Tropical Storm Genevieve Churns West of Baja California

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Tropical Storm Genevieve continued to churn over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California on Friday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was located at latitude 22.6°N and longitude 131.4°W which put the center about 1370 miles (2200 km) west of southern tip of Baja California.  Genevieve was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Tropical Storm Genevieve continued to weaken gradually on Friday as it moved over cooler water in the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California.  Thunderstorms near the center of Genevieve’s circulation were not rising as high into the atmosphere.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were still revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve.  Storms near the center of Genevieve generated less upper level divergence that pumped less mass away from the tropical Storm.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased gradually on Friday.

Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve.

Tropical Storm Genevieve will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Genevieve will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24.5°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Genevieve will continue to weaken gradually on Saturday as it moves over cooler water.

Tropical Storm Genevieve will move around the southern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Genevieve toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Genevieve will continue to move farther away from Baja California.

Typhoon Dolphin Moves Toward Iwo To

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Typhoon Dolphin moved toward Iwo To on Friday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 20.5°N and longitude 157.8°E which put the center about 1080 miles (1740 km) east-southeast of Iwo To.  Dolphin was moving toward the west-northwest at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 175 m.p.h. (280 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 933 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin appeared to be in the middle of another eyewall replacement cycle on Friday evening.  A circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by two circular eyewalls.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass from the typhoon.  The removal of large amounts of mass in the upper levels was slightly less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased gradually on Friday.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Dolphin increased on Friday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 230 miles (370 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 29.9.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 23.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 53.2.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Helene when Helene hit Florida in 2022.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to maintain its intensity on Saturday.  Eyewall replacement cycles are likely to continue to cause fluctuation in the intensity of Typhoon Dolphin during the next few days.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will continue to move toward Iwo To.  The center of Dolphin could be near Iwo To in 72 hours,

Typhoon Dolphin Moves West of Wake Island

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Typhoon Dolphin moved west of Wake Island on Thursday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 18.6°N and longitude 161.5°E which put the center about 315 miles (510 km) west-southwest of Wake Island.  Dolphin was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 190 m.p.h. (305 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 924 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin appeared to go through another eyewall replacement cycle.  A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) was present at the center of Dolphin’s circulation on Thursday evening.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms.  The strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass from the typhoon.  The removal of large amounts of mass in the upper levels was nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure  did not change much on Thursday.

The completion of another eyewall replacement cycle increased the size of the circulation around Typhoon Dolphin.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 33.3.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 21.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 54.3.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in intensity to Hurricane Ian when Ian hit Southwest Florida in 2022.  Typhoon Dolphin is larger than Ian was.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to maintain its intensity on Friday.  Eyewall replacement cycles are likely to cause fluctuation in the intensity of Typhoon Dolphin during the next few days.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will move toward Iwo To.

Genevieve Weakens to a Tropical Storm

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Former Hurricane Genevieve weakened to a tropical storm on Thursday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was located at latitude 21.3°N and longitude 126.0°W which put the center about 1035 miles (1665 km) west of southern tip of Baja California.  Genevieve was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 989 mb.

Former Hurricane Genevieve continued to weaken gradually on Thursday as it moved over cooler water in the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California.  Thunderstorms were still occurring near the center of Genevieve’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve.  Storms near the center of Genevieve still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.  However, the removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure continued to increase on Thursday.

Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve.

Tropical Storm Genevieve will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Genevieve will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Genevieve will continue to weaken on Friday as it moves over cooler water.

Tropical Storm Genevieve will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Southwest U.S.  The high pressure system will steer Genevieve toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Genevieve will continue to move farther away from Baja California.

Hurricane Genevieve Continues to Weaken

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Hurricane Genevieve continued to weaken as it moved over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Wednesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located at latitude 19.6°N and longitude 120.8°W which put the center about 735 miles (1185 km) west-southwest of southern tip of Baja California.  Genevieve was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

Hurricane Genevieve continued to weaken gradually on Wednesday as it moved over cooler water in the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California.  An eye was no longer visible on satellite imagery, but thunderstorms were still occurring near the center of Genevieve’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Genevieve.  Storms near the center of Genevieve still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.  However, the removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased on Wednesday.

The distribution of wind speeds around Hurricane Genevieve was fairly symmetrical.  Winds to hurricane force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Genevieve’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of Hurricane Genevieve.

Hurricane Genevieve will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Genevieve will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Hurricane Genevieve will continue to weaken on Thursday as it moves over cooler water.  Genevieve could weaken to a tropical storm by Friday.

Hurricane Genevieve will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Southwest U.S.  The high pressure system will steer Genevieve toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Hurricane Genevieve will move farther away from Baja California.

Typhoon Dolphin Strengthens to Equivalent of Cat. 5 Hurricane

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Typhoon Dolphin strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Wake Island on Wednesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 16.0°N and longitude 166.3°E which put the center about 240 miles (390 km) south of Wake Island.  Dolphin was moving toward the northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 165 m.p.h. (265 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 200 m.p.h. (320 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 915 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on Wednesday.  A  circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was present at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms. The strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass from the typhoon. The removal of large amounts of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The distribution of wind speeds in Typhoon Dolphin was symmetrical.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 36.7.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 15.5 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 52.2.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in intensity to Hurricane Otis when Otis hit Mexico in 2023.  Typhoon Dolphin is larger than Otis was.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin could continue to intensify during the next few hours.  Eyewall replacement cycles are likely to cause fluctuation in the intensity of Typhoon Dolphin during the next few days.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will be east of Iwo To by the end of the weekend.

Tropical Storm Fausto Passes Northeast of Hawaii

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Tropical Storm Fausto was weakening as it passed northeast of Hawaii on Tuesday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was located at latitude 22.5°N and longitude 152.2°W which put the center about 270 miles (435 km) northeast of Hilo, Hawaii.  Fausto was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

Tropical Storm Fausto was weakening as it passed northeast of Hawaii on Tuesday afternoon.  An upper level trough that was located north of Hawaii was producing strong southwesterly winds that were blowing across the top of Fausto’s circulation.  Those winds were causing strong vertical wind shear.  The strong upper level winds were also blowing the tops off of many of the thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Fausto.

Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the eastern edge of Tropical Storm Fausto.  Bands in the other parts of Fausto’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  There were no thunderstorms near the center of Fausto to generate upper level divergence to pump mass away from the tropical storm.  Convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere was causing the surface pressure to increase.

The strongest winds were blowing on the northern side of Tropical Storm Fausto.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) in the northern side of Fausto’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 70 miles (110 km) in the southern side of Tropical Storm Fausto.

Tropical Storm Fausto will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Fausto will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C.  However, the upper level trough north of Hawaii will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Fausto will continue to weaken steadily during the next 24 hours.  Fausto is likely to weaken to a tropical depression on Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Fausto will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Central North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Fausto toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Fausto will continue to pass north of Hawaii on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, Hurricane Genevieve was weakening gradually as it moved southwest of Baja California.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located at latitude 18.0°N and longitude 116.9°W which put the center about 565 miles (910 km) southwest of southern tip of Baja California.  Genevieve was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 140 m.p.h. (220 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 955 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

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Typhoon Dolphin rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean southeast of Wake Island.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 170.3°E which put the center about 490 miles (790 km) southeast of Wake Island.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (2350 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 960 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Tuesday morning.  A very small circular eye was present at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms.  The strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass from the typhoon.  The removal of large amounts of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Typhoon Dolphin was small.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin could continue to intensify rapidly during the next few hours.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to strengthen to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Thursday.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will pass south of Wake Island on Wednesday.

Dolphin Rapidly Intensifies to a Typhoon

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Former Tropical Storm Dolphin rapidly intensified to a typhoon on Monday night as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean southeast of Wake Island.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 13.4°N and longitude 171.2°E which put the center about 535 miles (860 km) southeast of Wake Island.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (21km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 980 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Dolphin rapidly intensified to a typhoon on Monday night.  A very small circular eye formed at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms.  The strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large amounts of mass from the typhoon.  The removal of large amounts of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Typhoon Dolphin was small.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be very favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin is likely to continue to intensify rapidly during the next few hours.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane later today.  Dolphin is likely to intensify to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale by Thursday.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will pass be south of Wake Island on Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Dolphin Forms West of the Date Line

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Tropical Storm Dolphin formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the International Date Line on Monday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Dolphin was located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 174.6°E which put the center about 690 miles (1115 km) east-southeast of Wake Island.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean east-southeast of Wake Island strengthened early on Monday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Dolphin.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Dolphin was strengthening on Monday.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Dolphin generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were blowing on the northern side of Tropical Storm Dolphin.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the northern side of Dolphin’s circulation.  The winds in the southern side of Tropical Storm Dolphin were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Dolphin will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin is likely to strengthen to a typhoon on Tuesday.

Tropical Storm Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Dolphin will be south of Wake Island in 48 hours.