Tag Archives: Baja California

Tropical Storm Fausto Develops South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Fausto developed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Sunday afternoon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was located at latitude 12.4°N and longitude 112.7°W which put the center about 750 miles (1205 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Fausto was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

Former Tropical Depression Six-E strengthened on Sunday afternoon and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Fausto.

Tropical Storm Fausto was strengthening gradually on Sunday afternoon.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Fausto’s circulation.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the western side of Tropical Storm Fausto.  Bands in the eastern side of Fausto’s circulation still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Fausto began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were occurring in the northwestern part of Tropical Storm Fausto.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) in the northwestern quadrant of Fausto’s circulation.  The winds in the other parts of Tropical Storm Fausto were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Fausto will move through and environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Fausto will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is southwest of Mexico.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Fausto will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Fausto is likely to strengthen to a hurricane on Monday.

Tropical Storm Fausto will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Fausto toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Fausto will move farther away from Mexico.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Elida was weakening slowly as it churned west of Baja California.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located at latitude 23.2°N and longitude 125.9°W which put the center about 1015 miles (1635 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California.  Elida was moving toward the north-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

Tropical Storm Elida Starts to Weaken

Tropical Storm Elida started to weaken on Saturday evening as it moved over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located at latitude 20.6°N and longitude 124.8°W which put the center about 970 miles (1560 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California.  Elida was moving toward the north-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

Tropical Storm Elida started to weaken on Saturday evening after Elida had strengthened almost to hurricane intensity earlier in the day.  Tropical Storm Elida started to move over cooler Sea Surface Temperatures which is what caused Elida to weaken.  The cooler Sea Surface Temperatures were already starting to affect the structure of Elida’s circulation.  Bands in the northern side of Tropical Storm Elida consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the southern half of Elida’s circulation.

The distribution of winds speeds around Tropical Storm Elida continued to be asymmetrical.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) in the eastern side of Elida’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) in the western half of Tropical Storm Elida.

Tropical Storm Elida will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Elida will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24°C.  It will move under the southeastern part of an upper level trough that is off the West Coast of the U.S.  The upper level trough will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Elida’s circulation.  Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase.  The combination of cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and more vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Elida to weaken steadily on Sunday.

Tropical Storm Elida will move around the western part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Elida toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Elida will remain far to the west of Baja California.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Depression Six-E formed south of Baja California.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Depression Six-E was located at latitude 11.3°N and longitude 109.1°W which put the center about 805 miles (1290 km) south of the southern tip of Baja California.  The tropical depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

Tropical Depression Six-E is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane by early next week.

Tropical Storm Elida Churns Northwest

Tropical Cyclone Elida churned toward the northwest over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California on Friday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located at latitude 17.1°N and longitude 121.9°E which put the center about 875 miles (1410 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Elida was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Elida maintained its intensity on Friday.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the western side of the center of Elida’s circulation.  However, the circulation around Elida appeared to pull some drier air into the eastern side of the tropical storm.  Thunderstorms in some of the bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Elida weakened.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were still revolving around the center of Elida’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Elida also still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure did not change much on Friday.

The distribution of wind speeds around Tropical Storm Elida was still asymmetrical on Friday.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 195 miles (315 km) in the eastern side of Elida’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the western side of Tropical Storm Elida.

Tropical Storm Elida will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification for about another 24 hours.  Elida will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Elida could still intensify to a hurricane during the next 24 hours.  Elida is likely to start to weaken on Sunday when it moves over cooler water.

Tropical Storm Elida will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Elida toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Elida will remain far to the west of Baja California.

Tropical Storm Elida Spins Southwest of Baja California

Tropical Storm Elida was spinning over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Thursday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 117.4°E which put the center about 695 miles (1120 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Elida was moving toward the west at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 995 mb.

Tropical Storm Elida intensified gradually on Friday as it spun west of Baja California.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the center of Elida’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Elida generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were blowing in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Elida.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) in the eastern half of Elida’s circulation.  The winds in the western half of Tropical Storm Elida were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Elida will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Elida will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Elida will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Elida is likely to strengthen to a hurricane on Friday.

Tropical Storm Elida will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Elida toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Elida will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Tropical Storm Elida Develops South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Elida developed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean South of Baja California on Tuesday night.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located at latitude 14.9°N and longitude 111.8°E which put the center about 565 miles (910 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Elida was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean strengthened on Tuesday night and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Elida.

Numerous thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Elida early on Wednesday.  Thunderstorms were also developing in bands revolving around the center of Elida’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Elida generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were occurring in the northern side of Tropical Storm Elida.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the northern half of Elida’s circulation.  The winds in the southern half of Tropical Storm Elida were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Elida will move through an environment that will be very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Elida will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Elida will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Elida could intensify rapidly.

Tropical Storm Elida will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Elida toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Elida will move farther away from the southern part of Baja California.

Depression Strengthens to Tropical Storm Douglas

Former Tropical Depression 04E strengthened to Tropical Storm Douglas on Wednesday afternoon as it moved over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Douglas was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 127.0°W which put the center about 1220 miles (1960 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Douglas was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

Former Tropical Depression 04E strengthened on Wednesday afternoon and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Douglas.

The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Douglas was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern and eastern parts of Douglas’ circulation.  Bands in the northern and western parts of Tropical Storm Douglas consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Douglas generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were occurring in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Douglas.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the eastern side of Douglas’ circulation.  The winds in the western half of Tropical Storm Douglas were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Douglas will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Douglas will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is southwest of Baja California.  The upper level ridge will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Douglas’ circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  There is also some drier air north and west of Tropical Storm Douglas.  The drier air could limit the development of thunderstorms in those parts of Douglas’ circulation.  Tropical Storm Douglas could intensify a little more during the next 24 hours, if the drier air does not get pulled into the center of its circulation.  Douglas is likely to move over cooler water by later on Thursday.

Tropical Storm Douglas will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Douglas toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Douglas will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Tropical Depression 04E Forms Southwest of Baja California

Tropical Depression 04E formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Tuesday night.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Depression 04E was located at latitude 14.5°N and longitude 126.9°W which put the center about 1250 miles (2015 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  The tropical depression was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California strengthened on Tuesday night and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression 04E.

The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Depression 04E was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern and eastern parts of the tropical depression.  Bands in the northern and western parts of Tropical Depression 04E consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of circulation began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression.

Tropical Depression 04E will move through an environment that will be mostly favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  The tropical depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is southwest of Baja California.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  There is some drier air north and west of the tropical depression.  The drier air could limit the development of thunderstorms in those parts of the tropical depression.  Tropical Depression 04E could intensify to a tropical storm if the drier air does not get pulled into the center of its circulation.

Tropical Depression 04E will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Depression 04E will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Tropical Storm Amanda Spins Southwest of Baja California

Tropical Storm Amanda continued to spin over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the southwest of Baja California on Friday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located at latitude 13.1°N and longitude 134.1°W which put the center about 1725 miles (2775 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Amanda was moving toward the west at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

Tropical Storm Amanda started to weaken on Friday as it spun far to the southwest of Baja California.  Amanda moved into a region with drier, more stable air.  The drier air and more vertical wind shear caused some of the thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Amanda to dissipate.  Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands west of the center of Amanda’s circulation.  Bands in the other parts of Tropical Storm Amanda consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

Thunderstorms west of the center of Tropical Storm Amanda generated less upper level divergence.  The removal of mass in the upper levels of the atmosphere was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels.  So, the net inflow of mass caused the surface pressure to increase slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Amanda was very small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Amanda’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico.  The upper level ridge will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Amanda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. In addition, Tropical Storm Amanda will continue to move through a region of drier air.  The vertical wind shear and the drier air will cause Tropical Storm Amanda to continue to weaken during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move around the southern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Amanda slowly toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Amanda will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Tropical Storm Amanda Strengthens a Little

Tropical Storm Amanda strengthened a little on Thursday as it continued to spin over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the southwest of Baja California.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 131.1°W which put the center about 1560 miles (2510 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Amanda was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

Even though Tropical Storm Amanda strengthened a little on Thursday, the distribution of thunderstorms in Amanda continued to be asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring mainly in bands in the western half of Amanda’s circulation.  Bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Amanda consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Amanda generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the north of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Amanda was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Amanda’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico.  The upper level ridge will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Amanda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Amanda could intensify a little more during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move into a region where the upper level winds are stronger and where there will be more vertical wind shear during the weekend.  Tropical Storm Amanda will start to weaken when the vertical wind shear in creases.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Amanda slowly toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Amanda will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Depression Strengthens to Tropical Storm Amanda

Former Tropical Depression One-E strengthened to Tropical Storm Amanda far to the southwest of Baja California on Wednesday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located at latitude 10.6°N and longitude 128.2°W which put the center about 1475 miles (2375 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Amanda was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

Former Tropical Depression One-E strengthened far to the southwest of Baja California on Wednesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Amanda.

More thunderstorms formed just to the west of the center of Tropical Storm Amanda on Wednesday morning.  Other thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and western parts of Amanda’s circulation.  Bands in the southern and eastern parts of Tropical Storm Amanda still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Tropical Storm Amanda generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the north of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Amanda was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the northern half of Amanda’s circulation.  The winds in the southern half of Tropical Storm Amanda were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico. The upper level ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Amanda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Amanda will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Amanda slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Amanda will remain far to the southwest of Baja California during the next few days.