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Tropical Storm Jangmi Brings Wind and Rain to Japan

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Tropical Storm Jangmi brought wind and rain to parts of Japan on Tuesday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 32.8°N and longitude 134.3°E which put the center about 135 miles (215 km) southwest of Osaka, Japan.  Jangmi was moving toward the northeast at 29 m.p.h. (46 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 984 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi was bringing wind and rain to parts of Honshu on Tuesday.  A weather station at Kansai International Airport in Osaka (RJBB) reported a sustained wind speed of 43 m.p.h. (68 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 m.p.h. (89 km/h).

Tropical Storm Jangmi was making a transition to an extratropical cyclone on Tuesday.  The circulation around Jangmi was interacting with a stationary front that was just south of Japan.  The interaction with the front was causing the distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Jangmi to become more asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern and northern parts of Jangmi’s circulation.  Bands in the western and southern parts of Tropical Storm Jangmi consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was still large. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 240 miles (390 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 23°C.  It will move under the eastern part of an upper level trough that is over South Korea.  The upper level trough will produce strong southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Jangmi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  The cool Sea Surface Temperature and the strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Jangmi to continue to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough over South Korea will steer Tropical Storm Jangmi toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi will pass near Tokyo in 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will continue to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Honshu.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Peipah Forms Near Kyushu

Tropical Storm Peipah formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean just to the south of Kyushu on Wednesday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Peipah was located at latitude 30.3°N and longitude 131.4°E which put the center about 110 miles (175 km) south of Miyazaki, Japan.  Peipah was moving toward the north at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean just to the south of Kyushu strengthened on Wednesday evening and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Peipah.

The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Peipah was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and eastern parts of Peipah’s circulation.  Bands in the southern and western parts of Tropical Storm Peipah consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Peipah generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the northeast of the tropical storm.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Peipah was also asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 85 miles (135 km) in the eastern side of Peipah’s circulation.  The winds in the western side of Tropical Storm Peipah were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Peipah will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Peipah will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the northern part of an upper level ridge that is south of Japan.  The upper level ridge will produce westerly winds that will blow toward the top of Peipah’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Peipah could intensify a little during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Peipah will move around the northern side of a high pressure system that is south of Japan.  The high pressure system will steer Peipah toward the northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Peipah will pass just to the east of Kyushu during the next 12 hours.  Peipah could move near the southern coast of Shikoku later on Thursday.  The center of Tropical Storm Peipah could be south of Osaka in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Peipah will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Typhoon Lan Makes Landfall in Honshu

Typhoon Lan made landfall in Honshu on Monday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Lan was located at latitude 33.7°N and longitude 135.9°E which put it about 15 miles (25 km) north of Shingu, Japan. Lan was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

The center of Typhoon Lan made landfall in Wakayama Prefecture near Shingu on Monday. A circular eye with a diameter of 50 miles (80 km) was at the center of Lan’s circulation. A broken ring of thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Lan.

There was still a large circulation around Typhoon Lan. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Lan’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 145 miles (235 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Lan was 13.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 23.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 36.9. Typhoon Lan was capable of causing widespread serious damage.

Typhoon Lan will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Lan toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Lan will move across Honshu during the next 24 hours. The center of Lan’s circulation will pass near Osaka in a few hours. The center of circulation will also pass west of Kyoto before Lan moves over the Sea of Japan.

Although Typhoon Lan will weaken as it moves across Honshu, Lan will produce strong gusty winds and locally heavy rain over parts of Honshu. Lan will drop heavy rain over Wakayama, Nara, Osaka, Shiga, Kyoto, Hyogo, Tottori, Okayama and Fukui Prefectures. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Wind and rain are also likely to cause loss of electricity in widespread areas.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Dora continued to weaken east of Wake Island. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Dora was located at latitude 20.9°N and longitude 168.3°E which put it about 145 miles (235 km) east of Wake Island. Dora was moving toward the north-northwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

Typhoon Lan Continues to Move Toward Honshu

Typhoon Lan continued to move to Honshu on Saturday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Lan was located at latitude 30.0°N and longitude 139.1°E which put it about 385 miles (625 km) south of Tokyo, Japan. Lan was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Typhoon Lan completed an eyewall replacement cyclone on Saturday. The smaller, inner eye and eyewall dissipated. A circular eye with a diameter of 70 miles (110 km) was at the center of Lan’s circulation on Saturday night. The large eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the large eye. Storms around the eye generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The area of typhoon force winds in Typhoon Lan increased during the eyewall replacement cycle. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Lan’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 150 miles (240 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Lan was 11.5. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 21.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 32.6.

Typhoon Lan will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Lan will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Lan could strengthen during the next 24 hours, since the eyewall replacement cycle is complete.

Typhoon Lan will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Lan toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Lan will approach Honshu in less than 48 hours. The center of Lan could make landfall south of Osaka. Lan will be a typhoon when it reaches Honshu.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, former Hurricane Dora weakened to a tropical storm East of Wake Island. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Dora was located at latitude 18.2°N and longitude 174.7°E which put it about 570 miles (920 km) east of Wake Island. Dora was moving toward the west-northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

Typhoon Chan-hom Turns Toward Japan

Typhoon Chan-hom turned toward Japan on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Chan-hom was located at latitude 27.5°N and longitude 132.9°W which put it about 515 miles (825 km) south-southwest of Osaka, Japan.  Chan-hom was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 973 mb.

Typhoon Chan-hom strengthened slowly on Wednesday.  An eye with a diameter of 35 miles (55 km) formed at the center of Chan-hom.  The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Chan-hom.  Storms near the core generated upper level divergence which pumped mass away to the northeast of the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Chan-hom was large.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of Chan-hom.

Typhoon Chan-hom will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Chan-hom will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28°C.  It will move under the western end of an upper level ridge.  The ridge will produce southerly winds which will blow toward the top of Typhoon Chan-hom.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear, which will inhibit intensification.  The wind shear will limit intensification, but Chan-hom could get stronger during the next 24 hours.  An upper level trough over eastern Asia will cause stronger southwesterly winds to blow toward Typhoon Chan-hom in a day or so.  Those winds will cause stronger vertical wind shear and they will cause Chan-hom to start to weaken.

Typhoon Chan-hom will move around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 48 hours.  The high will steer Chan-hom toward the north during that time period.  The upper trough over eastern Asia will turn Typhoon Chan-hom toward the northeast during the weekend.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Chan-hom will be southeast of Kyushu and south of Shikoku in about 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Nari Drops Heavy Rain on Honshu

Tropical Storm Nari dropped locally heavy rain and producing gusty winds on Honshu on Friday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Nari was located at latitude 35.2°N and longitude 137.0°E which put it about 10 miles (15 km) east of Nagoya, Japan.  Nari was moving toward the north-northeast at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Tropical Storm Nari was dropping locally heavy rain over parts of central Honshu.  The heaviest rain was falling in bands located in the western half of the circulation.  Heavier rain was falling in the area between Nagoya, Osaka and Kyoto.  Bands of heavier rain were also falling north of Nagoya.  Most of the bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Nari consisted primarily lighter showers and lower clouds.  The heavier rain could produce flash flooding in some locations.

Tropical Storm Nari will move more toward the east-northeast on Saturday.  The center of Nari is forecast to pass north of Tokyo.  Tropical Storm Nari will continue to drop locally heavy rain over central and eastern Honshu when it moves over those locations.

Tropical Storm Sepat Forms Near Honshu

Tropical Storm Sepat formed near Honshu on Thursday.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of a low pressure system near the southeast coast of Honshu on Thursday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Sepat.  At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Sepat was located at latitude 32.6°N and longitude 134.7°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) southwest of Susami, Japan.  Sepat was moving toward the northeast at 32 m.p.h. (50 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

The distribution of thunderstorms around Tropical Storm Sepat was asymmetrical.  The strongest thunderstorms were in several bands south and east of the center of circulation.  Bands in the other parts of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms southeast of the center of Sepat were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away to the northeast of the tropical storm.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 150 miles (240 km) to the east of the center of circulation.

Tropical Storm Sepat will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 12 to 24 hours.  Sepat will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 24°C.  An upper level trough west of Japan will produce strong southwesterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear, which is the primary reason for the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms.  Moderate vertical wind shear and cooler water will cause the structure of Tropical Storm Sepat to change to that of an extratropical cyclone.  Sepat could strengthen during the extratropical transition because upper level divergence will cause the surface pressure to decrease.

The upper level trough will steer Tropical Storm Sepat rapidly toward the northeast.  On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Sepat will pass near the coast of Honshu.  Sepat will bring gusty winds and it could drop locally heavy rain.

Typhoon Jebi Brings Wind and Rain to Japan

Typhoon Jebi brought wind and rain to Japan on Monday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Jebi was located at latitude 33.9°N and longitude 134.4°E which put it about 15 miles (25 km) southwest of Tokushima.  Jebi was moving toward the north-northeast at 25 m.p.h. (40 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (170 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 945 mb.

Typhoon Jebi made landfall over eastern Shikoku on Monday night.  Jebi brought strong winds and dropped heavy rain over Shikoku and Honshu.  It retained about two thirds of an eyewall and the strongest winds were occurring in that partial eyewall.  There was a gap in the eyewall west of the center of circulation.  Several bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Jebi.  Winds to typhoon force extended out about 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 200 miles from the center.

An upper level trough northwest of Japan will steer Typhoon Jebi quickly toward the north-northeast.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Jebi will move quickly across eastern Shikoku.  The center of  Jebi will make landfall on Honshu near Kobe and it will move quickly toward the Sea of Japan.  Typhoon Jebi will drop heavy rain over Kobe, Osaka and Kyoto.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some parts of Shikoku and Honshu.  Jebi will weaken when it moves over the cooler water in the Sea of Japan.

Typhoon Jebi Moves Closer to Japan

Typhoon Jebi moved closer to Japan on Sunday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Jebi was located at latitude 26.7°N and longitude 133.0°E which put it about 620 miles (1000 km) south of Kyoto, Japan.  Jebi was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 940 mb.

The circulation of Typhoon Jebi remained very well organized.  There was a circular eye at the center of circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Several bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Jebi.  Storms around the core were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away toward the northeast of the typhoon.

Winds to typhoon force extended out about 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 230 miles (370 km) from the center.  The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Jebi was 20.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 24.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 45.0.

Typhoon Jebi will move into an environment that will become less favorable for strong typhoons.  Jebi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28°C.  So, there will be enough energy in the upper ocean to maintain the circulation.  However, an upper level trough northwest of Japan will produce southwesterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds will produce increasing vertical wind shear.  They will also inhibit the upper level divergence to the south of the typhoon.  Jebi will likely continue to weaken slowly on Monday.

Typhoon Jebi will move around the western end of a ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  Jebi will move toward the north when it rounds the end of the ridge.  The upper level trough northwest of Japan will steer Typhoon Jebi toward the northeast when it nears Japan.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Jebi could approach Shikoku and Honshu in a little over 24 hours.  Jebi is forecast to be a typhoon when it reaches Japan.  It will bring gusty winds and drop locally heavy rain.  The rain will create the potential for flash floods.

Typhoon Jebi Turns Toward Japan

Typhoon Jebi turned toward Japan on Saturday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Jebi was located at latitude 23.1°N and longitude 135.4°E which put it about 410 miles (665 km) west-southwest of Iwo To.  Jebi was moving toward the northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 130 m.p.h. (215 km/h) and there wind gusts to 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 939 mb.

Typhoon Jebi was nearing the completion of an eyewall replacement cycle on Saturday night.  The original inner eyewall had mostly dissipated, although a portion of the lower part of that eyewall was evident on satellite images.  A large circular eye was present at the center of Typhoon Jebi.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Multiple bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Jebi.  Storms around the core were generating strong upper level divergence.  Winds to typhoon force extended out about 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 175 miles (280 km) from the center.

Typhoon Jebi will move through an environment capable of supporting a typhoon during the next 48 hours.  Jebi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28°C.  Typhoon Jebi will move through an area where the upper level winds are relatively weak on Sunday. Jebi will move closer to an upper level trough northwest of Japan on Monday.  Stronger southwesterly winds will cause more vertical wind shear and Typhoon Jebi will start to weaken at that time.

Typhoon Jebi will move around the western end of a subtropical ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  Jebi will turn more toward the north on Sunday.  The upper level trough northwest of Japan will steer Typhoon Jebi more toward the northeast on Monday.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Jebi could approach Shikoku and Honshu in about two days.  Jebi is forecast to be a typhoon when it approaches Japan.