Tag Archives: Yap

Tropical Storm Rai Forms Southeast of Yap

Tropical Storm Rai formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean southeast of Yap on Monday morning. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Rai was located at latitude 5.5°N and longitude 140.5°E which put it about 355 miles (575 km) southeast of Yap. Rai was moving toward the west-northwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

The circulation around a low pressure system strengthened on Monday morning and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Rai. Thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Rai. More thunderstorms also developed in bands revolving around the center of Rai. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 150 miles (240 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Rai.

Tropical Storm Rai will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next several days. Rai will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Tropical Storm Rai’s circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the shear will be too small to prevent intensification. Tropical Storm Rai will intensify during the next several days. Rai could strengthen to a typhoon within 36 hours. It could strengthen more rapidly once an inner core with an eye and an eyewall forms.

Tropical Storm Rai will move south of a surface high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Rai toward the west-northwest during the next several days. On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Rai will south of Yap during the next 24 hours. Rai could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Yap. Tropical Storm Rai could affect Palau within 36 hours. Rai could approach the Philippines within 72 hours. Rai is likely to be a typhoon when it reaches the Philippines.

TD 27W Strengthens to Tropical Storm Nyatoh West of Guam

Former Tropical Depression 27W strengthened to Tropical Storm Nyatoh west of Guam on Monday night. At 10:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Nyatoh was located at latitude 13.0°N and longitude 138.7°E which put it about 370 miles (600 km) west of Guam. Nyatoh was moving toward the west at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

The circulation around former Tropical Depression 27W continued to strengthen on Monday night and the Japan Meteorological Agency upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Nyatoh. More thunderstorms developed near the center of circulation and in the bands revolving around the center of Nyatoh. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Nyatoh.

Tropical Storm Nyatoh will move through an environment mostly favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Nyatoh will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge centered east of the Marianas. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Clockwise flow around a high pressure system centered over eastern Asia could transport drier air toward the northwestern part of Nyatoh’s circulation. The drier air is likely to remain northwest of the core of Tropical Storm Nyatoh during the next 36 hours. Tropical Storm Nyatoh will continue to strengthen and it could intensify to a typhoon during the next 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Nyatoh will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 36 hours. The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Nyatoh will move farther away from the Marianas and Yap.

Tropical Depression Forms Southwest of the Marianas

A tropical depression formed southwest of the Marianas on Monday morning. At 7:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Depression 27W was located at latitude 11.8°N and longitude 141.1°E which put it about 270 miles (435 km) west-southwest of Guam. The tropical depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

The circulation around a low pressure system west-southwest of Guam exhibited more organization on Monday morning and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as a tropical depression. The circulation around Tropical Depression 27W was gradually becoming more organized. A distinct low level center of circulation was evident on conventional and microwave satellite images. More thunderstorms were beginning to develop near the center of circulation. Storms near the center began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression. Additional thunderstorms were forming in bands revolving around the center of the depression.

Tropical Depression 27W will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. The tropical depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge centered east of the Marianas. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Depression 27W will strengthen gradually and it is likely to intensify to a tropical storm during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Depression 27W will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the west-northwest during the next day or so. On its anticipated track Tropical Depression 27W will move farther away from the Marianas. It will pass north of Yap.

Tropical Storm Conson Develops Quickly near the Philippines

Tropical Storm Conson developed quickly near the Philippines on Monday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Conson was located at latitude 11.0°N and longitude 126.6°E which put it about 120 miles (195 km) east-southeast of Dolores, Philippines. Conson was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Conson organized quickly on Monday morning, The inner end of a primary rainband wrapped around the center of circulation. A small circular eye was at the center of Conson on microwave satellite images. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. The circulation around Tropical Storm Conson was small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Conson.

Tropical Storm Conson will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Conson will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Conson is likely to intensify during the next 12 hours and it could strengthen to a typhoon.

Tropical Storm Conson will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high will steer Conson toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Conson will reach northeastern Samar in 12 hours. Conson could be a typhoon when it reaches Samar. It will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Samar. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Conson will weaken when the center passes over northeastern Samar. Since the circulation of Tropical Storm Conson is small, it could weaken quickly over land. The center of Tropical Storm Conson could move back over water when it moves north of Samar. The circulation could strengthen again when that happens. Conson could reach southeastern Luzon in a day or so.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific, Tropical Depression 19W formed north of Yap. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Depression 19W was located at latitude 14.3°N and longitude 138.1°E which put it about 310 miles (500 km) north of Yap. The tropical depression was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb. Tropical Depression 19W is forecast to move toward the west-northwest and to strengthen.

Tropical Storm Surigae Strengthens Northeast of Palau

Tropical Storm Surigae strengthened northeast of Palau on Wednesday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Surigae was located at latitude 9.1°N and longitude 136.2°E which put it about 120 miles (195 km) west-southwest of Yap. Serigae was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Surigae strengthened on Wednesday, but the distribution of thunderstorms was still asymmetrical. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western half of Surigae. Bands in the eastern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Thunderstorms west of the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Surigae.

Tropical Storm Surigae will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next several days. Surigae will be over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will be near 30°C. It will move under the southwestern part of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification. Tropical Storm Surigae will continue to intensify and it could strengthen to a typhoon within 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Surigae will move around the southwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next few days. The high will steer Surigae toward the west-northwest during the next few days. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Surigae will pass north of Palau during the next 36 hours. Surigae could be east of the Philippines by late this week.

Tropical Storm Surigae Develops Southwest of Yap

Tropical Storm Surigae developed southwest of Yap on Tuesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Surigae was located at latitude 8.2°N and longitude 137.1°E which put it about 35 miles (55 km) west-southwest of Ngulu. Serigae was moving toward the northwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Former Tropical Depression 02W strengthened southwest of Yap on Tuesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Surigae. The circulation around Tropical Storm Surigae exhibited more organization on satellite images. Thunderstorms developed near the center of circulation. More thunderstorms also formed in bands revolving around the center of Surigae. Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 50 miles (80 km) from the center.

Tropical Storm Surigae will be in an environment favorable for intensification during the next several days. Surigae will be over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will be near 30°C. It will be under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. The circulation around Tropical Storm Surigae will continue to get better organized. Surigae will intensify and it could strengthen to a typhoon within 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Surigae will move around the southwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next few days. The high will steer Surigae toward the northwest during the next few days. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Surigae will pass north of Palau. Bands on the eastern side of Tropical Storm Surigae could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Yap. Persistent heavy rain could cause flash floods. Surigae could be east of the Philippines by late this week.

Tropical Depression Forms Southeast of Yap

A tropical depression formed southeast of Yap on Monday night. At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of the tropical depression was located at latitude 7.1°N and longitude 139.9°E which put it about 200 miles (320 km) southeast of Yap. The tropical depression was nearly stationary. The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

An area of low pressure exhibited more organization on Monday night and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as a tropical depression. The circulation around the tropical depression was in the early stages of organization. There was a broad center of low pressure, but there were not a lot of thunderstorms near the center of circulation. Many of the stronger thunderstorms were occurring in two bands on the periphery of the tropical depression. The strongest rainband was north of the broad center of the depression. Another strong rainband was on the southern periphery of the circulation.

The tropical depression will be in an environment favorable for intensification during the next several days. The depression will be over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will be near 30°C. It will be under the center of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak in the center of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. The circulation around the tropical depression is forecast to gradually get better organized and it could strengthen to a tropical storm during the next 24 hours. The depression is forecast to intensify into a typhoon later this week.

The tropical depression will be in an area where the steering winds are weak during the next several days. It will remain nearly stationary during that time period. A subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean will begin to steer the tropical depression toward the northwest later this week. On its anticipated track the tropical depression will pass near Yap. It will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain. Persistent heavy rain could cause flash floods.

Typhoon Kammuri Strengthens North of Yap

Typhoon Kammuri strengthened north of Yap on Wednesday night.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Kammuri was located at latitude 12.0°N and longitude 138.8°E which put it about 160 miles (260 km) north-northeast of Yap.  Kammuri was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

Typhoon Kammuri continued to get stronger on Wednesday night.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of circulation and an eye was clearing out at the center of Kammuri.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of circulation.  The strongest rainbands were in the western half of Typhoon Kammuri.  Storms near the center were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the typhoon.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 150 miles (240 km) from the center.

Typhoon Kammuri will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next few days.  Kammuri will move over where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  It will move through an environment where the upper level winds will be weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Kammuri will continue to intensify and it could strengthen into the equivalent of a major hurricane within 24 to 36 hours.  A period of rapid intensification could occur once an eye and eyewall are fully formed.

Typhoon Kammuri will move near the western end of a subtropical high pressure sytem over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next 24 to 36 hours.  Kammuri could move more toward the northwest during that time period.  A second surface high pressure system will move eastward from Asia.  The second high will eventually block Typhoon Kammuri from moving northward and that high pressure system will steer Kammuri toward the west.  On its anticipated track Typhoon Kammuri could approach the Philippines in five or six days.  Kammuri could be a very strong typhoon when it approaches the Philippines.

Tropical Storm Wutip Forms Southeast of Chuuk

Tropical Storm Wutip formed southeast of Chuuk on Tuesday.  At 4:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Wutip was located at latitude 4.6°N and longitude 155.2°E which put it about 295 miles (475 km) southeast of Chuuk.  Wutip was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A Typhoon Watch was issued for Puluwat and Satawal.  A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Nukuoro, Losep, and Chuuk.  A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for Fananu and Ulul.

Thunderstorms developed near the center of a low pressure system southeast of Chuuk on Tuesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Wutip.  Thunderstorms continued to form near the center of Wutip and those storms were starting to generate upper level divergence.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms formed in the northern and western portions of the circulation.  Bands south and east of the center consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds although there were a few thunderstorms in some of those bands.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 150 miles (245 km) from the center of circulation in the northern half of Wutip and out about 100 miles (160 km) in the southern half of the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Wutip will move through an environment favorable for intensification.  Wutip will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  An upper level ridge east of Tropical Storm Wutip will produce easterly winds which will cause some vertical wind shear.  However, the wind shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Wutip will intensify during the next several days.  Wutip could strengthen into a typhoon with 24 to 36 hours.  A period of rapid intensification could occur once an inner core becomes more well organized.  Tropical Storm Wutip could strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane in three or four days.

Tropical Storm Wutip will move around the western end of a subtropical ridge.  The ridge will steer Wutip toward the northwest during the next few days.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Wutip could approach Guam in three days.  Wutip is likely to be a typhoon at that time.

Tropical Storm Man-yi Forms Southeast of Chuuk

Tropical Storm Man-yi formed southeast of Chuuk on Tuesday.  At 7:00 a.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was located at latitude 4.8°N and longitude 154.2°E which put it about 245 miles (395 km) southeast of Chuuk.  Man-yi was moving toward the west at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for Guam and Rota.  Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for Chuuk Lagoon, Lukunor, Losap, Fananu, Ulul, Pulawat and Satawal.  Typhoon Watches were issued for Faraulep and Pulawat.

Tropical Depression 34W exhibited greater organization on satellite imagery and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Man-yi.  More thunderstorms developed near the center of circulation.  The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in a band west of the center.  Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were developing around Tropical Storm Man-yi.  Storms near the center of circulation were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away to the west of the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Man-yi will move through an environment favorable for intensification.  Man-yi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  It will move south of an upper level ridge.  The ridge will produce easterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Man-yi will intensify and it could strengthen into a typhoon in a day or two.

The upper level ridge will steer Tropical Storm Man-yi toward the west-northwest during the next 12 to 24 hours.  A weakness is forecast to develop in the ridge, which would allow Man-yi to move more toward the northwest.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Man-yi will move near Chuuk in 12 to 24 hours.  It will bring gusty winds and drop heavy rain.  Man-yi could be southeast of Guam in 36 to 48 hours.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean Tropical Depression 33W was dropping rain over parts of the central Philippines and Tropical Depression Toraji was moving over the Gulf of Thailand.  At 4:00 a.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Depression 33W was located at latitude 10.9°N and longitude 126.8°E which put it about 160 miles (260 km) east-southeast of Tacloban, Philippines.  It was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

At 4:00 a.m. EDT the center of Tropical Depression Toraji was located at latitude 8.1°N and longitude 101.1°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) east of Hua Sai, Malaysia.  Toraji was moving toward the west-southwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.