Tag Archives: Philippines

Tropical Storm Mitag Brings Wind and Rain to Southeastern China

Tropical Storm Mitag brought wind and rain to southeastern China on Friday morning.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Mitag was located at latitude 23.0°N and longitude 115.1°E which put the center about 85 miles (135 km) east-northeast of Hong Kong.  Mitag was moving toward the north-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

The center of Tropical Storm Mitag made landfall on the coast of southeastern China east of Hong Kong on Thursday night.  Mitag was bringing wind and rain to parts of Guangdong.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Mitag was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of Mitag’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Mitag will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over China.  The high pressure system will steer Mitag toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Mitag will move inland over Guangdong.  The center of Mitag’s circulation will pass north of Hong Kong.

Tropical Storm Mitag will weaken gradually as it moves over southern China.  Mitag will continue to bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Guangdong during the next 24 hours.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Ragasa moved slowly toward northern Luzon and Tropical Storm Neoguri strengthened southeast of Japan.

At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Ragasa was located at latitude 16.2°N and longitude 130.5°E which put the center about 620 miles (1000 km) east of Aparri, Philippines.  Ragasa was moving toward the west at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Neoguri was located at latitude 24.3°N and longitude 159.8°E which put the center about 1450 miles (2340 km) east-southeast of Tokyo, Japan.  Neoguri was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Storm Mitag Develops Southeast of Hong Kong

Tropical Storm Mitag developed over the South China Sea southeast of Hong Kong on Thursday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Mitag was located at latitude 20.4°N and longitude 116.5°E which put the center about 225 miles (365 km) southeast of Hong Kong.  Mitag was moving toward the west-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.

A low pressure system over the South China Sea southeast of Hong Kong strengthened on Thursday morning and the Japan Meteorological Agency  designated the system as Tropical Storm Mitag.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Mitag continued to get better organized on Thursday morning.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Mitag’s circulation.  Thunderstorms also developed in bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Mitag.  Bands in the western side of Mitag’s circulation still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The strongest winds were occurring in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Mitag.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) in the eastern side of Mitag’s circulation.  The winds in the western side of Tropical Storm Mitag were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Mitag will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Mitag will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over eastern China and the South China Sea.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Mitag will intensity during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Mitag will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Mitag toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Mitag will be near Hong Kong in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Mitag will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the region around Hong Kong.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Ragasa formed east of Luzon and Tropical Storm Neoguri formed southeast of Japan.

At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Ragasa was located at latitude 16.0°N and longitude 132.7°E which put the center about 755 miles (1220 km) east of Aparri, Philippines.  Ragasa was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Neoguri was located at latitude 23.1°N and longitude 162.5°E which put the center about 1630 miles (2630 km) east-southeast of Tokyo, Japan.  Neoguri was moving toward the west-southwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

Tropical Storm Co-may Brings Wind and Rain to Northern Luzon

Tropical Storm Co-may brought wind and rain to northern Luzon on Thursday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Co-may was located at latitude 17.5°N and longitude 120.6°E which put the center about 10 miles (15 km) east of Vigan, Philippines.  Co-may was moving toward the northeast at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 980 mb.

The center of former Typhoon Co-may made landfall on the coast of northwestern Luzon west of Baguio on Thursday.  Co-may weakened back to a tropical storm after the center of circulation moved inland over Luzon.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Co-may was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Co-may’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Co-may will continue to produce strong winds and locally heavy rain in northern Luzon during the next few hours.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods and mudslides.  Co-may is likely to cause widespread outages of electricity in northern Luzon.  Tropical Storm Co-may could also cause a storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) along the coast of northwestern Luzon.

Tropical Storm Co-may will get pulled toward the northeast by the much larger circulation around Tropical Storm Francisco.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Co-may will move north of Luzon in a few hours.  Tropical Storm Co-may will pass east of Taiwan on Friday.

Tropical Storm Co-may will continue to weaken as it moves across northern Luzon.  Co-may will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification after it moves north of Luzon.  Co-may will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  However, it will move under the southeastern side of an upper level low that is centered over the east coast of China.  The upper level low will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Co-may’s circulation. Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  The strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Co-may to continue to weaken when it moves north of Luzon.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, the center of Tropical Storm Francisco moved west of Okinawa and Tropical Storm Krosa formed west of the Marianas.

At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 27.0°N and longitude 124.3°E which put the center about 180 miles (290 km) west of Okinawa.  Francisco was moving toward the west-northwest at 23 m.p.h. (37 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Krosa was located at latitude 16.5°N and longitude 143.3°E which put the center about 170 miles (280 km) west-northwest of Tinian. Krosa was moving toward the north at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

Co-may Strengthens to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Co-may strengthened to a typhoon over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of northern Luzon on Thursday.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Co-may was located at latitude 16.2°N and longitude 119.6°E which put the center about 65 miles (105 km) west of Baguio, Philippines.  Co-may was moving toward the east at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 974 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Co-may strengthened to a typhoon as it approached the coast of northwestern Luzon on Thursday.  Numerous thunderstorms were occurring near the center of Co-may’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Typhoon Co-may.  Storms near the center of Co-may generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Co-may was small.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Co-may’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of Typhoon Co-may.

Typhoon Co-may will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next few hours.  Co-may will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the southeastern side of an upper level low that is centered over the east coast of China.  The upper level low will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Co-may’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification. Typhoon Co-may could intensify a little more during the next few hours.

Typhoon Co-may will get pulled toward the northeast by the much larger circulation around Tropical Storm Francisco.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Co-may will make landfall on the coast of northern Luzon near Bolinao in a few hours.  The center of Co-may will pass just west of Baguio.  The center will pass south of Vigan.

Typhoon Co-may will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to northern Luzon.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods and mudslides.  Typhoon Co-may is likely to cause widespread outages of electricity in northern Luzon.  Co-may could also cause a storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) along the coast of northwestern Luzon.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was approaching  Okinawa.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 25.2°N and longitude 127.4°E which put the center about 110 miles (175 km) south of Okinawa.  Francisco was moving toward the north at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

Tropical Storm Co-may Forms West of Luzon

Tropical Storm Co-may formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of Luzon on Wednesday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Co-may was located at latitude 17.7°N and longitude 118.7°E which put the center about 150 miles (240 km) west of Vigan, Philippines.  Co-may was moving toward the west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.

A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of Luzon strengthened on Wednesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Co-may.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Co-may was organizing quickly.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Co-may’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Co-may.  Storms near the center of Co-may generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were occurring in the western side of Tropical Storm Co-may.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the western half of Co-may’s circulation.  The winds in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Co-may were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Co-may will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Co-may will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the southeastern side of an upper level low that is centered east of Taiwan.  The upper level low will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Co-may’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Co-may will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Co-may could strengthen to a typhoon on Thursday.

Tropical Storm Co-may will get pulled toward the northeast by the much larger circulation around Tropical Storm Francisco.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Co-may will approach northern Luzon in 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Co-may could be a typhoon when it approaches the coast of northwestern Luzon.  Co-may will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to northern Luzon.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods and mudslides.  Tropical Storm Co-may is likely to cause widespread outages of electricity in northern Luzon.  Co-may could also cause a storm surge of up to 7 feet (2 meters) along the coast of northwestern Luzon.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Francisco strengthened a little as it moved toward the southern Ryukyu Islands.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 22.5°N and longitude 129.1°E which put the center about 325 miles (525 km) south-southeast of Okinawa.  Francisco was moving toward the northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Storm Francisco Develops South of Okinawa

Tropical Storm Francisco developed over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Okinawa on Tuesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 21.2°N and longitude 129.7°E which put the center about 415 miles (670 km) south-southeast of Okinawa.  Francisco was moving toward the northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Okinawa strengthened on Tuesday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Francisco.

More thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Francisco on Tuesday night.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the eastern side of Francisco’s circulation.  Bands in the western side of Tropical Storm Francisco consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Francisco generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the east and south of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Francisco was large.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Francisco’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Francisco will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Francisco will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the eastern side of an upper level low that is centered east of Taiwan.  The upper level low will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Francisco’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Francisco is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Francisco will move around the western side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Francisco toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Francisco will move toward the southern Ryukyu Islands.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Depression 11W formed north of Luzon.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Depression 11W was located at latitude 18.5°N and longitude 120.1°E which put the center about 295 miles (470 km) north of Manila, Philippines.  The tropical depression was moving toward the west-southwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

Tropical Storm Wipha Passes Near Northern Luzon

The center of Tropical Storm Wipha passed just to the north of northern Luzon on Friday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Wipha was located at latitude 19.6°N and longitude 122.0°E which put the center about 80 miles (130 km) north-northeast of Aparri, Philippines.  Wipha was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

The center of Tropical Storm Wipha was passing between northern Luzon and Taiwan on Friday.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Wipha’s circulation on Friday.  Numerous bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Wipha.  Storms near the center of Wipha generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the south and west of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Wipha was very large.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 205 miles (330 km) from the center of Wipha’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Wipha will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Wipha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge that is north of the Philippines.  The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Wipha’s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Wipha will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Wipha could strengthen to a typhoon during the weekend.

Tropical Storm Wipha will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Wipha toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Wipha could approach Hong Kong in 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Wipha will produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain in northern Luzon and southern Taiwan during the rest of today.  Heavy rain could produce flash floods in some locations.

Typhoon Man-yi Hits Luzon

Powerful Typhoon Man-yi hit Luzon on Sunday morning.  At 4:00 a.m. EST on Sunday the center of Typhoon Man-yi was located at latitude 16.2°N and longitude 121.3°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) north of Baler, Philippines.  Man-yi was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 185 m.p.h. (295 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 933 mb.

The center of Typhoon Man-yi made landfall on the east coast of Luzon near Baler on Sunday morning.  Man-yi was the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale at the time of landfall.  A circular eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) was at the center of Typhoon Man-yi.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Man-yi’s circulation.

The circulation around Typhoon Man-yi was very symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 130 miles (210 km) from the center of Typhoon Man-yi.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Man-yi was 31.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 16.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 47.6. Typhoon Man-yi was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Laura when Laura hit Southwest Louisiana in 2020.

Typhoon Man-yi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Man-yi toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Man-yi will move across Luzon during the rest of today.

Typhoon Man-yi will also bring very strong winds and heavy rain to Luzon. Heavy rain will cause flash floods and mudslides.  Man-yi could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along the coast of Luzon.  Luzon has already been hit by a series of in recent weeks. Typhoon Man-yi is capable of causing regional severe damage.  Man-yi will seriously set back efforts to recover from the previous typhoons.

Typhoon Man-yi Intensifies to Equivalent of Cat. 5 Hurricane

Typhoon Man-yi intensified to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Saturday.  At 10:00 a.m. EST on Saturday the center of Typhoon Man-yi was located at latitude 14.2°N and longitude 124.0°E which put the center about 80 miles (130 km) east of Labo, Philippines.  Man-yi was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 195 m.p.h. (315 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 921 mb.

Typhoon Man-yi intensified to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane as it approached southeastern Luzon on Saturday.  The southwestern part of Man-yi’s eyewall passed over Catanduanes Island.

Typhoon Man-yi was very impressive on satellite images.  A circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was at the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Man-yi generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass away from the typhoon in all directions. The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Man-yi increased when Man-yi intensified.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 150 miles (240 km) from the center of Typhoon Man-yi.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Man-yi was 35.0.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 17.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 52.6.  Typhoon Man-yi was similar in intensity to Hurricane Michael when Michael hit Northwest Florida in 2018.  Man-yi was bigger than Michael was.

Typhoon Man-yi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next few hours.  Man-yi will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Man-yi could continue to intensify during the next few hours.  However, the fact that the southwestern part of Man-yi’s eyewall passed over Catanduanes Island could halt its intensification.

Typhoon Man-yi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Man-yi toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Man-yi will reach southeastern Luzon in 12 hours.  The center of Man-yi’s circulation could make landfall northeast of Baler.

Typhoon Man-yi is already bringing destructive winds to Catanduanes Island.  Typhoon Man-yi will also bring very strong winds and heavy rain to Luzon.  Heavy rain will cause flash floods and mudslides.  Man-yi could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along the coast of Luzon. Luzon has already been hit by a series of in recent weeks.  Typhoon Man-yi is capable of causing regional catastrophic damage.  Man-yi will seriously set back efforts to recover from the previous typhoons.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Depression Usagi was still dropping heavy rain on parts of Taiwan. At 4:00 a.m. EST on Saturday the center of Tropical Depression Usagi was located at latitude 22.3°N and longitude 120.7°E which put the center about 35 miles (55 km) south of Kaohsiung, Taiwan.  Usagi was moving toward the southeast at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.  Continued heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in Taiwan.

Typhoon Man-Yi Strengthens to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Man-yi strengthened to the equivalent of a major hurricane as it moved toward the Philippines on Friday.  At 4:00 p.m. EST on Friday the center of Typhoon Man-yi was located at latitude 12.3°N and longitude 127.2°E which put the center about 490 miles (790 km) east-southeast of Manila, Philippines.  Man-yi was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 952 mb.

Typhoon Man-yi intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Friday.  A circular eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) was at the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Man-yi generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon in all directions.  The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Typhoon Man-yi was very symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Man-yi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Typhoon Man-yi.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Man-yi was 23.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 10.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 33.9.  Typhoon Man-yi was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Dennis when Dennis hit Northwest Florida in 2005.

Typhoon Man-yi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Man-yi will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Man-yi is likely to continue to intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Man-yi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Man-yi toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Man-yi will reach southeastern Luzon in less than 18 hours.

Typhoon Man-yi will bring very strong winds and heavy rain to Luzon.  Heavy rain will cause flash floods and mudslides.  Man-yi could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along the coast of Luzon.  Luzon has already been hit by a series of in recent weeks.  Typhoon Man-yi is capable of causing regional major damage.  Man-yi will seriously set back efforts to recover from the previous typhoons.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Usagi was bringing wind and rain to Taiwan.  At 4:00 p.m. EST on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Usagi was located at latitude 22.5°N and longitude 120.3°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) southwest of Kaohsiung, Taiwan.  Usagi was moving toward the north-northeast at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in Taiwan.