Tropical Storm Saudel strengthened on Thursday as it moved east of the Marianas. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Saudel was located at latitude 15.1°N and longitude 148.7°E which put the center about 215 miles (350 km) east of Saipan. Saudel was moving toward the north-northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.
Typhoon Warnings are in effect for Pagan and Agrihan.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Alamagan.
A Typhoon Watch is also in effect for Alamagan.
Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Tinian and Saipan.
Tropical Storm Saudel strengthened on Thursday. Even though Saudel strengthened, the distribution of thunderstorms was still asymmetrical. Thunderstorms were occurring mainly in bands in the southern half of Saudel’s circulation. Bands in the northern side of Tropical Storm Saudel consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Saudel generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the south and west of the tropical storm. The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.
The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Saudel was also asymmetrical. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the southern side of Saudel’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force only extended out 45 miles (75 km) in the northern side of Tropical Storm Saudel.
Tropical Storm Saudel will move through an environment that will become more favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Saudel will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move into a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Saudel will intensify during the next 24 hours. Saudel could intensify rapidly at times. Tropical Storm Saudel is likely to strengthen to a typhoon on Friday. Saudel could intensify to the equivalent of a major hurricane during the weekend.
Tropical Storm Saudel will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Saudel toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Saudel will be near Agrihan and Pagan in less than 24 hours.
Tropical Storm Saudel will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Pagan and Agrihan. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods. Saudel will also bring gusty winds and heavy rain to Alamagan. Tropical Storm Saudel could bring gusty winds to Tinian and Saipan.

