Former Tropical Depression Twelve-E strengthened to Tropical Storm Lorena over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of Baja California on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Lorena was located at latitude 18.3°N and longitude 107.9°W which put the center about 345 miles (550 km) south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lorena was moving toward the northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.
Former Tropical Depression Twelve-E strengthened to Tropical Storm Lorena on Tuesday morning. New thunderstorms continued to develop near the center of Lorena’s circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Lorena. Storms near the center of Lorena generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the south and west of the tropical storm. The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.
The circulation around Tropical Storm Lorena was small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Lorena’s circulation.
Tropical Storm Lorena will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Lorena will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge over Mexico. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Lorena’s circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification. Tropical Storm Lorena will intensify during the next 24 hours.
Tropical Storm Lorena will move around the western end of a high pressure system over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Lorena toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Lorena will move south of Baja California during Tuesday night.
Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, former Tropical Storm Kiko intensified to a hurricane far to the east of Hawaii. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Kiko was located at latitude 13.8°N and longitude 128.3°W which put the center about 1815 miles (2920 km) east Hilo Hawaii. Kiko was moving toward the west at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.
