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Typhoon Dolphin Approaches East Coast of China

Typhoon Dolphin was approaching the east coast of China on Saturday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 27.9°N and longitude 122.7°E which put the center about 130 miles (210 km) east of Wenzhou, China.  Dolphin was moving toward the northwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 959 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin weakened gradually on Saturday as it approached the east coast of China.  Dolphin appeared to pull drier air from China into the western side of its circulation.  The drier air caused thunderstorms in bands in the western side of Typhoon Dolphin to weaken.  A small circular eye was still present at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were still occurring in the eastern side of Dolphin’s circulation.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased slowly on Saturday.

The area of stronger winds in Typhoon Dolphin decreased in size on Saturday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the enter of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 310 miles (500 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 11.5.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 17.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 28.5.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in intensity to Hurricane Isaac when Isaac hit southeast Louisiana in 2012.  Typhoon Dolphin is much larger than Isaac was.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 12 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, the circulation around Typhoon Dolphin will continue to pull drier air over China into its circulation.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to continue to weaken gradually during the next 12 hours.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will hit the east coast of China just to the north of Wenzhou in less about 12 hours.

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to parts of eastern China.  Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu.  Heavy rain is likely to cause floods in some locations.  Typhoon Dolphin could also produce a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along parts of the east coast of China.

Typhoon Dolphin could also drop heavy rain over parts of Henan, Shandong, Hebei, and Shanxi after it moves inland.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Chan-hom continued to spin east of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Chan-hom was located at latitude 32.2°N and longitude 150.8°E which put the center about 670 miles (1080 km) east of Tokyo, Japan.  Chan-hom was moving toward the west-southwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin Moves Toward Eastern China

Typhoon Dolphin moved away from Okinawa and toward eastern China on Friday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 26.6°N and longitude 126.2°E which put the center about 350 miles (565 km) east-southeast of Wenzhou, China. Dolphin was moving toward the west at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 948 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin maintained its intensity as it moved away from Okinawa on Friday.  A small circular eye was visible at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  A band of thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that band of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dolphin’s circulation.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure did not change much on Friday.

Typhoon Dolphin was a large typhoon.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 145 miles (235 km) in the northern half of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 20 miles (30 km) in the southern half of Typhoon Dolphin.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 305 miles (490 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 17.8.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 32.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 50.1.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Frances when Frances hit South Florida in 2004.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will become less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, the circulation around Typhoon Dolphin could pull drier air over China into its circulation.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to start to weaken gradually as it moved closer to eastern China.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin could hit the east coast of China in less than 48 hours.

The large circulation around Typhoon Dolphin will continue to produce strong winds and locally heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands on Saturday.

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to parts of eastern China by the end of the weekend.  Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu.  Heavy rain is likely to cause floods in some locations.  Typhoon Dolphin could also produce a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along parts of the east coast of China.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Chan-hom weakened east of Japan.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Chan-hom was located at latitude 32.3°N and longitude 157.3°E which put the center about 1100 miles (1775 km) east of Tokyo, Japan.  Chan-hom was moving toward the northwest at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin Hits Okinawa

Typhoon Dolphin hit Okinawa on Thursday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 27.2°N and longitude 128.3°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) north-northeast of Okinawa.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 955 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin started to intensify on Thursday evening as it approached Okinawa.  A small circular eye was visible at the center of Dolphin’s circulation on satellite and radar images.   Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dolphin’s circulation.    Storms near the core of Dolphin generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was greater than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure decreased a little on Thursday.

The eye of Typhoon Dolphin was passing just to the north of Okinawa.  The southern part of the eyewall of Dolphin was passing over northern Okinawa.

A weather station at Naha Airport (ROAH) in Okinawa reported a sustained wind speed of 46 m.p.h. (74 km/h) and a wind gust of 61 m.p.h. (98 km/h).

Typhoon Dolphin was a large typhoon.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 140 miles (220 km) in the northern half of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) in the southern half of Typhoon Dolphin.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 310 miles (500 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 16.5.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 38.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 54.8

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin could intensify on Friday as long as Okinawa does not disrupt the inner core of its circulation..

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will move west of the Ryukyu Islands on Friday.  Dolphin could hit the east coast of China in less than 48 hours.

Typhoon Dolphin will continue to bring strong winds and heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands on Friday.  The strongest winds and heaviest rain will occur in Okinawa.  Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Dolphin could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along the coast of some of the islands.

Even the center of Typhoon Dolphin will pass north of Taiwan, bands in the southern part of Dolphin’s circulation will drop heavy rain on northern Taiwan.

Typhoon Dolphin will also bring strong winds and heavy rain to eastern China.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Chan-hom formed southeast of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Chan-hom was located at latitude 29.6°N and longitude 160.3°E which put the center about 1300 miles (2095 km) east-southeast of Tokyo, Japan.  Chan-hom was moving toward the northwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

Tropical Storm Mekkhala Passes West of Okinawa

The center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala passed west of Okinawa on Thursday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala was located at latitude 27.9°N and longitude 127.5°E which put the center about 80 miles (130 km) northwest of Okinawa.  Mekkhala was moving toward the north-northeast at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 983 mb.

Tropical Storm Mekkhala continued to weaken as it passed west of Okinawa on Thursday.  Mekkhala moved under the southern part of an upper level trough that was over South Korea,  The upper level trough produced westerly winds that blew toward the top of Mekkhala’s circulation.  Those winds caused strong vertical wind shear.  The strong vertical wind shear blew the tops off of most of the thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Mekkhala.  Bands revolving around the center of Mekkhala’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Mekkhala became more asymmetrical on Thursday.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) in the eastern side of Mekkhala’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the western side of Tropical Storm Mekkhala.

Tropical Storm Mekkhala will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Mekkhala will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C.  However, the upper level trough over South Korea will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Mekkhala could weaken to a tropical depression during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Mekkhala will move around the northwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Mekkhala toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Mekkhala will be near Tokyo in 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Mekkhala could bring gusty winds to the southern coast of Honshu including Tokyo during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Higos strengthened south of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Higos was located at latitude 26.3°N and longitude 133.9°E which put the center about 155 miles (250 km) east-southeast of Minamidaitojima, Japan.  Higos was moving toward the north at 30 m.p.h. (48 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 986 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi Brings Wind and Rain to Japan

Tropical Storm Jangmi brought wind and rain to parts of Japan on Tuesday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 32.8°N and longitude 134.3°E which put the center about 135 miles (215 km) southwest of Osaka, Japan.  Jangmi was moving toward the northeast at 29 m.p.h. (46 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 984 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi was bringing wind and rain to parts of Honshu on Tuesday.  A weather station at Kansai International Airport in Osaka (RJBB) reported a sustained wind speed of 43 m.p.h. (68 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 m.p.h. (89 km/h).

Tropical Storm Jangmi was making a transition to an extratropical cyclone on Tuesday.  The circulation around Jangmi was interacting with a stationary front that was just south of Japan.  The interaction with the front was causing the distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Jangmi to become more asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern and northern parts of Jangmi’s circulation.  Bands in the western and southern parts of Tropical Storm Jangmi consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was still large. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 240 miles (390 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 23°C.  It will move under the eastern part of an upper level trough that is over South Korea.  The upper level trough will produce strong southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Jangmi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  The cool Sea Surface Temperature and the strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Jangmi to continue to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough over South Korea will steer Tropical Storm Jangmi toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi will pass near Tokyo in 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will continue to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Honshu.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Nakri Moves Away from Japan

Tropical Storm Nakri moved away from Japan on Monday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Nakri was located at latitude 34.3°N and longitude 149.1°E which put the center about 460 miles (740 km) east of Tokyo, Japan.  Nakri was moving toward the east at 23 m.p.h. (37 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 985 mb.

Former Typhoon Nakri weakened back to a tropical storm on Monday as it quickly moved farther away from Japan.  Nakri was still a very well organized tropical storm.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped most of the way around the center of Nakri’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the center of Tropical Storm Nakri.  Storms near the center of Nakri generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the east of the tropical storm.

The distribution of winds speeds around Tropical Storm Nakri was fairly symmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 155 miles (250 km) from the center of Nakri’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Nakri will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.  Nakri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25°C.  It will move under the southeastern part of an upper level trough that is over northern Japan.  The upper level trough will produce westerly winds that will blow toward the top of Nakri’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  Cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Nakri to weaken during the next 24 hours.  The cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and strong vertical wind shear will also cause Nakri to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone.

The upper level trough over northern Japan will steer Tropical Storm Nakri quickly toward the east during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Nakri will continue to move quickly away from Japan.

Nakri Strengthens to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Nakri strengthened to a typhoon south of Japan on Sunday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Nakri was located at latitude 32.0°N and longitude 137.4°E which put the center about 285 miles (460 km) southwest of Tokyo, Japan.  Nakri was moving toward the east-northeast at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Nakri strengthened to a typhoon south of Japan on Sunday.  A small circular eye was present at the center of Typhoon Nakri.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the northern and eastern parts of Nakri’s circulation.  Bands in the southern and western sides of Typhoon Nakri consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Nakri generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the east of the typhoon.

Winds to typhoon force extended out 15 miles (25 km) from the center of Typhoon Nakri.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 110 miles (175 km) in the eastern half of Nakri’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 45 miles (75 km) in the western side of Typhoon Nakri.

Typhoon Nakri will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Nakri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the eastern side of an upper level trough that is west of Japan.  The upper level trough will produce westerly winds that will blow toward the top of Nakri’s circulation.  However, the winds in the lower atmosphere will also blow from the west.  So, there will not be a lot of vertical wind shear. Typhoon Nakri is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough that is west of Japan will steer Typhoon Nakri toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Nakri will pass south of Tokyo in 12 hours.

Typhoon Halong Passes South of Tokyo

Typhoon Halong passed south of Tokyo on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Halong was located at latitude 32.8°N and longitude 140.3°E which put the center about 195 miles (315 km) south of Tokyo, Japan.  Halong was moving toward the northeast at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 946 mb.

Typhoon Halong was starting to weaken as it passed south of Tokyo on Wednesday.  A circular eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) was still present at the center of Halong’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Typhoon Halong.  Storms near the center of Halong generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the east of the typhoon.  The removal of mass was less than the inflow of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure was increasing.

The circulation around Typhoon Halong increased in size on Wednesday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Halong’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of Typhoon Halong.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Halong was 23.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 13.9 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 37.5.  Typhoon Halong was similar in intensity to Hurricane Dennis when Dennis hit Northwest Florida in 2005.  Halong is bigger than Dennis was.

Typhoon Halong will move through an environment that will become more unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Halong will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C.  It will move under the southern extent of the upper level westerly winds in the middle latitudes.  The upper level westerly winds will blow toward the top of Halong’s circulation.  Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase.  Cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and more vertical wind shear will cause Typhoon Halong to weaken during the next 24 hours.  Halong is likely to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next few days.

The upper level westerly winds will steer Typhoon Halong quickly toward the east during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Halong will move away from Japan on Thursday.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Nakri former southwest of Iwo To.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Nakri was located at latitude 22.3°N and longitude 136.0°E which put the center about 625 miles (1010 km) south-southeast of Okinawa.  Nakri was moving toward the northwest at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Typhoon Halong Intensifies to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Halong intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan on Tuesday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Halong was located at latitude 28.4°N and longitude 137.2°E which put the center about 490 miles (785 km) south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan.  Halong was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 130 m.p.h. (210 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 942 mb.

Typhoon Halong intensified to the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Tuesday morning.  A circular eye with a diameter of 40 miles (65 km) was at the center of Halong’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Halong.  Storms near the core of Halong generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon in all directions.  The removal of large amounts of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Typhoon Halong was relatively small.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Halong’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of Typhoon Halong.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Halong was 25.1.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 10.2 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 35.3.  Typhoon Halong was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Harvey when Harvey hit Texas in 2017.

Typhoon Halong will move through an environment that is favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Halong will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is south of Japan.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the upper level ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Halong will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Halong will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Halong toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Halong will move closer to Honshu.

Halong Strengthens to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Halong strengthened to a typhoon west of the Ogasawara Islands south of Japan on Sunday night.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Halong was located at latitude 25.9°N and longitude 140.5°E which put the center about 665 miles (1075 km) south of Tokyo, Japan.  Halong was moving toward the west at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 977 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Halong strengthened to a typhoon on Sunday night.  A small circular eye formed at the center of Halong’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the eastern side of Typhoon Halong.  Bands in the western side of Halong’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Halong generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The distribution of wind speeds in Typhoon Halong was relatively symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Halong’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Typhoon Halong.

Typhoon Halong will move through an environment that is mostly favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Halong will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is south of Japan.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the upper level ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, Halong will move into a region of drier air.  The drier air will inhibit the formation of thunderstorms in the western part of Halong’s circulation.  Typhoon Halong is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours if the drier air does not get pulled into the core of Halong.

Typhoon Halong will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Halong toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Halong will move a little closer to Japan.

Elsewhere, the center of Tropical Storm Matmo moved over northeastern Vietnam.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Matmo was located at latitude 22.4°N and longitude 106.2°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) east of Na Phac, Vietnam.  Matmo was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.