Tropical Storm Amanda Strengthens a Little

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Tropical Storm Amanda strengthened a little on Thursday as it continued to spin over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the southwest of Baja California.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 131.1°W which put the center about 1560 miles (2510 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Amanda was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

Even though Tropical Storm Amanda strengthened a little on Thursday, the distribution of thunderstorms in Amanda continued to be asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring mainly in bands in the western half of Amanda’s circulation.  Bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Amanda consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Amanda generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the north of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Amanda was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Amanda’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico.  The upper level ridge will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Amanda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Amanda could intensify a little more during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move into a region where the upper level winds are stronger and where there will be more vertical wind shear during the weekend.  Tropical Storm Amanda will start to weaken when the vertical wind shear in creases.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Amanda slowly toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Amanda will remain far to the southwest of Baja California.

Depression Strengthens to Tropical Storm Amanda

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Former Tropical Depression One-E strengthened to Tropical Storm Amanda far to the southwest of Baja California on Wednesday morning.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located at latitude 10.6°N and longitude 128.2°W which put the center about 1475 miles (2375 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Amanda was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

Former Tropical Depression One-E strengthened far to the southwest of Baja California on Wednesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Amanda.

More thunderstorms formed just to the west of the center of Tropical Storm Amanda on Wednesday morning.  Other thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and western parts of Amanda’s circulation.  Bands in the southern and eastern parts of Tropical Storm Amanda still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Tropical Storm Amanda generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the north of the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Amanda was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the northern half of Amanda’s circulation.  The winds in the southern half of Tropical Storm Amanda were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Amanda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico. The upper level ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Amanda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Amanda will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Amanda will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Amanda slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Amanda will remain far to the southwest of Baja California during the next few days.

Tropical Depression One-E Forms Southwest of Baja California

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Tropical Depression One-E formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the southwest of Baja California on Tuesday afternoon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located at latitude 9.4°N and longitude 126.7°W which put the center about 1450 miles (2335 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  The tropical depression was moving toward the west at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California strengthened on Tuesday afternoon and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression One-E.

The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Depression One-E was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern half of the tropical depression.  Bands in the southern half of Tropical Depression One-E consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Tropical Depression One-E began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to start to decrease slowly.

Tropical Depression One-E will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  The tropical depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge that is west of Mexico.  The upper level ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of the tropical depression.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Depression One-E is likely to intensify to a tropical storm during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Depression One-E will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression slowly toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Depression One-E will remain far to the southwest of Baja California during the next few days.

Tropical Storm Jangmi Brings Wind and Rain to Japan

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Tropical Storm Jangmi brought wind and rain to parts of Japan on Tuesday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 32.8°N and longitude 134.3°E which put the center about 135 miles (215 km) southwest of Osaka, Japan.  Jangmi was moving toward the northeast at 29 m.p.h. (46 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 984 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi was bringing wind and rain to parts of Honshu on Tuesday.  A weather station at Kansai International Airport in Osaka (RJBB) reported a sustained wind speed of 43 m.p.h. (68 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 m.p.h. (89 km/h).

Tropical Storm Jangmi was making a transition to an extratropical cyclone on Tuesday.  The circulation around Jangmi was interacting with a stationary front that was just south of Japan.  The interaction with the front was causing the distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Jangmi to become more asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern and northern parts of Jangmi’s circulation.  Bands in the western and southern parts of Tropical Storm Jangmi consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was still large. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 240 miles (390 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 23°C.  It will move under the eastern part of an upper level trough that is over South Korea.  The upper level trough will produce strong southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Jangmi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear.  The cool Sea Surface Temperature and the strong vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Jangmi to continue to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough over South Korea will steer Tropical Storm Jangmi toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi will pass near Tokyo in 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will continue to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Honshu.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts

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The Atlantic hurricane season officially started on June 1, 2026.  The hurricane season began quietly.  No tropical depressions, tropical storms or hurricanes were present over the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico.  No tropical cyclones are expected to form over the Atlantic Ocean during the next few days.  Whenever a tropical storm does form over the Atlantic Ocean, the first name on the list will be Arthur.

Fewer tropical storms and hurricanes are expected to form over the Atlantic Ocean this year.  A strong El Niño pattern is expected to develop over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean during the next few months.  Much warmer than normal Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are expected to be present over the eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean during the hurricane season.

The warmer Sea Surface Temperatures associated with an El Niño produce more rising motion and convection.  The stronger rising motion begins to move toward the east when it reaches the upper troposphere where it produces stronger westerly winds.  The stronger westerly winds blow over the Caribbean Sea and the western Atlantic Ocean.  Those stronger westerly winds cause more vertical wind shear.  More vertical wind shear makes it more difficult for tropical storms and hurricanes to develop.

Jangmi Brings Wind and Rain to Okinawa

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Tropical Storm Jangmi brought wind and rain to Okinawa on Monday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 27.3°N and longitude 128.0°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) northwest of Okinawa.  Jangmi was moving toward the north at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi brought wind and rain to Okinawa on Monday.  A weather station at Kadena Air Force Base in Okinawa (RODN) reported a sustained wind speed of 52 m.p.h. (84 km/h) and a wind gust of 71 m.p.h. (115 km/h).

Former Typhoon Jangmi weakened back to a tropical storm Monday.  A large eye with a diameter of 60 miles (95 km) was still present at the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi.  The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was pulling drier air around the western and southern parts of Jangmi’s circulation.  Thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the eastern and northern parts of Tropical Storm Jangmi.  Bands in the western and southern sides of Jangmi’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

Storms near the center of Jangmi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the northeast of the tropical storm.  However, the removal of mass in the upper levels of the atmosphere was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels.  So, the surface pressure increased gradually.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was still large.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 205 miles (330 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C. It will move under the eastern part of an upper level trough that is over the east coast of China.  The upper level trough will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Jangmi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause the moderate vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Jangmi will continue to weaken slowly during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough over the east coast of China will steer Tropical Storm Jangmi toward the northeast during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Jangmi will move over the northern Ryukyu Islands.  The center of Tropical Storm Jangmi will be southeast of Kyushu in 18 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the northern Ryukyu Islands.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. Jangmi will also bring strong winds and heavy rain to parts of Kyushu, Shikoku, and Honshu.

Typhoon Jangmi Approaches Okinawa

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Typhoon Jangmi was approaching Okinawa on Sunday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Jangmi was located at latitude 23.3°N and longitude 127.7°E which put the center about 255 miles (410 km) south of Okinawa.  Jangmi was moving toward the north at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 973 mb.

The northern part of Typhoon Jangmi was already affecting Okinawa on Sunday morning.  A weather station at Kadena Air Force Base (RODN) was reporting a sustained wind speed of 25 m.p.h. (40 km/h) and a wind gusts of 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) even though the center of Jangmi was 255 miles (410 km) south of the station.

Typhoon Jangmi continued to intensify slowly during Saturday night.   A very large circular eye was at the center of Typhoon Jangmi.  The eye had a diameter of 80 miles (130 km).  The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center Jangmi’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Jangmi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Jangmi was large.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 230 miles (370 km) from the center of Typhoon Jangmi.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Jangmi was 12.7.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 29.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 42.4.

Typhoon Jangmi will move into an environment that will become unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26°C.  It will move under the eastern part of an upper level trough that is over the east coast of China.  The upper level trough will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Jangmi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase.  Typhoon Jangmi will start to weaken slowly when the vertical wind shear increases.

Typhoon Jangmi will move around the western end of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Jangmi toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Jangmi will reach Okinawa in 18 hours.

Typhoon Jangmi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa.  Heavy rain is could cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Jangmi could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coasts of the Ryukyu Islands.

 

Jangmi Strengthens to a Typhoon

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Former Tropical Storm Jangmi strengthened to a typhoon on Saturday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Jangmi was located at latitude 19.7°N and longitude 128.8°E which put the center about 500 miles (805 km) south of Okinawa.  Jangmi was moving toward the north-northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 979 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Jangmi strengthened to a typhoon south of Okinawa on Saturday.  A very large circular eye formed at the center of Typhoon Jangmi.  The eye had a diameter of 70 miles (110 km).  The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center Jangmi’s circulation.  Storms near the center of Jangmi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Jangmi was large.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 205 miles (335 km) from the center of Typhoon Jangmi.

Typhoon Jangmi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is southwest of Japan.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Jangmi will intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Jangmi will move around the western end of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Jangmi toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Jangmi will approach Okinawa in 36 hours.

Typhoon Jangmi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa.  Heavy rain is could cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Jangmi could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coasts of the Ryukyu Islands.

Tropical Storm Jangmi Continues to Intensify

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Tropical Storm Jangmi continued to intensify over the Western North Pacific Ocean on Friday.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 17.0°N and longitude 130.4°E which put the center about 705 miles (1135 km) south-southeast of Okinawa.  Jangmi was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 989 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi continued to intensify as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of the Ryukyu Islands on Friday.  The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Jangmi’s circulation.  Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi.  Storms near the center of Jangmi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was large.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is south of Japan. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Jangmi will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi is likely strengthen to a typhoon.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move around the western end of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Jangmi toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Jangmi will approach the southern Ryukyu Islands in 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi is likely to be a typhoon when it approaches the southern Ryukyu Islands.  Jangmi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands.  Heavy rain is could cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Jangmi Gradually Strengthening

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Tropical Storm Jangmi gradually strengthened on Thursday as it moved over the Western North Pacific Ocean southeast of the Ryukyu Islands.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Jangmi was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 133.3°E which put the center about 855 miles (1380 km) south-southeast of Okinawa.  Jangmi was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

Tropical Storm Jangmi strengthened gradually on Thursday.  More thunderstorms formed near the center of Jangmi’s circulation.  More thunderstorms also developed in bands in the western and southern parts of Tropical Storm Jangmi.  Bands in the eastern and northern parts of Jangmi’s circulation still consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Jangmi generated a little more upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of a little more mass caused the surface pressure to decrease slowly.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Jangmi was still large.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center of Jangmi’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Jangmi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is south of Japan.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Jangmi will intensify during the next 24 hours.  The large circulation around Jangmi could cause it to intensify slowly at times.  Jangmi could strengthen to a typhoon within 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Jangmi will move around the western end of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Jangmi toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Jangmi will approach the southern Ryukyu Islands in three days.