Monthly Archives: August 2023

Tropical Storm Khanun Moves Toward Kyushu

Tropical Storm Khanun started to move toward Kyushu on Monday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Khanun was located at latitude 29.1°N and longitude 130.7°E which put it about 195 miles (315 km) south of Kagoshima, Japan. Khanun was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Tropical Storm Khanun weakened on Monday. There still were no thunderstorms near the center of Khanun’s circulation. A large, mostly clear area was at the center of Tropical Storm Khanun. There were bands of showers and lower clouds within the mostly clear area. A broken ring of thunderstorms with a diameter of 90 miles (145 km) surrounded the mostly clear area. The strongest winds were occurring in the broken ring of storms. Storms in the ring generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. There were also bands of showers and thunderstorms outside the broken ring. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (325 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Khanun.

Tropical Storm Khanun will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. If Tropical Storm Khanun intensifies during the next 24 hours, it is likely to strengthen slowly, because of the lack of thunderstorms in the inner core of its circulation. If thunderstorms form closer to the center of Khanun’s circulation, then it could start to intensify a little faster.

Tropical Storm Khanun will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, The center of Tropical Storm Khanun will be west of Kyushu in 24 hours. Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Khanun will produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Kyushu. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Lan formed southeast of Japan. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Lan was located at latitude 24.6°N and longitude 148.8°E which put it about 485 miles (780 km) south of Kagoshima, Japan. Lan was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

Hurricane Dora Moves over the Central Pacific

Hurricane Dora moved over the Central Pacific Ocean on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 144.0°W which put it about 890 miles (1430 km) east-southeast of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 165 m.p.h. (270 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Hurricane Dora did not change much on Sunday. The structure of Dora continued to be very symmetrical and it had a a shape sometimes called an annular hurricane. An eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) was at the center of Hurricane Dora. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Short bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dora’s circulation. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 7.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 35.36. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful hurricane during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora could move into a region where the air is a little drier. The intensity of an annual hurricane usually remains relatively constant. However, since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora. Hurricane Dora could weaken a little during the next 24 hours, if it moves into a region where the air is a little drier.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will pass south of Hawaii on Tuesday.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Eugene moved south of Baja California on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located at latitude 23.3°N and longitude 115.0°W which put it about 325 miles (525 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California. Eugene was moving toward the west-northwest at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb. Tropical Storm Eugene will weaken on Monday as it moves over cooler water west of Baja California.

Tropical Storm Khanun Still Spinning South of Japan

Tropical Storm Khanun was still spinning over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan on Sunday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Khanun was located at latitude 27.9°N and longitude 131.1°E which put it about 260 miles (415 km) south of Kagoshima, Japan. Khanun was moving toward the east-southeast at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

Tropical Storm Khanun did not change much on Sunday. There was still a large circular area that was mostly clear at the center of Khanun’s circulation. There were bands of showers and lower clouds within the mostly clear area. A broken ring of thunderstorms with a diameter of 170 miles (280 km) surrounded the mostly clear area. The strongest winds were occurring in the broken ring of storms. Storms in the ring generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. There were also bands of showers and thunderstorms outside the broken ring. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 235 miles (380 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Khanun.

Tropical Storm Khanun will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Tropical Storm Khanun may not intensify during the next 24 hours, because of the lack of thunderstorms in the inner core of its circulation. The large circulation around Tropical Storm Khanun could remain in an equilibrium with its environment and the intensity may not change much during the next 24 hours..

Tropical Storm Khanun will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun slowly toward the north during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Khanun will start to move toward Kyushu. The center of Khanun’s circulation could be near southern Kyushu in less than 36 hours. Tropical Storm Khanun will continue to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in the northern Ryukyu Islands. Prolonged heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations. Bands in the northern side of Khanun could bring gusty winds and heavy rain to parts of Kyushu on Monday.

Hurricane Dora Strengthens Back to Cat. 4

Hurricane Dora strengthened back to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Saturday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 13.2°N and longitude 136.5°W which put it about 1335 miles (2145 km) east-southeast of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 942 mb.

Hurricane Dora strengthened back to a Category 4 hurricane on its way toward the Central Pacific. The structure of Dora was very symmetrical and it had a a shape sometimes called an annular hurricane. An eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) was at the center of Hurricane Dora. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Short bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dora’s circulation, Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 29.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 6.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 36.6. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful hurricane during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. The intensity of an annual hurricane usually remains relatively constant. However, since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora. The intensity of Hurricane Dora is forecast to remain relatively constant during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move over the Central Pacific Ocean on Sunday. Dora will pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Eugene formed west of Mexico. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located at latitude 20.8°N and longitude 108.8°W which put it about 210 miles (340 km) south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California. Eugene was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb. Tropical Storm Eugene will pass south of the southern end of Baja California on Sunday/.

Tropical Storm Khanun Meanders over Northern Ryukyu Islands

Tropical Storm Khanun meandered over the northern Ryukyu Islands on Saturday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Khanun was located at latitude 27.5°N and longitude 129.8°E which put it about 125 miles (200 km) northeast of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the southeast at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

Tropical Storm Khanun meandered over the northern Ryukyu Islands on Saturday. The center of Khanun’s circulation was over Amami Oshima. Bands revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Khanun were bringing rain to Okinawa, Amami Oshima and other northern Ryukyu Islands. A weather station at Kadena Air Force Base was reporting a sustained wind speed of 35 m.p.h. (56 km/h) and a wind gust of 53 m.p.h. (85 km/h).

There was a large circulation around Tropical Storm Khanun. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 225 miles (360 km) from the center of Khanun. The region near the center of circulation contained bands of showers and low clouds. Farther away from the center, a band of thunderstorms stretched around the western, southern and eastern parts of Tropical Storm Khanun. Storms in that bands generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Khanun will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Tropical Storm Khanun will probably not intensify during the next 24 hours, because of the lack of thunderstorms in the inner core of its circulation. The large circulation around Tropical Storm Khanun seems to be in an equilibrium with its environment and the intensity may not change much during the next 24 hours..

Tropical Storm Khanun will move around the northwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun slowly toward the east during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Khanun will move a little to the east of the northern Ryukyu Islands during the next 24 hours. Tropical Storm Khanun will continue to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Okinawa, Amami Oshima and the other northern Ryukyu Islands. Prolonged heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations.

Hurricane Dora Churns Toward the Central Pacific

Hurricane Dora churned toward the Central Pacific Ocean on Friday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 13.7°N and longitude 130.1°W which put it about 1735 miles (2790 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Hurricane Dora weakened gradually on Friday as it moved over slightly cooler water. An eye was no longer visible on satellite images at the center of Dora’s circulation. The inner end of a rainband wrapped all the way into the center of circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Dora. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 23.2.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will continue to become less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora is likely to continue to weaken gradually during the next 24 hours. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move over the Central Pacific Ocean during the weekend. Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Tropical Storm Khanun Brings Gusty Winds and Rain Back to Okinawa

Tropical Storm Khanun brought gusty winds and rain back to Okinawa on Friday night. A weather station at Kadena Air Force Base reported a sustained wind speed of 52 m.p.h. (84 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 m.p.h. (111 km/h). At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Khanun was located at latitude 27.7°N and longitude 127.2°E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) northwest of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the east at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Former Typhoon Khanun weakened to a tropical storm on Friday. The bands in the inner core of Khanun’s circulation consisted of low clouds and showers. Bands of thunderstorms were located in the eastern and southern parts of Tropical Storm Khanun. Bands in the northwestern part of Khanun also consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The bands of thunderstorms generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the east of the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (325 km) from the center of Khanun’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Khanun will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours . Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Tropical Storm Khanun is unlikely to intensify during the next 24 hours, because of the lack of thunderstorms in the inner core of its circulation. The large circulation around Tropical Storm Khanun seems to be in an equilibrium with its environment and the intensity may not change much during the next 36 hours..

Tropical Storm Khanun will move around the northwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the east during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Khanun will pass north of Okinawa in 12 hours. The center of Khanun could pass over Amami Oshima in less than 24 hours. Tropical Storm Khanun will continue to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Okinawa, Amami Oshima and the other northern Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations.

Hurricane Dora Strengthens to Cat. 4

Hurricane Dora strengthened to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 14.1°N and longitude 123.4°W which put it about 2160 miles (3480 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Hurricane Dora intensified to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Thursday. A small circular eye was at the center of Dora’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Dora. Storms Near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora remained very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 34.0. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit Southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will become slightly less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora could start to weaken as it moves over slightly cooler water. Dora could also start to weaken if the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Typhoon Khanun Stalls West of Okinawa

Typhoon Khanun stalled over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of Okinawa on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 27.1°N and longitude 124.8°E which put it about 200 miles (325 km) west of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the northeast at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Typhoon Khanun weakened while it stalled west of Okinawa. Khanun had almost completed an eyewall replacement cyclone on Thursday night. The former inner eyewalll consisted of a ring of low clouds and showers. The strongest winds were occurring in the southern part of the ring of showers. A very large, broken outer eyewall with a diameter of 150 miles (240 km) surrounded the center of Typhoon Khanun. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the outer eyewall. Storms around the outer eyewall generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Khanun was large, even though Khanun was weaker. Winds to typhoon force extended out 50 miles (80 km) to the south of the center of Khanun. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 190 miles (305 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 10.4. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 14.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 25.1. Typhoon Khanun was capable of causing regional minor damage.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Typhoon Khanun is unlikely to intensify during the next 24 hours, because of the almost completed eyewall replacement cycle. The eyewall replacement cycle disrupted the inner core of Khanun. Typhoon Khanun is unlikely to intensify until the larger outer eyewall begins to contract closer to the center of circulation. Khanun could actually weaken a little more on Friday.

Typhoon Khanun will move around the northwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Khanun will move back toward the Ryukyu Islands during the next 24 hours. Typhoon Khanun will to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Okinawa and the other northern Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations. The center of Khanun could be just north of Okinawa in 36 hours.

Dora Rapidly Intensifies to a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Dora rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Wednesday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 15.2°N and longitude 116.9°W which put it about 700 miles (1130 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Dora was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 956 mb.

Hurricane Dora continued to intensify rapidly on Wednesday and Dora reached major hurricane intensity on Wednesday evening. A small eye with a diameter of 12 miles (19 km) was at the center of Dora’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Dora. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane in all directions.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 29.2. Most of Hurricane Dora’s circulation would fit inside the outer eyewall of Typhoon Khanun.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora is likely to continue to intensify during the next 24 hours. Dora could continue to intensify rapidly during the next 12 hours. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Hurricane Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move farther away from Mexico. Dora could be southeast of Hawaii by the early next week.