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Hurricane Dora Strengthens Back to Cat. 4

Hurricane Dora strengthened back to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Saturday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 13.2°N and longitude 136.5°W which put it about 1335 miles (2145 km) east-southeast of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 942 mb.

Hurricane Dora strengthened back to a Category 4 hurricane on its way toward the Central Pacific. The structure of Dora was very symmetrical and it had a a shape sometimes called an annular hurricane. An eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) was at the center of Hurricane Dora. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Short bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Dora’s circulation, Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 29.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 6.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 36.6. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful hurricane during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. The intensity of an annual hurricane usually remains relatively constant. However, since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora. The intensity of Hurricane Dora is forecast to remain relatively constant during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move over the Central Pacific Ocean on Sunday. Dora will pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Eugene formed west of Mexico. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located at latitude 20.8°N and longitude 108.8°W which put it about 210 miles (340 km) south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California. Eugene was moving toward the northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb. Tropical Storm Eugene will pass south of the southern end of Baja California on Sunday/.

Hurricane Dora Churns Toward the Central Pacific

Hurricane Dora churned toward the Central Pacific Ocean on Friday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 13.7°N and longitude 130.1°W which put it about 1735 miles (2790 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Hurricane Dora weakened gradually on Friday as it moved over slightly cooler water. An eye was no longer visible on satellite images at the center of Dora’s circulation. The inner end of a rainband wrapped all the way into the center of circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Dora. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 23.2.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will continue to become less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora is likely to continue to weaken gradually during the next 24 hours. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move over the Central Pacific Ocean during the weekend. Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Hurricane Dora Strengthens to Cat. 4

Hurricane Dora strengthened to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 14.1°N and longitude 123.4°W which put it about 2160 miles (3480 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Hurricane Dora intensified to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Thursday. A small circular eye was at the center of Dora’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Dora. Storms Near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora remained very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 34.0. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit Southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will become slightly less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora could start to weaken as it moves over slightly cooler water. Dora could also start to weaken if the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Typhoon Khanun Stalls West of Okinawa

Typhoon Khanun stalled over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of Okinawa on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 27.1°N and longitude 124.8°E which put it about 200 miles (325 km) west of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the northeast at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Typhoon Khanun weakened while it stalled west of Okinawa. Khanun had almost completed an eyewall replacement cyclone on Thursday night. The former inner eyewalll consisted of a ring of low clouds and showers. The strongest winds were occurring in the southern part of the ring of showers. A very large, broken outer eyewall with a diameter of 150 miles (240 km) surrounded the center of Typhoon Khanun. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the outer eyewall. Storms around the outer eyewall generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Khanun was large, even though Khanun was weaker. Winds to typhoon force extended out 50 miles (80 km) to the south of the center of Khanun. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 190 miles (305 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 10.4. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 14.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 25.1. Typhoon Khanun was capable of causing regional minor damage.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Typhoon Khanun is unlikely to intensify during the next 24 hours, because of the almost completed eyewall replacement cycle. The eyewall replacement cycle disrupted the inner core of Khanun. Typhoon Khanun is unlikely to intensify until the larger outer eyewall begins to contract closer to the center of circulation. Khanun could actually weaken a little more on Friday.

Typhoon Khanun will move around the northwestern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Khanun will move back toward the Ryukyu Islands during the next 24 hours. Typhoon Khanun will to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Okinawa and the other northern Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations. The center of Khanun could be just north of Okinawa in 36 hours.

Large Typhoon Khanun Churns West of Okinawa

Large Typhoon Khanun churned over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of Okinawa on Wednesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 26.6°N and longitude 124.6°E which put it about 190 miles (310 km) west of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the west-northwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (1650 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 951 mb.

The inner end of a rainband wrapped around an existing eye and eyewall on Wednesday and concentric eyewalls formed in Typhoon Khanun. The inner eye had a diameter of 15 miles (25 km). The inner eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. The inner eyewall was surrounded by a large clear area called a moat. The moat was surrounded by a large outer eyewall that had a diameter of 115 miles (185 km). Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the concentric eyewalls. Storms in the concentric eyewalls generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Khanun increased when the concentric eyewalls formed. Winds to typhoon force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Khanun’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 235 miles (380 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 37.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 54.8. Khanun is capable of causing extensive serious damage. Typhoon Khanun was large than Hurricane Ivan was when Ivan hit the U.S. Gulf Coast in 2004. Khanun was not quite as strong as Ivan was.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will be favorable for a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, Typhoon Khanun is likely to weaken during the next 24 hours, because of the concentric eyewalls. The inner eyewall is likely to weaken and the low level convergence will occur into the large, outer eyewall. Since the strongest winds are in the inner eyewall, the wind speed will decrease when the inner eyewall weakens.

Typhoon Khanun will be in an area where the steering currents are weak during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Khanun will meander west of Okinawa during the next 24 hours. Khanun is forecast to move back toward the east-northeast later this week. The center of Typhoon Khanun could pass north of Okinawa on Friday. Khanun is forecast move across the northern Ryukyu Islands in 48 hours. Typhoon Khanun will continue to produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Okinawa and other Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations.

Typhoon Khanun Brings Wind and Rain to Okinawa

Typhoon Khanun brought wind and rain to Okinawa on Tuesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 25.7°N and longitude 127.1°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) south-southwest of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 941 mb.

Typhoon Khanun brought strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Okinawa on Tuesday. The eye and eyewall at the center of Khanun’s circulation passed just south of Okinawa. Bands in the northern part of Typhoon Khanun moved across Okinawa. A weather station at Kadena Air Force Base reported a sustained wind speed of 74 m.p.h. (119 km/h). The weather station reported a wind gust to 87 m.p.h. (141 km/h).

An eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) was at the center of Typhoon Khanun. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Khanun. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Khanun was large. Winds to typhoon force extended out 65 miles (105 km) from the center of Khanun’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 18.2 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 41.8. Khanun is capable of causing regional major damage. Typhoon Khanun was as strong as Hurricane Dennis was when Dennis hit Northwest Florida in 2005. Khanun was much larger than Dennis was.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will become less favorable for a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, there is a region of drier air northwest of the Ryukyu Islands. Some of the drier air could get pulled into the western half of Typhoon Khanun. The drier air is likely to cause Typhoon Khanun to weaken during the next 24 hours. Khanun is likely to move slowly during the next few days. Strong winds near the surface will mix cooler water to the surface of the ocean. Typhoon Khanun will extract less energy from the ocean and it is likely to continue to weaken later this week.

Typhoon Khanun will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Khanun move west of Okinawa during the next 24 hours. The steering currents are likely to weaken later this week and Typhoon Khanun could meander near the Ryukyu Islands for several days. Khanun will continue to bring strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Okinawa and the other southern Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Khanun will also cause a significant storms surge in the parts of islands where the winds blow water toward the coast.

Typhoon Khanun Approaches Okinawa

Typhoon Khanun was approaching Okinawa on Monday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 24.8°N and longitude 129.1°E which put it about 165 miles (265 km) southeast of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 165 m.p.h. (265 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 930 mb.

Typhoon Khanun continued to strengthen on Monday. A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) was at the center of Khanun’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Khanun. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away form the typhoon in all directions.

The core of Typhoon Khanun contracted on Monday as Khanun intensified. Winds to typhoon force extended out 50 miles (80 km) from the center of Khanun’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 265 miles (425 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 17.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 45.7. Khanun is capable of causing regional severe damage. Typhoon Khanun was almost as strong as Hurricane Ida was when Ida hit Louisiana in 2021. Khanun was larger than Ida was.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will be favorable for a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Khanun could intensify during the next 24 hours unless an eyewall replacement cycle occurs. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall, then concentric eyewalls could develop. The formation of concentric eyewalls would cause Khanun to weaken.

Typhoon Khanun will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Khanun will be just south of Okinawa in 12 hours. Khanun will bring strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Okinawa and the other southern Ryukyu Islands. Heavy rain will cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Khanun will also cause a significant storms surge in the parts of islands where the winds blow water toward the coast.

Typhoon Khanun Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Khanun rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane southeast of Okinawa on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Khanun was located at latitude 22.3°N and longitude 133.7°E which put it about 405 miles (655 km) southeast of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the north-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 948 mb.

Typhoon Khanun rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Sunday. A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) was at the center of Khanun’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Khanun. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away form the typhoon in all directions. The removal of large amounts of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Typhoon Khanun was large. Winds to typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Khanun’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 290 miles (465 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Khanun was 22.1. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 26.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 48.2. Typhoon Khanun was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Jeanne when Jeanne hit Florida in 2004.

Typhoon Khanun will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Khanun will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Khanun is very likely to intensify during the next 24 hours. Khanun could intensify rapidly at times.

Typhoon Khanun will move around the southwestern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Khanun toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Khanun will move toward the Ryukyu Islands. The center of Khanun could be just south of Okinawa in 36 hours.

Typhoon Doksuri Hits Eastern China

Typhoon Doksuri hit eastern China on Thursday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 24.8°N and longitude 118.5°E which put it about 35 miles (55 km) northeast of Xiamen, China. Doksuri was moving toward the north-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 110 m.p.h. (175 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 130 m.p.h. (210 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 940 mb.

The center of Typhoon Doksuri made landfall on the east coast of China between Xiamen and Quanzhou on Thursday night. Doksuri was bringing strong winds and heavy rain to Fujian. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 19.2. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 13.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 32.8. Typhoon Doksuri was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Sally when Sally hit Alabama in 2020.

Typhoon Doksuri will continue to move toward the north-northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Doksuri will move inland over eastern China. Doksuri will weaken as it moves inland. The core of Typhoon Doksuri will bring strong winds to Fujian. Doksuri will also drop heavy rain over parts of Fujian. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Doksuri will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Zhejiang and Jiangxi.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, former Tropical Depression 06W strengthened to Tropical Storm Khanun east of the Philippines. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Khanun was located at latitude 13.4°N and longitude 135.7°E which put it about 1060 miles (1710 km) south-southeast of Okinawa. Khanun was moving toward the west at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb. Tropical Storm Khanun is forecast to move toward the Ryukyu Islands and to strengthen to a typhoon.

Typhoon Doksuri Moves over Taiwan Strait

Typhoon Doksuri moved over the Taiwan Strait on Thursday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Doksuri was located at latitude 22.3°N and longitude 119.0°E which put it about 170 miles (275 km) south-southeast of Xiamen China. Doksuri was moving toward the north-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 943 mb.

Radar images from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau showed clearly that there were concentric eyewalls at the core of Typhoon Doksuri. A small circular eye with a diameter of 7 miles (11 km) was at the center of Doksuri’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. The inner eyewall was surrounded by a relatively clear area, sometimes called a moat. A much larger, outer eyewall with a diameter of 60 miles (95 km) surrounded the inner eyewall and the moat. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the concentric eyewalls. Storms in the concentric eyewalls generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

Both the inner and outer eyewalls of Typhoon Doksuri were over the Taiwan Strait. Mountains in Taiwan were deflecting some of the wind circulating around the eastern side of Doksuri, and the core of circulation tightened up a little. Winds to typhoon force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Doksuri’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Doksuri was 22.1. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 17.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 39.2. Typhoon Doksuri was bigger and stronger than Hurricane Delta when Delta hit Louisiana in 2020. Doksuri was capable of causing regional severe damage.

Typhoon Doksuri will move through an environment very favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Doksuri will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 31˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. However, the concentric eyewalls at the center of Typhoon Doksuri will inhibit intensification. Doksuri could weaken if the inner eye and eyewall dissipate. If the inner eye and eyewall remain intact, then Typhoon Doksuri could strengthen during the next 12 hours.

Typhoon Doksuri will move around the western side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Doksuri toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Doksuri will approach the east coast of China near Xiamen in 24 hours. Doksuri will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Fujian. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Typhoon Doksuri could also cause a storm surge of up to 13 feet (4 meters) along the coast of Fujian.

Bands in the eastern side of Typhoon Doksuri will continue to drop heavy rain on parts of Taiwan during the next 24 hours. The heaviest rain will fall initially on the eastern side of mountains where the winds around Doksuri will push air up the slopes. Heavy rain could fall on the western sides of mountains when Typhoon Doksuri moves farther north and the wind over Taiwan blows from the south. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, a new tropical depression formed east of the Philippines. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Depression 06W was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 137.5°E which put it about 170 miles (275 km) northwest of Yap. The tropical depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb. Tropical Depression 06W is forecast to move toward the Ryukyu Islands and to strengthen to a typhoon.