Tag Archives: WP08

Tropical Storm Higos Makes Landfall Near Macau

Tropical Storm Higos made landfall near Macau on Tuesday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Higos was located at latitude 22.6°N and longitude 112.5°E which put it about 75 miles (120 km) west of Hong Kong.  Higos was moving toward the northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.

Tropical Storm Higos made landfall on the coast of China just to the west of Macau on Tuesday night.  Higos intensified on Tuesday and an eye was beginning to form at the time of landfall.  A partial eyewall was on the southern side of the developing eye and the strongest winds were occurring in the partial eyewall.  Bands of thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Tropical Storm Higos.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Storm Higos will weaken steadily as it moves inland over southern China.  Higos will bring gusty winds and it will drop locally heavy rainfall over parts of southern China.  Locally heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Higos Forms Southeast of Hong Kong

Tropical Storm Higos formed southeast of Hong Kong on Monday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Higos was located at latitude 20.5°N and longitude 116.0°E which put it about 205 miles (335 km) southeast of Hong Kong.  Higos was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

More thunderstorms developed near the center of a low pressure system southeast of Hong Kong on Monday night and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Higos.  The circulation around Tropical Storm Higos was organizing quickly.  Thunderstorms were developing around the center of circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Higos.  Storms near the center of circulation were generating upper level divergence which pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Storm Higos will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 18 to 24 hours.  Higos will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Higos will continue to intensify and there is a chance it could strengthen into a typhoon before it makes landfall on the coast of China.

Tropical Storm Higos will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high will steer Higos toward the west-northwest during the next 48 hours.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Higos will make landfall on the coast of China west of Macau near Yangjiang.  Higos will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of southern China.  Locally heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Wipha Drops Heavy Rain on Vietnam and China

Tropical Storm Wipha dropped heavy rain on parts of northeastern Vietnam and southern China on Friday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Wipha was located at latitude 21.3°N and longitude 107.4°E which put it about 60 miles (95 km) northeast of Hai Phong, Vietnam.  Wipha was moving toward the west-southwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Wipha exhibited much greater organization on Friday even though it was moving close to the coast of southern China.  There was a tighter inner core and more thunderstorms were occurring in the bands revolving around the core.  Storms near the core were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the tropical storm in all directions.  The appearance of Tropical Storm Wipha on satellite imagery was much more circular and symmetrical.  The strongest winds were occurring in the part of the circulation that was still over water.

Tropical Storm Wipha was being steering slowly toward the west-southwest by a subtropical ridge over China and the adjacent waters of the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The combination of greater organization and slow movement will allow Wipha to drop very heavy rainfall over coastal regions of southern China and northern Vietnam.  Prolonged heavy rain will very likely cause flash flooding in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Francisco was strengthening slowly east-southeast of Iwo To.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 23.2°N and longitude 149.4°E which put it about 545 miles (880 km) east-southeast of Iwo To.  Francisco was moving toward the northwest at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 995 mb.

Tropical Storm Francisco Forms Northeast of the Marianas

Tropical Storm Francisco formed northeast of the Marianas  on Thursday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Francisco was located at latitude 20.4°N and longitude 152.4°E which put it about 800 miles (1290 km) east-southeast of Iwo To.  Francisco was moving toward the northwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

A surface low pressure system developed southeast of an upper low north of the Marianas and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Francisco.  The distribution of thunderstorms around Francisco was asymmetrical.  Stronger thunderstorms were occurring east of the center of circulation and in a band south of the center of Tropical Storm Francisco.  Bands in other parts of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  The upper low was producing southwesterly winds which were causing moderate vertical wind shear.  The wind shear was the main factor responsible for asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms.

Tropical Storm Francisco will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Francisco will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  The upper low north of the Marianas will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear during the next day or so.  Tropical Storm Francisco could intensify slowly on Friday.  Francisco will move farther north of the upper low over the weekend.  When it gets farther away from the upper low, the wind shear will diminish and Tropical Storm Francisco could strengthen more quickly.

Tropical Storm Francisco will move southwest of a subtropical ridge over Western North Pacific Ocean.  The ridge will steer Francisco toward the northwest.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Francisco could be northeast of Iwo To in about 48 hours.  Francisco could approach southwestern Japan in about fours days.  It is forecast to be a typhoon by that time.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Wipha was moving slowly near the south coast of China.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Wipha was located at latitude 21.1°N and longitude 109.2°E which put it about 25 miles (40 km) south of Beihai, China.  Wipha was moving toward the southwest at 2 m.p.h. (3 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Tropical Storm Wipha Brings Wind and Rain to South China

Tropical Storm Wipha brought wind and rain to south China on Wednesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Wipha was located at latitude 20.5°N and longitude 110.6°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) southeast of Leizhou, China.  Wipha was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Wipha contained a large rainband in the southern half of the tropical storm and another large rainband in the northern half of the circulation.  The rainband in the southern half of Wipha brought wind and rain to Hainan Island.  The rainband in the northern part of the tropical storm brought wind and rain to south China including Hong Kong.  Persistent heavy rain was creating the potential for flash floods in parts of southern China.

Tropical Storm Wipha was moving around the southwestern part of a subtropical ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The ridge will steer Wipha toward the west-northwest during the next 24 to 36 hours.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Wipha will move close to the coast of south China and northeastern Vietnam.  Wipha will continue to bring gusty winds and drop locally heavy rain over those regions on Thursday.

Tropical Storm Wipha Forms South of Macau

Tropical Storm Wipha formed south of Macau late on Tuesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Wipha was located at latitude 18.8°N and longitude 112.6°E which put it about 175 miles (285 km) south of Macau.  Wipha was moving toward the northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Wipha was large, but Wipha did not have a well formed inner core.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 200 miles (320 km) from the center of circulation.  However, there were no strong thunderstorms near the center.  Stronger thunderstorms were occurring in bands well to the south and east of the center of circulation.  Bands northwest of the center consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The large lower level circulation of Tropical Storm Wipha was just to the southeast of an upper low over the northwestern part of the South China Sea.  The upper low was circulating some drier air over the northwestern part of Wipha.  It was also causing some vertical wind shear.  The drier air and wind shear were inhibiting the formation of thunderstorms in the northwestern part of Tropical Storm Wipha.

Tropical Storm Wipha will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Wipha will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  The upper low will continue to inhibit the strengthening of Tropical Storm Wipha.  If thunderstorms begin to develop near the center of Wipha, then the tropical storm could strengthen.

Tropical Storm Wipha will move around the southwestern part of a subtropical ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The ridge will steer Wipha toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Wipha will be near the northern part of Hainan Island and the south coast of China in 18 to 24 hours.  Wipha could move more toward the west when it reaches the Gulf of Tongking.  Although Tropical Storm Wipha will bring gusty winds to southern China and northern Vietnam, locally heavy rain and the potential for floods will be greater risks.

Tropical Cyclone Mona Forms North of Fiji

Tropical Cyclone Mona formed north of Fiji on Wednesday.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Mona was located at latitude 11.6°S and longitude 178.1°E which put it about 460 miles (745 km) north of Suva, Fiji.  Mona was moving toward the south-southeast at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

A distinct low level center of circulation formed within an area of thunderstorms north of Fiji and the Fiji Meteorological Service designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Mona.  The circulation around Tropical Cyclone Mona was still organizing.  There was a small cluster of thunderstorms around the center of circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were forming and those bands were revolving around the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Mona will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next two days.  Mona will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  It will move around the western end of an upper level ridge.  The ridge will produce northerly winds which will cause some vertical wind shear.  The shear will inhibit strengthening, but it will not be strong enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Cyclone Mona will intensify during the next 36 to 48 hours and it could strengthen into the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon.

The upper level ridge will steer Tropical Cyclone Mona toward the south-southeast during the next several days.  On its anticipated track Mona could approach Fiji in 36 to 48 hours.  Tropical Cyclone Mona could be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it nears Fiji.

Elsewhere over the South Pacific Ocean, Tropical Cyclone Penny was reorganizing over the Coral Sea east of Queensland.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Penny was located at latitude 14.2°S and longitude 152.2°E which put it about 470 miles (760 km) east-northeast of Cairns, Australia.  Penny was moving toward the east-southeast at 24 m.p.h. (39 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

Tropical Storm Gaemi Brings Wind and Rain to Okinawa

Tropical Storm Gaemi brought wind and rain to Okinawa late on Friday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Gaemi was located at latitude 26.7°N and longitude 127.9°E which put it near Okinawa.  Gaemi was moving toward the east-northeast at 19 m.p.h (30 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Tropical Storm Gaemi became better organized after it moved across southern Taiwan early on Friday.  The center of circulation was more evident on microwave satellite images.  A primary band of showers and thunderstorms formed in the eastern side of circulation.  Other showers and thunderstorms were located farther to the northeast of the center of Tropical Storm Gaemi.  An upper level trough west of Gaemi was producing string southwesterly winds which were blowing toward the top of the tropical storm.  Those winds were causing moderate vertical wind shear and they were likely the reason why most of the heavier rain was occurring northeast of the center of circulation.

The upper level trough was also steering Tropical Storm Gaemi quickly toward the east-northeast.  On its anticipated track Gaemi will move over the middle Ryukyu Islands including Amami-O-Shima during the next 12 hours.  Tropical Storm Gaemi will continue to produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain.  Most of the rain will fall before the center of circulation reaches a location.  Gaemi is likely to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone when it moves south of the larger islands of Japan during the weekend.

Tropical Storm Gaemi Forms Near Southwest Taiwan

Tropical Storm Gaemi formed near Kaohsiung on the southwest coast of Taiwan late on Thursday.  At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Gaemi was located at latitude 22.8°N and longitude 120.2°E which put it near Kaohsiung, Taiwan.  Gaemi was moving toward the northeast at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.

A distinct low level center of circulation developed in an area of showers and thunderstorms southwest of Taiwan on Thursday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Gaemi.  Thunderstorms developed near the core of the circulation.  Several short bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core.  Mountains in eastern Taiwan may have deflected the flow in the lower levels and contributed to the organization of a center of circulation.  Storms around the center were generating some upper level divergence which was pumping mass away to the east of the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Gaemi is likely to weaken during the next few hours while the center of circulation moves across southern Taiwan.  Mountains in eastern Taiwan could disrupt the lower portions of the circulation when it moves over them.  If the circulation still exists when it moves east of Taiwan in a few hours, then Tropical Storm Gaemi will move into a more favorable environment for intensification.  Gaemi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  An upper level trough over eastern Asia is producing southwesterly winds which are blowing toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the shear will probably not be strong enough to tear the circulation apart.  Gaemi could remain a tropical storm for another 24 to 36 hours.  When Tropical Storm Gaemi moves farther north in a day or two, it will move over colder water and into an area with stronger vertical wind shear.  Gaemi will likely make a transition to an extratropical cyclone at that time.

The upper level trough is forecast to steer Tropical Storm Gaemi toward the northeast.  Gaemi will move across southern Taiwan during the next few hours.  It will cause gusty winds, but the greater risks will be heavy rain and flash floods.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Gaemi will move near the southern Ryukyu Islands of Japan.  It could pass near Ishigaki Jima and Miyako Jima in the next 12 to 18 hours.  Gaemi could be near Okinawa later on Friday.

Tropical Storm Sonca Near Landfall in Vietnam.

Tropical Storm Sonca neared a landfall on the coast of Vietnam on Monday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Sonca was located at latitude 16.7°N and longitude 108.2°E which put it about 60 miles (95 km) east-northeast of Hue, Vietnam.  Sonca was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

The circulation of Tropical Storm Sonca is fairly small.  Winds to tropical storm force only extend out about 60 miles (95 km) from the center of circulation.  A subtropical ridge north of Sonca is steering the tropical storm toward the west and that general motion is expected to continue for another 24 to 36 hours.  On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Storm Sonca will make landfall north of Hue, Vietnam in a few hours.

Tropical Storm Sonca will bring gusty winds, locally heavy rain and the potential for floods when it makes landfall.  Sonca will continue to move inland over central Vietnam, central Laos and northeastern Thailand.  Sonca could continue to produce locally heavy rain over those areas as it moves inland and weakens.

Elsewhere in the Western North Pacific the circulations of Typhoon Noru and Tropical Storm Kulap are interacting east-southeast of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Noru was located at latitude 25.9°N and longitude 157.0°E which put it about 1330 miles (2150 km) east-southeast of Tokyo, Japan.  Noru was moving toward the east at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 95 m.p.h. (155 km/h) and there were gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 966 mb.

At 11:00 p.m. EDT the center of Tropical Storm Kulap was located at latitude 32.9°N and longitude 155.8°E which put it about 1095 miles (1765 km) east-southeast of Tokyo, Japan.  Kulap was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Typhoon Noru and Tropical Storm Kulap are close enough to each other to rotate cyclonically around a point between them in what is called the Fujiwhara effect.  Typhoon Noru is the much larger and stronger circulation and upper level outflow from Noru is causing vertical wind shear over Tropical Storm Kulap.  If the two tropical cyclones move closer to each other, it is possible that the circulation of Kulap could be absorbed by the larger, more powerful circulation of Typhoon Noru.