Hurricane Priscilla will move around the western end of a high pressure system over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Priscilla slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Priscilla will move closer to the southern part of Baja California on Tuesday.
Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, former Hurricane Octave weakened back to a tropical storm on Monday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Octave was located at latitude 15.8°N and longitude 120.4°W which put the center about 840 miles (1355 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Octave was moving toward the east-southeast at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.
